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New Zealand Breakers vs Cairns Taipans Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 04:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game90.6
New Zealand Breakers
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game94.9
AustraliaNBLRound 18· Spark Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Cairns Taipans
24 Jan 2027
NEW v CAIR
upcoming
30 Sep 2026
NEW 98
CAIR75
19 Feb 2026
NEW 115
CAIR84
01 Feb 2025
NEW 99
CAIR92
03 Nov 2023
NEW 91
CAIR81
30 Sep 2023
NEW 98
CAIR87
15 Jan 2023
NEW 83
CAIR85
04 Apr 2022
NEW 77
CAIR87
27 Mar 2022
NEW 90
CAIR93
26 Jan 2017
NEW 81
CAIR94
11 Nov 2016
NEW 79
CAIR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
98-75
98
75
+23
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
84-100
84
100
-16
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
101-108
101
108
-7
H30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
26-23
22-14
19-20
26-19
18-18
19-28
22-23
26-22
25-25
22-29
20-21
19-18
23-17
30-25
26-15
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
31-29
20-32
24-12
27-28
32-31
19-22
14-17
27-28
25-16
21-23
16-21
22-26
24-28
20-28
28-18
29-34
182.8Avg total
92.2Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.290.6182.8+1.640%
Season at home (3)98.088.0186.0+10.067%
Season away (7)89.791.7181.4-2.029%
Last 10 (10)92.290.6182.8+1.640%
Last 5 (5)92.698.6191.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.8102.1192.9-11.438%
vs Similar (11)97.094.3191.3+2.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.590.1184.6+4.545%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
107-95
107
95
+12
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
110-100
110
100
+10
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
83-115
83
115
-32
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
107-85
107
85
+22
A29/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
27-27
20-31
17-21
32-16
13-28
21-22
27-21
17-32
17-20
17-15
18-16
18-19
17-23
25-30
15-26
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
16-25
23-21
21-16
26-22
23-21
34-21
21-19
29-24
186.6Avg total
91.7Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.794.9186.6-3.260%
Season at home (3)92.087.3179.3+4.7100%
Season away (7)91.698.1189.7-6.643%
Last 10 (10)91.794.9186.6-3.260%
Last 5 (5)96.695.0191.6+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)87.399.5186.8-12.229%
vs Similar (5)88.482.8171.2+5.680%
vs Weaker (1)110.0100.0210.0+10.0100%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
New Zealand BreakersCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H30/10
NBL
92.7Avg total
46.9Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.147.694.7-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.847.295.0+0.758%-
Last 30 away (18)46.747.994.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.945.892.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.050.096.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.253.098.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (11)48.246.895.0+1.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.544.591.9+3.073%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A29/10
NBL
96.1Avg total
46.8Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.647.193.8-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.244.191.2+3.167%-
Last 30 away (18)46.349.295.4-2.939%-
Last 10 (10)46.849.396.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)50.850.0100.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)46.447.994.3-1.546%-
vs Similar (5)45.643.088.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker (1)57.050.0107.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
56.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.7
41.3%
34.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.9
68.6%
73.7%12.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.0
56.5%
56.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.712.9
35.1%
34.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws13.410.2
76.1%
73.7%10.2
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LLLWLWWLLW
Cairns Taipans
WWLWWWLLWL
#9
League position
#4
+3.3
Net rating
-3.7
102.8
Offensive rating
96.4
99.5
Defensive rating
100.1
58.4%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.18
41.3%
3-point %
35.1%
63.3%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 96.4Defence99.5 · 100.1Shooting58.4% · 54.6%3-point %41.3% · 35.1%Ball care14.1% · 12.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
New Zealand Breakers wins
2
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers86-84
30/09/26New Zealand Breakers v Cairns Taipans98-75
19/02/26New Zealand Breakers v Cairns Taipans115-84
17/01/26Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers86-104
19/12/25Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers99-95
22/11/25Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers96-102
01/02/25New Zealand Breakers v Cairns Taipans99-92
31/12/24Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers68-92
16/11/24Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers69-77
15/12/23Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers82-111
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HAdelaide101-108
25/10/26ACairns Taipans84-86
18/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers92-98
14/10/26ASydney102-101
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
30/09/26HCairns Taipans98-75
26/09/26APerth93-97
22/09/26ABrisbane Bullets85-88
20/09/26HIllawarra Hawks95-81
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ABrisbane Bullets107-85
25/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-84
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95
30/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers75-98
27/09/26AAdelaide69-83
23/09/26HTasmania JackJumpers93-87
20/09/26ASydney90-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %40%67%29%
Points / game92.298.089.7
Allowed / game90.688.091.7
Point differential+1.6+10.0-2.0
Avg total182.8186.0181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %60%100%43%
Points / game91.792.091.6
Allowed / game94.987.398.1
Point differential-3.2+4.7-6.6
Avg total186.6179.3189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
2 Tasmania JackJumpers96367%95.391.0+4.3
3 Perth85362%92.695.6-3.0
4 Cairns Taipans106460%91.794.9-3.2
5 Adelaide105550%91.293.5-2.3
6 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
7 Melbourne United94544%94.992.0+2.9
8 Brisbane Bullets94544%93.697.6-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers104640%92.290.6+1.6
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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