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North Carolina vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 79-94
34-43 45-51
Position#111
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#34
Record6-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · North Carolina v Alabama
04 Dec 2024
NORT79
ALAB94
28 Mar 2024
NORT87
ALAB89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#193
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H23/03
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H29/03
NCAA
Elon
#174
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A09/11
NCAA
American University
#102
W
107-55
107
55
+52
H16/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A23/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
92-90
92
90
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-28
50-34
40-31
45-38
54-46
33-43
51-39
39-37
38-53
51-39
43-34
64-21
41-34
46-35
33-51
59-39
32-40
40-45
34-43
48-39
167.1Avg total
89.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.780.1169.9+9.657%
Season at home (5)90.480.0170.4+10.460%
Season away (2)88.080.5168.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)89.078.1167.1+10.960%
Last 5 (5)89.878.6168.4+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.589.5171.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.579.9166.4+6.675%
vs Weaker (20)81.868.0149.8+13.880%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H31/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A07/04
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
110-54
110
54
+56
H05/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H09/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
100-87
100
87
+13
A21/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A28/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
54-50
40-44
32-42
50-29
60-25
43-40
45-39
41-30
31-34
40-42
38-45
52-38
48-49
34-36
44-42
41-41
54-49
39-39
42-44
166.2Avg total
87.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.678.0166.6+10.675%
Season at home (5)87.272.0159.2+15.280%
Season away (3)91.088.0179.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)87.079.2166.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)87.885.4173.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.285.0164.2-5.850%
vs Similar ◀ (18)87.983.9171.8+4.061%
vs Weaker (8)98.284.0182.2+14.2100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +10.5+10.52nd half: +2.9+2.9
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +10.5+10.52nd half: +2.9+2.9
North CarolinaAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagner
#193
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H23/03
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H29/03
NCAA
Elon
#174
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A09/11
NCAA
American University
#102
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H28/11
NCAA
80.5Avg total
40.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.175.6+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.036.477.4+4.665%-
Last 30 away (10)36.435.471.8+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.980.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.477.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.041.574.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.940.581.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (20)39.633.873.3+5.970%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#74
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H31/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A07/04
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H05/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H12/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A21/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A28/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H01/12
NCAA
78.6Avg total
41.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.081.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.435.777.1+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)40.745.686.3-4.923%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.178.6+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.841.281.0-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.539.480.9+2.156%-
vs Weaker (8)40.940.681.5+0.250%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
2
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
29/03/24North Carolina v Alabama87-89
27/11/22Alabama v North Carolina103-101 OT
27/11/19Alabama v North Carolina67-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24HMichigan State91-94 OT
27/11/24HAuburn72-85
26/11/24HDayton92-90
23/11/24AHawaii87-69
16/11/24HAmerican University107-55
09/11/24AKansas89-92
05/11/24HElon90-76
29/03/24HAlabama87-89
23/03/24HMichigan State85-69
21/03/24HWagner90-62
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HOregon81-83
28/11/24ARutgers95-90
27/11/24HHouston85-80 OT
21/11/24AIllinois100-87
16/11/24APurdue78-87
12/11/24HMcNeese State72-64
09/11/24HArkansas State88-79
05/11/24HUNC Asheville110-54
07/04/24AUconn72-86
31/03/24HClemson89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game89.790.488.0
Allowed / game80.180.080.5
Point differential+9.6+10.4+7.5
Avg total169.9170.4168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%20%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game88.687.291.0
Allowed / game78.072.088.0
Point differential+10.6+15.2+3.0
Avg total166.6159.2179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson98189%78.363.2+15.1
2 Pittsburgh87188%85.166.5+18.6
3 SMU Mustangs97278%88.371.8+16.6
4 Florida State97278%78.766.3+12.3
5 Stanford97278%79.268.2+11.0
6 California86275%81.574.5+7.0
7 Duke75271%80.758.6+22.1
8 NC State75271%76.465.4+11.0
9 Virginia75271%62.158.7+3.4
10 Wake Forest107370%66.964.7+2.2
11 Boston College96367%70.368.7+1.7
12 Louisville85362%77.467.1+10.2
13 North Carolina74357%89.780.1+9.6
14 Syracuse74357%79.480.9-1.4
15 Georgia Tech84450%78.174.8+3.4
16 Notre Dame94544%74.871.2+3.6
17 Virginia Tech73443%69.370.1-0.9
18 Miami (FL)83538%82.474.4+8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee880100%83.456.6+26.8
2 Florida880100%86.564.5+22.0
3 Auburn770100%86.766.6+20.1
4 Oklahoma880100%80.164.5+15.6
5 Georgia98189%82.364.4+17.9
6 Kentucky87188%92.968.4+24.5
7 Missouri87188%91.166.8+24.4
8 Ole Miss87188%83.067.9+15.1
9 Vanderbilt87188%84.069.6+14.4
10 LSU87188%82.069.8+12.2
11 Texas76186%83.361.7+21.6
12 Mississippi St.76186%85.068.9+16.1
13 Texas A&M97278%75.464.7+10.8
14 Arkansas86275%80.064.8+15.2
15 Alabama86275%88.678.0+10.6
16 South Carolina85362%75.167.1+8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina344579
Alabama435194
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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