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New Zealand Breakers vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 83-84
25-11 32-28 15-29 11-16
Position#7
Record2-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game93.3
AustraliaNBLRound 6· Spark Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets
22 Dec 2026
NEW v BRIS
upcoming
13 Nov 2026
NEW v BRIS
upcoming
23 Oct 2025
NEW 83
BRIS84
19 Sep 2025
NEW 95
BRIS104
24 Jan 2025
NEW 87
BRIS93
21 Sep 2024
NEW 91
BRIS87
16 Feb 2024
NEW 103
BRIS87
05 Oct 2023
NEW 84
BRIS89
27 Nov 2022
NEW 116
BRIS79
24 Mar 2022
NEW 100
BRIS101
07 Mar 2022
NEW 74
BRIS92
30 May 2021
NEW 83
BRIS95
16 Apr 2021
NEW 91
BRIS71
03 Mar 2021
NEW 97
BRIS92
12 Jan 2020
NEW 85
BRIS95
09 Dec 2019
NEW 96
BRIS85
27 Jan 2019
NEW 109
BRIS96
11 Oct 2018
NEW 73
BRIS86
07 Dec 2017
NEW 96
BRIS89
19 Nov 2017
NEW 90
BRIS82
08 Dec 2016
NEW 82
BRIS75
06 Nov 2016
NEW 86
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-92
99
92
+7
104avg 79
H01/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 79
H05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
95-104
95
104
-9
no box
H19/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
82-114
82
114
-32
no box
A21/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
65avg 79
A04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
114avg 79
H08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
78avg 79
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
70avg 79
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
77avg 79
A19/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
28-21
25-15
20-28
17-27
23-22
19-33
23-14
20-21
24-25
22-28
29-30
15-34
18-21
22-34
27-25
17-25
25-19
17-18
19-27
15-22
19-17
18-31
23-27
30-24
30-25
27-23
30-16
15-21
31-13
19-28
16-25
20-18
20-13
23-11
19-23
17-28
21-28
25-19
25-29
181.5Avg total
87.9Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.293.5180.8-6.225%
Season at home (5)90.686.6177.2+4.040%
Season away (3)81.7105.0186.7-23.30%
Last 10 (10)87.993.6181.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)88.688.2176.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)86.498.9185.3-12.46%
vs Similar (13)85.286.0171.2-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)95.0104.0199.0-9.00%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
88-115
88
115
-27
77avg 81
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
92-89
92
89
+3
82avg 81
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
88-100
88
100
-12
73avg 81
A06/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
no box
A19/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
70avg 81
A26/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
71avg 81
A28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
73avg 81
H04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
89-116
89
116
-27
74avg 81
A11/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 81
A15/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
77avg 81
H17/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
14-35
21-26
27-28
22-21
20-24
26-18
24-26
26-32
22-16
23-25
17-27
21-20
25-24
28-22
30-29
17-21
24-24
15-16
26-22
23-27
24-21
20-29
13-10
21-22
24-20
21-16
16-26
18-34
29-34
24-21
18-27
26-21
30-27
24-23
30-22
16-31
21-24
17-15
32-25
185.8Avg total
90.1Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.493.3183.7-2.929%
Season at home (2)84.089.5173.5-5.50%
Season away (5)93.094.8187.8-1.840%
Last 10 (10)90.195.7185.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)89.495.0184.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)93.5102.9196.4-9.428%
vs Similar (12)92.391.6183.9+0.858%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
New Zealand BreakersBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H01/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H19/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A21/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H12/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A19/10
NBL
88.3Avg total
43.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.147.690.8-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.546.090.5-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)41.849.391.1-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)43.145.288.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.885.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.349.191.4-6.825%-
vs Similar (13)44.146.090.1-1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)44.046.090.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A06/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A19/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A26/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A11/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A15/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H17/10
NBL
95.3Avg total
44.9Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.750.397.0-3.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.751.196.8-5.454%-
Last 30 away (17)47.549.697.1-2.241%-
Last 10 (10)44.950.495.3-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.452.298.6-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)47.252.599.7-5.344%-
vs Similar (12)45.946.992.8-1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.723.6
64.3%
54.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.2
31.5%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
74.8%12.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.8
57.4%
54.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.7
35.0%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.115.5
73.5%
74.8%15.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LWLWLLLLLW
Brisbane Bullets
LWLLLLWLWL
#7
League position
#10
-3.7
Net rating
-12.2
116.7
Offensive rating
111.4
120.5
Defensive rating
123.6
56.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
61.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.5%
3-point %
35.0%
60.1%
Assist %
54.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 111.4Defence120.5 · 123.6Shooting56.8% · 55.3%3-point %31.5% · 35.0%Ball care17.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.0% · 23.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25AMelbourne United88-104
17/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers82-65
12/10/25HSouth East Melbourne81-87
08/10/25HIllawarra Hawks117-88
04/10/25ASydney75-97
27/09/25HPerth78-89
21/09/25AMelbourne United82-114
19/09/25HBrisbane Bullets95-104
05/02/25HIllawarra Hawks82-96
01/02/25HCairns Taipans99-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25HMelbourne United86-95
15/10/25APerth110-93
11/10/25AIllawarra Hawks89-116
04/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers82-84
28/09/25AAdelaide80-87
26/09/25ACairns Taipans82-83
19/09/25ANew Zealand Breakers104-95
06/02/25ACairns Taipans88-100
31/01/25AAdelaide92-89
26/01/25HMelbourne United88-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL25%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game87.290.681.7
Allowed / game93.586.6105.0
Point differential-6.2+4.0-23.3
Avg total180.8177.2186.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%0%40%
Points / game90.484.093.0
Allowed / game93.389.594.8
Point differential-2.9-5.5-1.8
Avg total183.7173.5187.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United770100%100.982.3+18.6
2 Adelaide65183%92.284.7+7.5
3 South East Melbourne53260%94.285.0+9.2
4 Perth74357%86.985.1+1.7
5 Tasmania JackJumpers74357%82.082.6-0.6
6 Sydney63350%88.582.7+5.8
7 Brisbane Bullets72529%90.493.3-2.9
8 New Zealand Breakers82625%87.293.5-6.2
9 Cairns Taipans82625%77.194.5-17.4
10 Illawarra Hawks51420%90.0101.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers2532151183
Brisbane Bullets1128291684
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