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Ningbo Rockets vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 83-95
23-23 25-29 16-18 19-25
Position#11
Record14-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#13
Record11-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game88.9
ChinaCBA· Youngor Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ningbo Rockets v Guangzhou
27 Jan 2027
NING v GUAN
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
NING83
GUAN95
30 Dec 2024
NING92
GUAN85
29 Jan 2024
NING79
GUAN96
16 Nov 2023
NING97
GUAN99
16 Dec 2022
NING68
GUAN104
27 Jan 2022
NING105
GUAN125
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ningbo Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ningbo RocketsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 80
H23/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 80
H25/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
75-99
75
99
-24
71avg 80
A27/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
75-62
75
62
+13
70avg 80
H29/01
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
94-81
94
81
+13
93avg 80
H01/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
79-75
79
75
+4
72avg 80
H03/02
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 80
A12/03
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 80
A14/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
72-87
72
87
-15
62avg 80
A16/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
80-56
80
56
+24
77avg 80
A19/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
20-21
20-18
21-14
14-26
23-27
26-15
21-18
26-14
15-33
16-20
18-32
23-17
15-12
21-21
16-12
21-13
20-24
30-26
23-18
15-24
20-17
23-16
21-18
20-22
18-20
13-22
33-19
20-24
23-22
11-16
22-15
23-24
18-22
12-21
19-20
28-13
21-20
18-11
13-12
157.5Avg total
80.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.084.1170.1+1.952%
Season at home (13)87.878.5166.4+9.377%
Season away (14)84.389.3173.6-5.029%
Last 10 (10)80.177.4157.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)78.275.6153.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)89.398.3187.7-9.022%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.485.9171.3-0.550%
vs Weaker (9)88.780.3169.0+8.367%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 82
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 82
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
85-92
85
92
-7
81avg 82
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
77avg 82
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
81avg 82
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
89avg 82
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 82
H12/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 82
H14/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
96-97
96
97
-1
92avg 82
A16/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 82
A18/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
20-23
22-24
19-15
27-13
18-34
24-25
9-23
12-30
29-22
22-21
22-19
14-21
28-14
21-21
17-27
24-21
20-21
15-24
22-22
21-14
25-25
20-20
27-26
22-20
20-18
22-13
19-33
26-23
20-24
20-30
19-21
25-24
22-34
21-19
28-20
18-29
16-26
28-23
24-19
174.4Avg total
84.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.688.9175.5-2.341%
Season at home (12)89.387.3176.7+2.050%
Season away (15)84.590.1174.6-5.733%
Last 10 (10)84.789.7174.4-5.020%
Last 5 (5)88.692.2180.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.593.9175.4-12.410%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.090.4181.4+0.647%
vs Weaker (5)95.880.8176.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Ningbo Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
Ningbo RocketsGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ningbo RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H25/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A27/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H29/01
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/02
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/03
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A19/03
CBA
81.4Avg total
40.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.645.788.3-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.042.185.1+0.964%-
Last 30 away (16)42.348.891.1-6.519%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.682.8-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.452.095.4-8.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.843.284.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker (9)43.042.885.8+0.244%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H14/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A16/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A18/03
CBA
87.8Avg total
42.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.045.990.9-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.345.894.1+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)42.146.088.1-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.287.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.047.490.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.648.791.3-6.110%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.745.791.5+0.067%-
vs Weaker (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
This opponent (Ningbo Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ningbo Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ningbo Rockets: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.8
53.9%
54.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
35.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.717.2
69.6%
73.6%17.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.6
51.4%
54.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.4
36.4%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.415.9
74.3%
73.6%15.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ningbo Rockets
WLLWWWWLLW
Guangzhou
LLLLWLLLLW
#11
League position
#13
+3.1
Net rating
-6.1
93.3
Offensive rating
94.7
90.2
Defensive rating
100.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
36.4%
55.2%
Assist %
59.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 94.7Defence90.2 · 100.8Shooting51.9% · 52.5%3-point %32.3% · 36.4%Ball care15.2% · 15.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Ningbo Rockets   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ningbo Rockets wins
8
Guangzhou wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26ASichuan80-56
16/03/26AZhejiang Guangsha72-87
14/03/26AFujian76-77
12/03/26AGuangzhou84-83
03/02/26HBeijing Royal Fighters79-75
01/02/26HGuangdong94-81
29/01/26HLiaoning75-62
27/01/26AShandong75-99
25/01/26HJiangsu Dragons84-86
23/01/26HQingdao82-68
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26ALiaoning86-97
16/03/26AShenzhen96-97
14/03/26HBeijing85-98
12/03/26HNingbo Rockets83-84
05/03/26HShandong93-85
03/02/26AQingdao81-88
31/01/26AShandong80-83
29/01/26HFujian85-92
27/01/26AShanghai78-95
25/01/26AQingdao80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ningbo Rockets
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%77%29%
Points / game86.087.884.3
Allowed / game84.178.589.3
Point differential+1.9+9.3-5.0
Avg total170.1166.4173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%46%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game86.689.384.5
Allowed / game88.987.390.1
Point differential-2.3+2.0-5.7
Avg total175.5176.7174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai2723485%96.981.2+15.7
2 Zhejiang Guangsha2823582%90.578.8+11.7
3 Guangdong2819968%94.490.6+3.8
4 Shandong28181064%94.089.0+5.0
5 Beijing27171063%90.182.8+7.3
6 Shenzhen28171161%96.293.6+2.6
7 Qingdao27161159%85.881.1+4.7
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou27151256%86.482.4+4.1
9 Liaoning27151256%84.382.6+1.7
10 Shanxi Zhongyu27141352%90.187.6+2.5
11 Ningbo Rockets27141352%86.084.1+1.9
12 Beijing Royal Fighters28121643%88.193.6-5.5
13 Guangzhou27111641%86.688.9-2.3
14 Fujian27111641%90.393.4-3.2
15 Jilin27111641%83.188.1-5.0
16 Xinjiang28111739%85.684.8+0.8
17 Nanjing Tongxi27101737%90.395.5-5.1
18 Tianjin2891932%91.895.2-3.5
19 Jiangsu Dragons2882029%81.590.9-9.4
20 Sichuan270270%70.098.1-28.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ningbo Rockets2325161983
Guangzhou2329182595
← all games of the day
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