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North Carolina vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:39
Final 87-89
54-46 33-43
Position#19
Record29-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game70.0
North Carolina
USA
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#67
Record23-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game80.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · North Carolina v Alabama
04 Dec 2024
NORT79
ALAB94
28 Mar 2024
NORT87
ALAB89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H27/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
84-51
84
51
+33
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A09/03
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H14/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H15/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H17/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H23/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-16
28-28
37-32
38-39
37-45
42-25
41-25
43-26
40-31
44-48
46-30
46-37
33-35
39-30
40-39
36-45
40-28
50-34
40-31
45-38
145.3Avg total
79.1Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.870.0151.8+11.881%
Season at home (23)86.470.5156.9+15.987%
Season away (13)73.769.1142.8+4.669%
Last 10 (10)79.166.2145.3+12.990%
Last 5 (5)83.069.4152.4+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.975.4159.3+8.486%
vs Weaker (22)80.567.7148.2+12.782%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#139
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
95-117
95
117
-22
A24/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
103-88
103
88
+15
A29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H03/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
87-105
87
105
-18
A06/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
H09/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
88-102
88
102
-14
H16/03
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
109-96
109
96
+13
H22/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H24/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-35
51-40
37-41
48-44
42-58
53-59
39-42
64-46
41-39
33-42
35-44
52-61
36-42
38-32
33-48
55-54
51-34
58-62
38-30
34-31
182.4Avg total
91.8Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)90.780.9171.6+9.868%
Season at home (19)93.275.3168.5+17.984%
Season away (15)87.688.0175.6-0.447%
Last 10 (10)91.890.6182.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)89.690.4180.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.088.2168.2-8.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.986.1172.9+0.843%
vs Weaker (12)95.277.2172.4+17.9100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +1.5+1.5
North CarolinaAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A09/03
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H14/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/03
NCAA
Wagner
#193
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H23/03
NCAA
69.2Avg total
38.0Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.333.973.2+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.133.976.0+8.171%-
Last 30 away (13)35.633.969.5+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)38.031.269.2+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.672.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.134.674.7+5.657%-
vs Weaker (22)39.033.372.3+5.764%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#139
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A24/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H16/03
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H22/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H24/03
NCAA
81.4Avg total
40.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.080.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.334.977.1+7.473%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.183.8-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.381.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.678.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.543.286.8+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.939.179.0+0.743%-
vs Weaker (12)42.837.380.1+5.475%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
North Carolina wins
1
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22Alabama v North Carolina103-101 OT
27/11/19Alabama v North Carolina67-76
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HMichigan State85-69
21/03/24HWagner90-62
17/03/24HNC State76-84
15/03/24HPittsburgh72-65
14/03/24HFlorida State92-67
09/03/24ADuke84-79
06/03/24HNotre Dame84-51
02/03/24HNC State79-70
27/02/24HMiami (FL)75-71
24/02/24AVirginia54-44
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HGrand Canyon72-61
22/03/24HCharleston109-96
16/03/24HFlorida88-102
09/03/24HArkansas92-88 OT
06/03/24AFlorida87-105
03/03/24HTennessee74-81
29/02/24AOle Miss103-88
24/02/24AKentucky95-117
22/02/24HFlorida98-93 OT
17/02/24HTexas A&M100-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayLWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362313
Win %81%87%69%
Points / game81.886.473.7
Allowed / game70.070.569.1
Point differential+11.8+15.9+4.6
Avg total151.8156.9142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%61%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%4%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW68%
HomeLWLWW84%
AwayLWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %68%84%47%
Points / game90.793.287.6
Allowed / game80.975.388.0
Point differential+9.8+17.9-0.4
Avg total171.6168.5175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%68%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3629781%81.870.0+11.8
2 Duke3426876%79.866.5+13.3
3 Clemson35241169%77.270.7+6.5
4 Virginia34231168%62.959.8+3.1
5 Pittsburgh33221167%75.667.6+8.0
6 NC State38241463%76.572.6+4.0
7 SMU Mustangs32201262%76.367.8+8.5
8 Syracuse32201262%76.375.6+0.7
9 Wake Forest33201361%78.270.5+7.7
10 Virginia Tech32181456%75.071.1+3.9
11 Boston College34191556%74.672.1+2.5
12 Florida State33171652%76.576.3+0.2
13 Miami (FL)33151845%75.473.6+1.8
14 Stanford32141844%76.376.5-0.1
15 Georgia Tech32141844%71.075.2-4.2
16 California32131941%74.077.0-3.1
17 Notre Dame33132039%64.067.2-3.1
18 Louisville3282425%72.079.1-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn3527877%83.168.3+14.8
2 Tennessee3426876%79.167.0+12.0
3 South Carolina3426876%72.167.6+4.5
4 Kentucky33231070%89.079.7+9.3
5 Alabama34231168%90.780.9+9.8
6 Florida36241267%85.679.2+6.4
7 Oklahoma32201262%75.468.8+6.6
8 Ole Miss32201262%74.973.9+1.0
9 Texas34211362%75.468.9+6.5
10 Mississippi St.35211460%74.169.1+5.0
11 Texas A&M36211558%76.072.0+4.0
12 LSU32171553%76.374.7+1.7
13 Georgia33171652%74.874.6+0.2
14 Arkansas33161748%77.879.8-2.0
15 Vanderbilt3292328%67.975.9-8.0
16 Missouri3282425%72.276.2-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina543387
Alabama464389
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