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Liaoning vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 97-86
29-18 26-16 23-28 19-24
Position#9
Record14-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#13
Record11-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game88.6
ChinaCBA· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Liaoning v Guangzhou
03 Nov 2026
LIAO100
GUAN93
18 Mar 2026
LIAO97
GUAN86
21 Mar 2025
LIAO135
GUAN108
03 Nov 2024
LIAO97
GUAN86
09 Mar 2024
LIAO109
GUAN103
18 Oct 2022
LIAO107
GUAN90
18 Jan 2022
LIAO110
GUAN98
16 Dec 2020
LIAO95
GUAN93
09 Nov 2020
LIAO117
GUAN82
23 Jun 2020
LIAO102
GUAN106
01 Feb 2019
LIAO110
GUAN94
16 Nov 2018
LIAO120
GUAN108
20 Dec 2017
LIAO99
GUAN111
28 Dec 2016
LIAO119
GUAN98
04 Dec 2015
LIAO99
GUAN103
17 Dec 2014
LIAO117
GUAN107
05 Jan 2014
LIAO115
GUAN93
06 Feb 2013
LIAO128
GUAN122
11 Jan 2012
LIAO116
GUAN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
86-90
86
90
-4
70avg 84
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
75avg 84
H23/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
L
59-78
59
78
-19
50avg 84
A25/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
109-57
109
57
+52
114avg 84
A27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
62-75
62
75
-13
45avg 84
A29/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
105-91
105
91
+14
110avg 84
H31/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
92avg 84
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
99avg 84
A11/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 84
H13/03
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
89-73
89
73
+16
92avg 84
A15/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
17-28
23-18
22-23
16-19
14-20
30-27
19-18
14-23
26-19
15-16
4-20
23-17
29-15
28-7
29-18
17-23
12-15
21-21
12-16
19-24
28-24
33-16
25-27
22-18
21-20
19-21
18-21
22-24
22-30
31-17
21-17
15-27
25-20
25-19
27-18
26-11
23-24
23-17
17-21
167.4Avg total
87.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.882.4166.2+1.354%
Season at home (13)86.085.6171.6+0.462%
Season away (13)81.579.2160.8+2.346%
Last 10 (10)87.280.2167.4+7.060%
Last 5 (5)95.483.6179.0+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.498.3180.7-15.914%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.684.9167.5-2.243%
vs Weaker (9)90.874.9165.7+15.989%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
112-102 OT
112
102
+10
no box
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 82
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 82
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
85-92
85
92
-7
81avg 82
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
77avg 82
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
81avg 82
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
89avg 82
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 82
H12/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 82
H14/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
96-97
96
97
-1
92avg 82
A16/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
31-24
24-26
18-28
19-16
20-23
22-24
19-15
27-13
18-34
24-25
9-23
12-30
29-22
22-21
22-19
14-21
28-14
21-21
17-27
24-21
20-21
15-24
22-22
21-14
25-25
20-20
27-26
22-20
20-18
22-13
19-33
26-23
20-24
20-30
19-21
25-24
22-34
21-19
28-20
177.5Avg total
87.3Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.788.6175.2-1.942%
Season at home (12)89.387.3176.7+2.050%
Season away (14)84.489.6174.0-5.336%
Last 10 (10)87.390.2177.5-2.930%
Last 5 (5)87.690.4178.0-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.997.6181.5-13.79%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.489.9181.3+1.450%
vs Weaker (5)95.880.8176.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
LiaoningGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H23/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A25/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H31/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H13/03
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A15/03
CBA
83.7Avg total
41.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.886.4-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.445.188.4-1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)42.042.784.7-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.283.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)44.644.489.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.152.093.1-10.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.144.585.6-3.436%-
vs Weaker (9)46.236.382.6+9.989%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/03
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H14/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A16/03
CBA
88.1Avg total
44.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.646.692.2-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.345.894.1+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)43.247.490.6-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.788.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.889.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.451.394.6-7.99%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.645.191.6+1.571%-
vs Weaker (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.2
54.4%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.7%
35.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.115.3
72.5%
73.6%15.3
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.6
52.2%
54.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.3
37.4%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
73.6%16.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWWWWLWLLL
Guangzhou
LLLWLLLLWW
#9
League position
#13
+7.8
Net rating
-1.6
99.6
Offensive rating
96.1
91.8
Defensive rating
97.7
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.7%
3-point %
37.4%
67.0%
Assist %
57.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 96.1Defence91.8 · 97.7Shooting52.0% · 53.5%3-point %32.7% · 37.4%Ball care14.0% · 15.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Liaoning   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Liaoning wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
21/03/25Liaoning v Guangzhou135-108
26/12/24Guangzhou v Liaoning97-98
03/11/24Liaoning v Guangzhou97-86
18/10/24Guangzhou v Liaoning88-120
09/03/24Liaoning v Guangzhou109-103
26/12/23Guangzhou v Liaoning76-93
03/04/23Guangzhou v Liaoning87-69
18/10/22Liaoning v Guangzhou107-90
18/01/22Liaoning v Guangzhou110-98
17/10/21Guangzhou v Liaoning89-107
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26AGuangdong89-73
13/03/26HShanxi Zhongyu92-84
11/03/26AShenzhen96-88
03/02/26HJiangsu Dragons95-82 OT
31/01/26HTianjin105-91
29/01/26ANingbo Rockets62-75
27/01/26ASichuan109-57
25/01/26AXinjiang59-78
23/01/26HShandong79-84
20/01/26AShanxi Zhongyu86-90
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26AShenzhen96-97
14/03/26HBeijing85-98
12/03/26HNingbo Rockets83-84
05/03/26HShandong93-85
03/02/26AQingdao81-88
31/01/26AShandong80-83
29/01/26HFujian85-92
27/01/26AShanghai78-95
25/01/26AQingdao80-78
23/01/26HNanjing Tongxi112-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLWLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game83.886.081.5
Allowed / game82.485.679.2
Point differential+1.3+0.4+2.3
Avg total166.2171.6160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %42%50%36%
Points / game86.789.384.4
Allowed / game88.687.389.6
Point differential-1.9+2.0-5.3
Avg total175.2176.7174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %8%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai2622485%96.380.6+15.7
2 Zhejiang Guangsha2621581%89.878.2+11.7
3 Guangdong2719870%94.590.5+4.0
4 Beijing2617965%89.581.8+7.8
5 Shandong2617965%93.188.0+5.0
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou26151158%86.181.7+4.5
7 Qingdao26151158%85.281.5+3.6
8 Shenzhen26151158%95.794.6+1.1
9 Liaoning26141254%83.882.4+1.3
10 Shanxi Zhongyu27141352%90.187.6+2.5
11 Ningbo Rockets26131350%86.285.2+1.0
12 Beijing Royal Fighters27121544%88.293.4-5.3
13 Guangzhou26111542%86.788.6-1.9
14 Jilin26111542%82.987.5-4.6
15 Xinjiang27111641%85.983.9+2.0
16 Fujian26101638%89.593.0-3.5
17 Tianjin2691735%92.194.5-2.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi2691735%89.995.5-5.6
19 Jiangsu Dragons2671927%81.590.4-8.9
20 Sichuan260260%70.598.8-28.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning2926231997
Guangzhou1816282486
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