PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 06:30
Projected 93-91
Projected total 183.7
Final 101-108
24-28 20-28 28-18 29-34
Position#9
Record4-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game88.7
Vs
59%
41%
■ NEW 59%■ ADEL 41%
Pythia win probability
Position#4
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game92.7
AustraliaNBLRound 7· Spark Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide
30 Oct 2026
NEW 101
ADEL108
23 Jan 2026
NEW 110
ADEL112
06 Nov 2025
NEW 79
ADEL83
02 Nov 2024
NEW 109
ADEL82
30 Nov 2023
NEW 96
ADEL83
26 Oct 2023
NEW 85
ADEL97
20 Nov 2022
NEW 89
ADEL83
24 Apr 2022
NEW 60
ADEL93
12 Mar 2022
NEW 84
ADEL75
25 May 2021
NEW 94
ADEL76
26 Apr 2021
NEW 93
ADEL77
31 Jan 2020
NEW 113
ADEL89
15 Dec 2019
NEW 96
ADEL99
07 Feb 2019
NEW 107
ADEL114
28 Oct 2018
NEW 114
ADEL94
15 Dec 2017
NEW 75
ADEL90
02 Nov 2017
NEW 92
ADEL88
08 Jan 2017
NEW 95
ADEL113
29 Oct 2016
NEW 119
ADEL93
08 Jan 2016
NEW 81
ADEL87
05 Nov 2015
NEW 98
ADEL88
26 Feb 2015
NEW 111
ADEL82
12 Feb 2015
NEW 88
ADEL93
17 Oct 2014
NEW 101
ADEL80
15 Nov 2013
NEW 94
ADEL95
31 Oct 2013
NEW 93
ADEL96
28 Feb 2013
NEW 104
ADEL79
12 Oct 2012
NEW 73
ADEL59
13 Jan 2012
NEW 80
ADEL63
03 Nov 2011
NEW 99
ADEL90
30 Mar 2011
NEW 100
ADEL71
20 Jan 2011
NEW 91
ADEL77
21 Jan 2010
NEW 103
ADEL89
29 Oct 2009
NEW 99
ADEL91
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
New Zealand Breakers host Adelaide in the NBL. Pythia makes New Zealand Breakers the favourite at 59% and projects 93-91, about 184 points in all (over 183.5: 49%). On the market's main spread (New Zealand Breakers -1.5) Pythia gives New Zealand Breakers 56% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. New Zealand Breakers are 4-5 this season (91.2 scored, 88.7 allowed a game), form WLWLL; Adelaide are 4-5 this season (89.3 scored, 92.7 allowed a game), form LLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
58.9%fair 1.70
Best odds1.81
Implied52.9%
Edge+6.0pp
Adelaide winWon
41.1%fair 2.43
Best odds2.06
Implied47.1%
Edge-6.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
111-107
111
107
+4
no box
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
84avg 84
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
69avg 84
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
93-97
93
97
-4
84avg 84
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 84
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#4
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 84
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
63avg 84
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
99avg 84
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
89avg 84
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 84
A25/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
19-29
34-28
30-25
28-24
26-23
22-14
19-20
26-19
18-18
19-28
22-23
26-22
25-25
22-29
20-21
19-18
23-17
30-25
26-15
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
31-29
20-32
24-12
27-28
32-31
19-22
14-17
27-28
25-16
21-23
16-21
22-26
183.7Avg total
93.2Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.288.7179.9+2.644%
Season at home (2)96.578.0174.5+18.5100%
Season away (7)89.791.7181.4-2.029%
Last 10 (10)93.290.5183.7+2.750%
Last 5 (5)90.091.4181.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.3100.3189.6-11.030%
vs Similar ◀ (12)94.793.0187.7+1.750%
vs Weaker (8)97.288.2185.5+9.062%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
101-113 OT
101
113
-12
94avg 87
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
97-95
97
95
+2
93avg 87
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 87
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
83-69
83
69
+14
74avg 87
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
92-114
92
114
-22
87avg 87
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
61avg 87
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
79avg 87
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 87
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 87
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 87
A24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
24-27
21-13
19-26
25-23
24-25
26-22
22-25
20-30
28-18
29-22
20-28
32-17
20-17
15-17
16-18
21-35
14-30
32-27
25-22
19-23
23-25
15-12
15-28
21-31
17-25
21-20
32-20
18-18
23-26
20-12
23-22
14-22
26-17
31-23
23-26
25-42
18-30
29-14
22-22
185.2Avg total
90.5Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.392.7182.0-3.344%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (6)93.096.8189.8-3.850%
Last 10 (10)90.594.7185.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)87.091.6178.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)91.797.0188.7-5.350%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.794.0183.7-4.333%
vs Weaker (5)95.688.6184.2+7.060%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 178.5Actual: Over 178.5
Over 178.5
61.2%
@ 1.60+1.8pp
Under 178.5
38.8%
@ 2.40-1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.60
1xBet
1.59
BetVictor
1.53
Betano
1.50
Marathon Be
1.50
Under
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.19
Marathon Be
2.19
Over/Under 183.5 · main lineActual: Over 183.5
Over 183.5
49.3%
@ 2.00-1.2pp
Under 183.5
50.7%
@ 1.93+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathon Be
1.92
BetVictor
1.88
SBO
1.86
Over/Under 188.5Actual: Over 188.5
Over 188.5
37.6%
@ 2.50-0.9pp
Under 188.5
62.4%
@ 1.53+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
Betano
2.35
Under
BetVictor
1.53
Marathon Be
1.53
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

New Zealand Breakers total 86.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers over 86.5
Over 86.5
73.6%
@ 1.44+9.0pp
Under 86.5
26.4%
@ 2.62-9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.62
New Zealand Breakers total 90.5 · main lineActual: New Zealand Breakers over 90.5
Over 90.5
59.6%
@ 1.85+8.3pp
Under 90.5
40.4%
@ 2.27-8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.56
Under
1xBet
2.27
Betano
2.07
Marathon Be
1.91
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.83
New Zealand Breakers total 94.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers over 94.5
Over 94.5
44.3%
@ 2.40+2.6pp
Under 94.5
55.7%
@ 1.65-2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
Adelaide total 86.5Actual: Adelaide over 86.5
Over 86.5
64.6%
@ 1.41-0.9pp
Under 86.5
35.4%
@ 2.70+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.65
Adelaide total 90.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide over 90.5
Over 90.5
49.6%
@ 1.85-1.2pp
Under 90.5
50.4%
@ 1.98+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.81
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathon Be
1.91
Bet365
1.90
1xBet
1.88
BetVictor
1.83
Adelaide total 94.5Actual: Adelaide over 94.5
Over 94.5
34.8%
@ 2.32-5.5pp
Under 94.5
65.2%
@ 1.56+5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.56
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.52

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread New Zealand Breakers -4.5Actual: Adelaide +4.5
NEW -4.5
44.4%
@ 2.55+4.6pp
ADEL +4.5
55.6%
@ 1.57-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
NEW
Bet365
2.55
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.22
Marathon Be
2.22
ADEL
1xBet
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Marathon Be
1.57
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Spread New Zealand Breakers -1.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide +1.5
NEW -1.5
56.1%
@ 1.91+5.4pp
ADEL +1.5
43.9%
@ 1.93-5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
NEW
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.89
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
ADEL
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Marathon Be
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Spread New Zealand Breakers +1.5Actual: Adelaide -1.5
NEW +1.5
61.6%
@ 1.73+5.7pp
ADEL -1.5
38.4%
@ 2.16-5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
NEW
Betfair
1.73
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
SBO
1.70
ADEL
1xBet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.16
Marathon Be
2.16
BetVictor
2.10
Betano
2.05

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
New Zealand BreakersAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
92.8Avg total
47.2Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 93
Last 30 (30)46.947.294.1-0.253%47%
Last 30 at home (11)48.246.494.5+1.864%55%
Last 30 away (19)46.247.693.8-1.447%42%
Last 10 (10)47.245.692.8+1.660%50%
Last 5 (5)46.847.294.0-0.440%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.152.097.1-6.920%60%
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.344.291.6+3.167%33%
vs Weaker (8)48.645.594.1+3.175%50%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A24/10
NBL
95.3Avg total
44.3Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 93
Last 30 (30)44.948.993.9-4.043%60%
Last 30 at home (13)44.547.391.8-2.838%54%
Last 30 away (17)45.350.295.5-4.947%65%
Last 10 (10)44.351.095.3-6.730%60%
Last 5 (5)40.851.892.6-11.020%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)46.549.896.3-3.344%75%
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.848.490.2-6.733%33%
vs Weaker (5)45.647.092.6-1.460%60%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Adelaide win
NEW win
no forecast
@ 1.85
ADEL win
no forecast
@ 2.01
1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers -0.5 · main lineActual: Adelaide +0.5
NEW -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
ADEL +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 93 · main lineActual: Over 93
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
New Zealand Breakers 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: New Zealand Breakers under 46.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Adelaide 1st half total 46 · main lineActual: Adelaide over 46
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half: NEW + total 92.5
NEW & over
no forecast
@ 3.70
NEW & under
no forecast
@ 3.60
1st half: Draw + total 92.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: ADEL + total 92.5
ADEL & over
no forecast
@ 3.80
ADEL & under
no forecast
@ 3.75
1st half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Over 91.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 94.5Actual: Over 94.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers -1.5Actual: Adelaide +1.5
NEW -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
ADEL +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.79
1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers +0.5Actual: Adelaide -0.5
NEW +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
ADEL -0.5
no forecast
@ 2.09
1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers -2.5Actual: Adelaide +2.5
NEW -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
ADEL +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread New Zealand Breakers +1.5Actual: Adelaide -1.5
NEW +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.79
ADEL -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.63
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Adelaide (regulation)
NEW
no forecast
@ 1.89
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
ADEL
no forecast
@ 1.99

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
NEW win + total 183.5
🔒 Pro
ADEL win + total 183.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEW leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ADEL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (NEW :ADEL): NEW wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
New Zealand Breakers over 85.576.7%1.43
Bet365
1.43
----+11.8ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 83.582.2%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+11.3ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +882.4%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+11.2ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 87.570.4%1.51
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Betano
1.40
--+11.1ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +984.6%1.26
Bet365
1.26
----+10.8ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +11.588.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+9.7ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 84.579.6%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+9.6ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +7.580.4%1.31
Bet365
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.32
Betano
1.26
--+9.6ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 82.584.7%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+9.4ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +471.0%1.48
1xBet
1.55
Bet365
1.48
Marathon Bet
1.42
--+9.3ppLost
New Zealand Breakers over 79.590.5%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+9.1ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 81.586.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+9.1ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 86.573.6%1.43
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
---+9.0ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +4.571.9%1.44
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.39
-+8.4ppLost
New Zealand Breakers +677.2%1.33
Bet365
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.30
---+8.4ppLost
New Zealand Breakers over 80.588.8%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+8.3ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +10.586.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+8.0ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 77.593.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+7.9ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +6.577.8%1.36
1xBet
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
-+7.9ppLost
New Zealand Breakers over 73.597.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.7ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +5.575.0%1.39
1xBet
1.47
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.33
-+7.7ppLost
New Zealand Breakers over 75.595.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+7.6ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +574.2%1.38
Bet365
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.35
---+7.5ppLost
New Zealand Breakers +16.594.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+7.4ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +8.582.8%1.23
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.20
---+7.3ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +9.584.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+7.1ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +21.597.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+7.1ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 71.598.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.0ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +779.9%1.31
Marathon Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.28
---+6.7ppPush
New Zealand Breakers +20.597.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+6.6ppWon
Adelaide under 102.587.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+6.6ppLost
New Zealand Breakers over 69.598.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.6ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +15.593.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+6.5ppWon
Adelaide under 98.577.8%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+6.4ppLost
New Zealand Breakers +19.596.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+6.4ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 70.598.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.3ppWon
Adelaide under 104.590.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+6.2ppLost
Adelaide under 106.593.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+6.1ppLost
Adelaide over 71.596.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.0ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +14.592.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+5.9ppWon
Over 156.594.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+5.9ppWon
Adelaide under 96.571.9%1.40
Bet365
1.40
----+5.9ppLost
Adelaide over 70.597.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.9ppWon
Adelaide under 111.597.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.8ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +18.596.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.8ppWon
Adelaide over 69.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.7ppWon
Over 17471.6%1.42
Bet365
1.42
----+5.7ppWon
Adelaide under 101.585.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+5.6ppLost
Adelaide over 73.595.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.6ppWon
Adelaide under 109.596.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.6ppWon
Adelaide under 110.596.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.6ppWon
Over 173.572.2%1.40
Bet365
1.40
----+5.5ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +23.598.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.4ppWon
Over 166.584.6%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+5.3ppWon
Adelaide under 107.594.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+5.3ppLost
New Zealand Breakers +13.591.4%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+5.3ppWon
Over 161.590.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+5.2ppWon
Adelaide under 100.582.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+5.1ppLost
Adelaide over 75.592.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+5.1ppWon
Adelaide under 103.589.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+5.1ppLost
New Zealand Breakers +25.598.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.0ppWon
Over 171.576.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+5.0ppWon
Adelaide over 79.585.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+5.0ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 111.596.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.9ppWon
Adelaide under 105.592.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+4.8ppLost
New Zealand Breakers +24.598.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.8ppWon
Adelaide over 77.589.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+4.5ppWon
Adelaide over 81.580.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.4ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 110.595.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.4ppWon
Adelaide under 99.580.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.3ppLost
Over 162.589.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+4.2ppWon
Adelaide +21.594.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+4.1ppWon
Adelaide under 97.575.0%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+4.0ppLost
Over 174.570.1%1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
---+4.0ppWon
Over 167.583.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+3.8ppWon
Adelaide over 78.587.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+3.8ppWon
Adelaide +24.596.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.8ppWon
Adelaide over 80.583.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+3.7ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 108.593.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.6ppWon
Under 207.591.8%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+3.5ppLost
Overtime: no94.7%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.4pp-
New Zealand Breakers under 109.594.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.4ppWon
Adelaide over 83.574.8%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+3.4ppWon
Adelaide +23.596.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.2ppWon
Adelaide +20.593.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.2ppWon
Over 172.574.2%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+3.1ppWon
Adelaide +19.592.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.0ppWon
Under 206.591.0%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+2.7ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 107.591.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+2.7ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 106.590.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+2.6ppWon
Under 202.586.9%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+2.5ppLost
Under 197.580.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+1.7ppLost
Adelaide over 82.577.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+1.6ppWon
Adelaide +16.588.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+1.5ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 104.586.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+1.4ppWon
Under 201.585.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+1.3ppLost
Adelaide +18.591.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+1.2ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 105.588.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+0.9ppWon
Under 192.571.0%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+0.7ppLost
Adelaide over 84.571.6%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+0.6ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 102.581.9%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+0.5ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 101.579.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+0.4ppWon
Adelaide +15.587.0%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+0.4ppWon
Under 196.578.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+0.1ppLost
Adelaide +11.578.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----0.5ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 103.584.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----0.7ppWon
Adelaide +14.585.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----1.0ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 100.576.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----1.3ppLost
Adelaide +10.575.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----2.0ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 98.570.2%1.28
Bet365
1.28
-----2.2ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 99.573.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----2.7ppLost
Adelaide +13.583.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----3.0ppWon
Adelaide +972.0%1.25
Bet365
1.25
-----3.3ppWon
Adelaide +9.572.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----4.0ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.4
55.6%
56.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.211.5
42.3%
34.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.012.7
66.8%
74.0%12.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.5
54.8%
56.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.1
31.4%
34.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.116.8
72.7%
74.0%16.8
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LLWLWWLLWW
Adelaide
LWWLLLWLWL
#9
League position
#4
+7.6
Net rating
-4.0
103.9
Offensive rating
98.5
96.4
Defensive rating
102.6
58.7%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
11.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
42.3%
3-point %
31.4%
61.9%
Assist %
68.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 98.5Defence96.4 · 102.6Shooting58.7% · 51.3%3-point %42.3% · 31.4%Ball care13.7% · 11.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
New Zealand Breakers wins
6
Adelaide wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ACairns Taipans84-86
18/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers92-98
14/10/26ASydney102-101
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
30/09/26HCairns Taipans98-75
26/09/26APerth93-97
22/09/26ABrisbane Bullets85-88
20/09/26HIllawarra Hawks95-81
22/02/26AAdelaide111-107
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ASouth East Melbourne94-108
16/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers94-88
11/10/26ASydney84-78
07/10/26HMelbourne United91-96
04/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers72-88
02/10/26AIllawarra Hawks92-114
27/09/26HCairns Taipans83-69
24/09/26APerth97-98
19/09/26AMelbourne United97-95
05/04/26ASydney101-113 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %44%100%29%
Points / game91.296.589.7
Allowed / game88.778.091.7
Point differential+2.6+18.5-2.0
Avg total179.9174.5181.4
Over 183.544%0%57%
Win by 10+33%100%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%33%50%
Points / game89.382.093.0
Allowed / game92.784.396.8
Point differential-3.3-2.3-3.8
Avg total182.0166.3189.8
Over 183.556%33%67%
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers86275%98.893.5+5.2
2 Sydney96367%100.990.3+10.6
3 Perth85362%92.695.6-3.0
4 Cairns Taipans106460%91.794.9-3.2
5 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
6 Melbourne United94544%94.992.0+2.9
7 New Zealand Breakers94544%91.288.7+2.6
8 Adelaide94544%89.392.7-3.3
9 Brisbane Bullets94544%93.697.6-4.0
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers24202829101
Adelaide28281834108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.