PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-67
34-33 40-34
Position#265
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#287
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nicholls State v Incarnate Word
06 Dec 2025
NICH74
INCA67
10 Mar 2025
NICH74
INCA70
26 Feb 2024
NICH92
INCA82
18 Feb 2023
NICH84
INCA74
10 Feb 2022
NICH69
INCA58
02 Jan 2020
NICH76
INCA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
74-70 OT
74
70
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A05/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A08/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A22/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
22-35
28-27
35-36
33-28
22-30
15-28
36-49
16-25
41-40
19-25
44-43
39-48
40-51
32-47
49-48
36-46
36-36
35-52
41-44
143.6Avg total
66.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.483.1151.6-14.70%
Season at homeno games
Season away (7)68.483.1151.6-14.70%
Last 10 (10)66.177.5143.6-11.410%
Last 5 (5)74.288.0162.2-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.884.2153.0-15.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.875.1146.8-3.338%
vs Weaker (9)80.065.8145.8+14.278%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
70-74 OT
70
74
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
64-98
64
98
-34
A04/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
104-60
104
60
+44
H07/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
109-70
109
70
+39
H11/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
117-55
117
55
+62
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-25
26-33
27-28
36-35
27-41
37-57
48-28
56-32
47-40
62-30
19-35
42-34
41-38
46-43
40-46
40-45
65-23
52-32
34-32
37-35
156.6Avg total
83.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.673.9160.5+12.862%
Season at home (5)97.666.6164.2+31.0100%
Season away (3)68.386.0154.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)83.473.2156.6+10.260%
Last 5 (5)83.272.6155.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.675.7141.3-10.114%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.473.7142.1-5.330%
vs Weaker (13)85.362.8148.2+22.592%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: +5.8+5.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: +5.8+5.8
Nicholls StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A04/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A12/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
15-28
15
28
-13
A05/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
16-25
16
25
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
19-25
19
25
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A22/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A03/12
NCAA
64.0Avg total
28.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.766.5-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.932.667.5+2.370%-
Last 30 away (20)31.634.365.9-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)28.435.664.0-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)32.243.675.8-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.237.267.4-7.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.833.864.6-3.150%-
vs Weaker (9)37.731.769.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A10/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A04/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
65-23
65
23
+42
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/12
NCAA
71.6Avg total
38.0Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.367.3+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.331.171.3+9.273%-
Last 30 away (15)29.833.563.3-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.033.671.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.874.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.335.764.0-7.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.233.264.4-2.030%-
vs Weaker (13)41.629.871.4+11.877%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Nicholls State wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25ACreighton76-96
28/11/25ATulane72-82
22/11/25AOklahoma State81-95
15/11/25AMurray State79-99
13/11/25AValparaiso63-68
08/11/25AEastern Illinois57-65
05/11/25AKentucky51-77
12/03/25ALamar55-58
11/03/25HIncarnate Word74-70 OT
04/03/25ALamar53-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25HMcNeese State71-67
26/11/25HTexas Lutheran117-55
23/11/25AHigh Point80-91
20/11/25HSouthern Indiana87-81
16/11/25AIndiana61-69
11/11/25HSouthwestern Christian109-70
07/11/25HJarvis Christian104-60
04/11/25AColorado State64-98
11/03/25ANicholls State70-74 OT
10/03/25ASE Louisiana71-67 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games7-7
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.4-68.4
Allowed / game83.1-83.1
Point differential-14.7--14.7
Avg total151.6-151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%100%0%
Points / game86.697.668.3
Allowed / game73.966.686.0
Point differential+12.8+31.0-17.7
Avg total160.5164.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State97278%90.065.4+24.6
2 Stephen F. Austin86275%78.167.8+10.4
3 Lamar75271%75.463.4+12.0
4 Incarnate Word85362%86.673.9+12.8
5 Houston Christian84450%71.171.5-0.4
6 SE Louisiana83538%63.967.4-3.5
7 New Orleans93633%76.680.8-4.2
8 Texas A&M-CC72529%74.676.4-1.9
9 UTRGV51420%77.878.8-1.0
10 Northwestern St.81712%70.284.5-14.2
11 Nicholls State7070%68.483.1-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State344074
Incarnate Word333467
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.