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Sydney vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 101-102
29-31 32-20 12-24 28-27
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game88.0
Sydney
Australia
vs
New Zealand Breakers 🏆
Australia
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game85.5
AustraliaNBLRound 5· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sydney v New Zealand Breakers
15 Nov 2026
SYDN v NEW
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
SYDN101
NEW 102
09 Nov 2025
SYDN79
NEW 72
04 Oct 2025
SYDN97
NEW 75
27 Oct 2024
SYDN89
NEW 93
28 Feb 2024
SYDN76
NEW 83
14 Jan 2024
SYDN105
NEW 76
05 Nov 2023
SYDN87
NEW 85
15 Mar 2023
SYDN77
NEW 69
10 Mar 2023
SYDN91
NEW 68
03 Mar 2023
SYDN87
NEW 95
22 Jan 2023
SYDN88
NEW 93
06 Feb 2022
SYDN84
NEW 65
16 Jan 2022
SYDN75
NEW 82
25 Feb 2021
SYDN96
NEW 78
12 Feb 2021
SYDN84
NEW 74
18 Oct 2019
SYDN96
NEW 91
11 Jan 2019
SYDN100
NEW 92
18 Nov 2018
SYDN100
NEW 87
18 Feb 2018
SYDN101
NEW 86
21 Dec 2017
SYDN95
NEW 98
29 Jan 2017
SYDN84
NEW 57
30 Dec 2016
SYDN85
NEW 80
27 Dec 2015
SYDN83
NEW 93
19 Nov 2015
SYDN74
NEW 86
26 Dec 2014
SYDN85
NEW 97
06 Dec 2014
SYDN82
NEW 69
08 Feb 2014
SYDN98
NEW 96
29 Dec 2013
SYDN83
NEW 99
01 Apr 2013
SYDN88
NEW 99
09 Feb 2013
SYDN94
NEW 96
08 Dec 2012
SYDN75
NEW 62
15 Oct 2011
SYDN61
NEW 98
05 Dec 2010
SYDN80
NEW 94
16 Oct 2010
SYDN70
NEW 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
78avg 95
A14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
112-68
112
68
+44
121avg 95
H21/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
89-91
89
91
-2
77avg 95
A27/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
106-93
106
93
+13
104avg 95
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
90avg 95
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
113-101 OT
113
101
+12
101avg 95
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
111-90
111
90
+21
106avg 95
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
121-100
121
100
+21
118avg 95
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
93-78
93
78
+15
87avg 95
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 95
H11/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
21-23
17-13
29-16
31-23
28-16
31-17
22-12
30-25
22-28
25-15
12-23
24-31
28-22
21-17
33-23
24-22
29-24
21-26
17-20
29-31
27-24
13-21
26-19
32-26
27-27
31-20
21-17
31-27
34-18
33-26
23-29
23-34
20-10
29-14
21-20
18-18
26-23
12-20
22-23
187.5Avg total
100.3Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)100.888.0188.8+12.875%
Season at home (4)100.888.0188.8+12.875%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)100.387.2187.5+13.170%
Last 5 (5)103.290.6193.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)103.788.1191.8+15.583%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
106-95
106
95
+11
98avg 82
H07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
84avg 82
A14/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
115-84
115
84
+31
110avg 82
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
111-107
111
107
+4
no box
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
84avg 82
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
69avg 82
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#7
L
93-97
93
97
-4
84avg 82
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 82
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 82
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#7
L
84-100
84
100
-16
63avg 82
A10/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
28-25
23-30
22-15
29-16
21-23
21-20
18-33
24-24
37-20
27-22
27-18
28-25
19-29
34-28
30-25
28-24
26-23
22-14
19-20
26-19
18-18
19-28
22-23
26-22
25-25
22-29
20-21
19-18
23-17
30-25
26-15
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
185.5Avg total
96.4Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.585.5176.0+5.050%
Season at home (2)96.578.0174.5+18.5100%
Season away (4)87.589.2176.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)96.489.1185.5+7.360%
Last 5 (5)89.686.4176.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.798.1183.8-12.422%
vs Similar (14)93.891.0184.8+2.850%
vs Weaker (7)101.389.9191.1+11.471%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
SydneyNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H21/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A27/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/10
NBL
100.1Avg total
52.6Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.745.398.0+7.477%-
Last 30 at home (19)54.545.499.9+9.284%-
Last 30 away (11)49.545.294.6+4.364%-
Last 10 (10)52.647.5100.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)53.447.6101.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)52.745.398.0+7.477%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A14/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
93.2Avg total
49.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.246.093.2+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.146.194.2+2.067%-
Last 30 away (18)46.645.992.6+0.756%-
Last 10 (10)49.643.693.2+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.485.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.349.492.8-6.133%-
vs Similar (14)46.943.590.4+3.471%-
vs Weaker (7)52.746.699.3+6.171%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.025.0
58.1%
56.4%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.0
37.8%
34.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.116.2
73.3%
74.0%16.2
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.2
55.3%
56.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.710.0
40.5%
34.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.9
70.6%
74.0%13.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LWWWWLWLWW
New Zealand Breakers
LWWLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#9
+14.1
Net rating
+5.4
107.7
Offensive rating
102.9
93.6
Defensive rating
97.5
57.6%
Effective FG%
57.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
10.8%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.8%
3-point %
40.5%
61.7%
Assist %
58.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 102.9Defence93.6 · 97.5Shooting57.6% · 57.2%3-point %37.8% · 40.5%Ball care10.8% · 13.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Sydney   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sydney wins
4
New Zealand Breakers wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26New Zealand Breakers v Sydney62-103
03/12/25New Zealand Breakers v Sydney95-90
09/11/25Sydney v New Zealand Breakers79-72
04/10/25Sydney v New Zealand Breakers97-75
20/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney84-92
07/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney83-98
27/10/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers89-93
28/02/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers76-83
14/01/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers105-76
22/12/23New Zealand Breakers v Sydney109-101
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HAdelaide78-84
30/09/26HBrisbane Bullets93-78
27/09/26HIllawarra Hawks121-100
20/09/26HCairns Taipans111-90
05/04/26HAdelaide113-101 OT
01/04/26AAdelaide91-92
29/03/26HAdelaide106-93
27/03/26AAdelaide89-91
21/03/26HAdelaide112-68
14/03/26APerth89-75
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
30/09/26HCairns Taipans98-75
26/09/26APerth93-97
22/09/26ABrisbane Bullets85-88
20/09/26HIllawarra Hawks95-81
22/02/26AAdelaide111-107
19/02/26HCairns Taipans115-84
14/02/26AAdelaide89-92
07/02/26HIllawarra Hawks106-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game100.8100.8-
Allowed / game88.088.0-
Point differential+12.8+12.8-
Avg total188.8188.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game90.596.587.5
Allowed / game85.578.089.2
Point differential+5.0+18.5-1.8
Avg total176.0174.5176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers54180%99.695.4+4.2
2 Perth54180%93.292.4+0.8
3 Sydney43175%100.888.0+12.8
4 Cairns Taipans74357%91.695.0-3.4
5 New Zealand Breakers63350%90.585.5+5.0
6 Melbourne United63350%93.089.8+3.2
7 Adelaide73443%88.091.1-3.1
8 Brisbane Bullets52340%91.895.8-4.0
9 South East Melbourne62433%92.092.2-0.2
10 Illawarra Hawks71614%99.7108.0-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney29321228101
New Zealand Breakers31202427102
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