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Shenzhen vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 97-96
24-25 34-22 19-21 20-28
Position#3
Record14-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game94.6
vs
Position#13
Record11-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game88.2
ChinaCBA· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shenzhen v Guangzhou
13 Jan 2027
SHEN v GUAN
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
SHEN97
GUAN96
29 Oct 2024
SHEN101
GUAN108
24 Mar 2024
SHEN106
GUAN115
04 Nov 2023
SHEN105
GUAN108
17 Jan 2023
SHEN89
GUAN114
17 Mar 2022
SHEN114
GUAN120
07 Jan 2021
SHEN112
GUAN103
05 Jan 2020
SHEN96
GUAN90
06 Nov 2019
SHEN103
GUAN119
03 Mar 2019
SHEN97
GUAN117
21 Oct 2018
SHEN123
GUAN107
03 Mar 2018
SHEN121
GUAN113
11 Feb 2018
SHEN138
GUAN121
30 Oct 2016
SHEN110
GUAN106
01 Nov 2015
SHEN116
GUAN111
26 Dec 2014
SHEN122
GUAN110
10 Nov 2013
SHEN97
GUAN107
20 Jan 2013
SHEN141
GUAN133
07 Dec 2011
SHEN117
GUAN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
87-83
87
83
+4
80avg 90
A18/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
92-90
92
90
+2
80avg 90
A20/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
105-95
105
95
+10
101avg 90
H22/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
111-88
111
88
+23
107avg 90
H25/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
106-77
106
77
+29
110avg 90
H27/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
76avg 90
A30/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
90-71
90
71
+19
82avg 90
A01/02
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
123-126 OT
123
126
-3
110avg 90
A03/02
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
88-96
88
96
-8
76avg 90
H11/03
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
97-101
97
101
-4
88avg 90
H13/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
24-14
24-24
19-20
25-24
21-17
25-27
21-22
23-20
26-24
29-28
27-23
26-15
29-20
24-20
32-33
21-18
35-15
21-25
29-19
27-23
24-28
17-25
24-25
21-21
21-15
26-15
22-20
25-26
30-25
21-24
19-20
24-22
30-22
17-31
17-21
22-29
30-26
24-26
21-20
191.9Avg total
99.1Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)95.794.6190.2+1.156%
Season at home (13)99.292.2191.4+7.169%
Season away (12)91.897.2189.0-5.342%
Last 10 (10)99.192.8191.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)98.099.0197.0-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)96.6107.0203.6-10.420%
vs Similar (15)92.194.4186.5-2.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)102.396.4198.7+5.960%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
104-75
104
75
+29
96avg 81
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
112-102 OT
112
102
+10
no box
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 81
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 81
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
85-92
85
92
-7
81avg 81
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
77avg 81
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
81avg 81
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
89avg 81
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 81
H12/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 81
H14/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
26-15
29-19
19-13
21-16
31-24
24-26
18-28
19-16
20-23
22-24
19-15
27-13
18-34
24-25
9-23
12-30
29-22
22-21
22-19
14-21
28-14
21-21
17-27
24-21
20-21
15-24
22-22
21-14
25-25
20-20
27-26
22-20
20-18
22-13
19-33
26-23
20-24
20-30
19-21
176.1Avg total
88.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.388.2174.5-2.044%
Season at home (12)89.387.3176.7+2.050%
Season away (13)83.589.1172.5-5.638%
Last 10 (10)88.188.0176.1+0.140%
Last 5 (5)84.487.6172.0-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.297.7179.9-15.59%
vs Similar (14)91.489.9181.3+1.450%
vs Weaker (5)95.880.8176.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
ShenzhenGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A20/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H22/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H25/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H27/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A30/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/02
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A03/02
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H11/03
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H13/03
CBA
93.3Avg total
50.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.148.598.6+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.146.598.7+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)48.050.598.5-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)50.442.993.3+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)50.847.498.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.857.0108.8-5.220%-
vs Similar (15)47.946.894.7+1.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)52.446.999.3+5.570%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H14/03
CBA
87.5Avg total
45.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.346.591.8-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.345.894.1+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)42.747.189.8-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.287.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.284.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.650.893.5-8.29%-
vs Similar (14)46.645.191.6+1.571%-
vs Weaker (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.424.9
57.4%
54.6%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.1
32.9%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.919.0
73.4%
73.6%19.0
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.8
52.4%
54.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.2
36.6%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.214.5
71.8%
73.6%14.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
LLLWLWWWWW
Guangzhou
LLWLLLLWWW
#3
League position
#13
+6.5
Net rating
-4.5
102.4
Offensive rating
94.8
95.9
Defensive rating
99.3
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
10.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
36.6%
59.4%
Assist %
57.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 94.8Defence95.9 · 99.3Shooting54.0% · 53.3%3-point %32.9% · 36.6%Ball care10.8% · 15.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shenzhen wins
7
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Guangzhou v Shenzhen86-104
29/10/24Shenzhen v Guangzhou101-108
24/03/24Shenzhen v Guangzhou106-115
05/02/24Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-96
03/12/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen108-115
04/11/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou105-108
17/01/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou89-114
01/01/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-105
21/03/22Guangzhou v Shenzhen104-119
17/03/22Shenzhen v Guangzhou114-120
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HGuangdong97-101
11/03/26HLiaoning88-96
03/02/26ANanjing Tongxi123-126 OT
01/02/26AJiangsu Dragons90-71
30/01/26AShanghai92-101
27/01/26HFujian106-77
25/01/26HNanjing Tongxi111-88
22/01/26HShanxi Zhongyu105-95
20/01/26AZhejiang Chouzhou92-90
18/01/26ALiaoning87-83
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HBeijing85-98
12/03/26HNingbo Rockets83-84
05/03/26HShandong93-85
03/02/26AQingdao81-88
31/01/26AShandong80-83
29/01/26HFujian85-92
27/01/26AShanghai78-95
25/01/26AQingdao80-78
23/01/26HNanjing Tongxi112-102 OT
19/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters104-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%69%42%
Points / game95.799.291.8
Allowed / game94.692.297.2
Point differential+1.1+7.1-5.3
Avg total190.2191.4189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%46%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game86.389.383.5
Allowed / game88.287.389.1
Point differential-2.0+2.0-5.6
Avg total174.5176.7172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai2521484%96.880.6+16.2
2 Zhejiang Guangsha2520580%90.078.4+11.5
3 Guangdong2618869%93.890.6+3.3
4 Shandong2517868%93.587.7+5.8
5 Beijing2516964%89.682.0+7.6
6 Qingdao25151060%85.481.4+3.9
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou25141156%85.781.6+4.1
8 Shenzhen25141156%95.794.6+1.1
9 Liaoning26141254%83.882.4+1.3
10 Ningbo Rockets25131252%86.885.1+1.7
11 Shanxi Zhongyu26131350%89.587.1+2.4
12 Beijing Royal Fighters26121446%87.792.9-5.3
13 Guangzhou25111444%86.388.2-2.0
14 Xinjiang26111542%85.882.8+3.0
15 Jilin26111542%82.987.5-4.6
16 Tianjin2591636%92.894.7-2.0
17 Fujian2591636%89.393.5-4.2
18 Nanjing Tongxi2591636%90.395.5-5.2
19 Jiangsu Dragons2561924%81.290.6-9.4
20 Sichuan250250%69.999.1-29.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shenzhen2434192097
Guangzhou2522212896
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