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Newcastle Falcons vs Norths Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 78-68
19-22 19-19 17-10 23-17
Position#9
Record5-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#4
Record4-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game77.6
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Norths Bears
31 May 2025
NEWC78
NORT68
26 May 2024
NEWC71
NORT79
02 Jul 2023
NEWC68
NORT57
13 Aug 2022
NEWC93
NORT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norths Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A05/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
77-88 OT
77
88
-11
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A25/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
11-25
26-21
14-28
18-27
21-22
23-13
10-15
26-18
26-22
21-18
11-10
25-24
17-13
12-14
15-18
21-8
27-13
12-22
24-18
25-30
17-18
13-21
19-34
16-23
24-16
16-15
19-15
20-17
16-23
20-22
21-18
13-32
26-19
31-16
24-20
14-13
29-23
30-22
20-11
160.1Avg total
80.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.979.2158.1-0.345%
Season at home (6)79.372.2151.5+7.267%
Season away (5)78.487.6166.0-9.220%
Last 10 (10)80.180.0160.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)82.681.6164.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.880.6152.4-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.277.3154.5-0.250%
vs Weaker (8)84.178.6162.8+5.562%
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A05/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H12/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A13/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A25/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H27/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A03/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H10/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
62-85
62
85
-23
H17/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A24/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
14-21
19-28
21-17
25-23
16-17
12-17
8-23
17-21
13-20
20-14
13-26
21-15
14-18
19-17
23-15
11-19
22-6
20-16
12-19
23-20
24-17
16-18
21-20
23-17
20-21
18-21
15-18
25-26
16-17
25-24
31-19
13-23
21-24
16-21
12-17
19-20
16-18
15-15
18-28
149.9Avg total
72.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.377.6149.9-5.340%
Season at home (4)76.581.8158.2-5.250%
Season away (6)69.574.8144.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)72.377.6149.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)77.480.8158.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.591.3170.8-11.810%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.177.0149.1-4.938%
vs Weaker (12)88.479.0167.4+9.483%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
Newcastle FalconsNorths Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A05/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/05
NBL1 East
82.2Avg total
41.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.479.0-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.840.477.2-3.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.481.1-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.082.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.882.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.642.878.3-7.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.538.877.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker (8)41.140.581.6+0.650%-
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A05/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H12/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A25/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A03/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H10/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H17/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A24/05
NBL1 East
75.2Avg total
36.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.881.8+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.744.486.1-2.729%-
Last 30 away (16)40.237.777.9+2.669%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.375.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.445.887.2-4.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.138.676.8-0.562%-
vs Weaker (12)42.438.280.6+4.267%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Newcastle Falcons wins
2
Norths Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25AInner West Bulls93-69
24/05/25HBankstown Bruins94-87
17/05/25AHornsby S.77-80
11/05/25HCanberra75-69
10/05/25ASutherland Sharks74-103
03/05/25HMaitland M.84-61
26/04/25AIllawarra Hawks 277-88 OT
12/04/25HIllawarra Hawks 284-68
06/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits72-77
05/04/25ACentral Coast Crusaders71-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25AInner West Bulls68-81
17/05/25HBA CoE62-85
10/05/25HPenrith P.97-86
03/05/25AHills Hornets76-77
27/04/25HSutherland Sharks84-75
25/04/25ASydney Comets65-60
13/04/25ACentral Coast Crusaders77-65
12/04/25HCanberra63-81
05/04/25AManly W.61-80
29/03/25ABankstown Bruins70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game78.979.378.4
Allowed / game79.272.287.6
Point differential-0.3+7.2-9.2
Avg total158.1151.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Norths Bears
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game72.376.569.5
Allowed / game77.681.874.8
Point differential-5.3-5.2-5.3
Avg total149.9158.2144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1210283%86.669.6+17.0
2 Canberra107370%90.978.5+12.4
3 Sutherland Sharks107370%86.277.5+8.7
4 Sydney Comets107370%76.570.9+5.6
5 Illawarra Hawks 2107370%83.581.4+2.1
6 Maitland M.116555%89.882.2+7.6
7 Manly W.116555%81.880.5+1.4
8 Bankstown Bruins126650%82.785.1-2.4
9 Central Coast Crusaders115645%83.583.3+0.3
10 Newcastle Falcons115645%78.979.2-0.3
11 Hills Hornets115645%76.979.7-2.8
12 Norths Bears104640%72.377.6-5.3
13 Inner West Bulls114736%82.586.7-4.3
14 Hornsby S.103730%79.288.4-9.2
15 Penrith P.1331023%75.888.3-12.5
16 Albury-Wodonga Bandits112918%76.592.6-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons1919172378
Norths Bears2219101768
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