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Nigeria W vs USA W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-88
17-26 16-26 15-24 26-12
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game75.0
Nigeria W
vs
USA W 🏆
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game63.7
EuropeOlympic Games WomenOlympic Games Women - Quarter-finals· Accor Arena
Women2024Neutral venue
Meetings · Nigeria W v USA W
07 Aug 2024
NIGE74
USA 88
09 Feb 2024
NIGE46
USA 100
27 Jul 2021
NIGE72
USA 81
09 Feb 2020
NIGE71
USA 76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nigeria W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nigeria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Egypt W
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
no box
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
no box
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Rwanda W
#7
W
79-48
79
48
+31
no box
A03/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H05/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#17
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 53
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
46-100
46
100
-54
29avg 53
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
61-78
61
78
-17
55avg 53
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
W
75-62
75
62
+13
65avg 53
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
43avg 53
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
79-70
79
70
+9
67avg 53
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
24-13
14-19
27-23
16-18
13-15
18-10
12-9
22-6
22-12
14-17
21-13
19-10
24-21
19-26
22-17
20-18
17-28
12-11
23-8
13-19
7-32
15-24
11-25
11-22
18-18
13-23
19-15
18-17
23-11
10-19
24-15
20-24
11-14
8-16
15-21
18-18
19-23
23-5
19-24
138.1Avg total
69.2Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)64.575.0139.5-10.550%
Season at home (2)60.581.0141.5-20.550%
Season away (4)66.572.0138.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)69.268.9138.1+0.370%
Last 5 (5)63.077.0140.0-14.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.779.6147.2-11.925%
vs Similar (5)66.063.0129.0+3.080%
vs Weaker (10)76.957.8134.7+19.1100%
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Cuba W
#6
W
106-44
106
44
+62
no box
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
68-49
68
49
+19
no box
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
no box
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
75avg 93
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
100-46
100
46
+54
105avg 93
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
101-39
101
39
+62
103avg 93
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
99avg 93
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
91avg 93
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
87-68
87
68
+19
83avg 93
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
33-4
23-10
23-16
23-11
20-18
10-12
15-8
22-17
17-12
15-21
13-13
16-14
21-21
10-25
11-9
15-19
19-24
23-23
24-13
19-13
32-7
24-15
25-11
29-15
21-8
26-9
25-7
22-15
28-24
29-18
23-19
23-23
23-15
14-15
27-21
16-19
25-10
28-17
18-22
146.4Avg total
85.7Scored
60.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.063.7156.7+29.3100%
Season at home (2)91.577.5169.0+14.0100%
Season away (4)93.856.8150.5+37.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.760.7146.4+25.090%
Last 5 (5)95.460.6156.0+34.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (2)56.068.0124.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.961.1151.0+28.7100%
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +9.6+9.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +6.5+6.5
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +9.6+9.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +6.5+6.5
Nigeria WUSA W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nigeria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Egypt W
#9
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Rwanda W
#7
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A03/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H05/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
20-51
20
51
-31
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
70.2Avg total
35.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)35.534.770.3+0.844%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.133.468.5+1.753%-
Last 30 away (12)36.036.472.4-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)35.334.970.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.639.671.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.040.574.5-6.525%-
vs Similar (5)29.834.264.0-4.420%-
vs Weaker (10)40.228.168.3+12.180%-
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cuba W
#6
W
60-18
60
18
+42
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
Belgium W
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
50-23
50
23
+27
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
75.4Avg total
45.1Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.830.776.4+15.190%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.532.277.8+13.385%-
Last 30 away (17)45.929.575.4+16.594%-
Last 10 (10)45.130.375.4+14.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.629.877.4+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.029.068.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (2)31.035.066.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.130.477.5+16.793%-
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nigeria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nigeria W: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.617.3
38.8%
45.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.3
31.7%
30.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.114.7
73.1%
74.5%14.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USA W: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.823.6
48.4%
45.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.8
33.3%
30.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.9
77.2%
74.5%16.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nigeria W
WLWLLWWWWW
USA W
WWWWWWLWWW
#10
League position
#1
+0.1
Net rating
+31.4
87.9
Offensive rating
110.6
87.8
Defensive rating
79.2
41.5%
Effective FG%
48.8%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
40.1%
24.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
43.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.7%
3-point %
33.3%
65.3%
Assist %
71.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 110.6Defence87.8 · 79.2Shooting41.5% · 48.8%3-point %31.7% · 33.3%Ball care24.6% · 19.0%Off. rebounds34.8% · 43.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Nigeria W   ■ USA W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nigeria W wins
3
USA W wins
DateGameScore
09/02/24Nigeria W v USA W46-100
27/07/21Nigeria W v USA W72-81
09/02/20Nigeria W v USA W71-76
Nigeria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/24ACanada W79-70
01/08/24AFrance W54-75
29/07/24HAustralia W75-62
11/02/24ABelgium W61-78
09/02/24HUSA W46-100
08/02/24ASenegal W72-65
05/08/23HSenegal W84-74
03/08/23ARwanda W79-48
02/08/23HMozambique W59-52
30/07/23AEgypt W83-65
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/24AGermany W87-68
01/08/24ABelgium W87-74
29/07/24HJapan W102-76
11/02/24ASenegal W101-39
09/02/24ANigeria W100-46
08/02/24HBelgium W81-79
10/07/23ABrazil W58-69
09/07/23ACanada W67-63
07/07/23HColombia W68-49
05/07/23ACuba W106-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nigeria W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game64.560.566.5
Allowed / game75.081.072.0
Point differential-10.5-20.5-5.5
Avg total139.5141.5138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
USA W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.091.593.8
Allowed / game63.777.556.8
Point differential+29.3+14.0+37.0
Avg total156.7169.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USA W660100%93.063.7+29.3
2 France W76186%81.455.3+26.1
3 Australia W76186%73.765.6+8.1
4 Spain W75271%71.072.1-1.1
5 Belgium W74357%80.171.7+8.4
6 Germany W74357%70.775.1-4.4
7 China W63350%79.571.2+8.3
8 Nigeria W63350%64.575.0-10.5
9 Canada W94544%69.065.0+4.0
10 Serbia W73443%68.468.9-0.4
11 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
12 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
13 Japan W62433%74.283.3-9.2
14 Puerto Rico W93633%62.974.9-12.0
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nigeria W1716152674
USA W2626241288
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