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North Carolina vs Miami (FL) Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 09 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#105
Record12-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#268
Record7-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · North Carolina v Miami (FL)
01 Mar 2025
NORT92
MIAM73
26 Feb 2024
NORT75
MIAM71
13 Feb 2023
NORT72
MIAM80
08 Feb 2021
NORT v MIAM
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
NORT94
MIAM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#84
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
32-43
29-30
37-35
32-30
35-35
40-40
41-35
37-41
38-41
31-33
49-40
43-33
43-43
34-27
41-38
21-33
29-30
41-39
50-48
146.1Avg total
73.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.170.4144.5+3.667%
Season at home (7)76.069.3145.3+6.786%
Season away (11)72.871.2144.0+1.655%
Last 10 (10)73.872.3146.1+1.570%
Last 5 (5)76.472.8149.2+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.479.7153.1-6.320%
vs Similar (12)74.972.2147.2+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)72.865.1137.9+7.6100%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#105
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H06/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A09/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H24/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A27/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A30/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H02/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-32
35-35
31-32
33-27
34-44
28-40
33-21
45-51
22-36
35-47
22-30
37-43
23-35
36-46
24-34
30-32
33-35
44-40
28-31
46-43
139.1Avg total
65.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)66.769.9136.7-3.239%
Season at home (12)68.967.2136.1+1.850%
Season away (6)62.375.5137.8-13.217%
Last 10 (10)65.174.0139.1-8.930%
Last 5 (5)65.075.0140.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)66.771.2137.9-4.530%
vs Similar (9)69.668.7138.2+0.956%
vs Weaker (1)85.058.0143.0+27.0100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -3.5-3.5
North CarolinaMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#84
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.335.168.4-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.233.668.8+1.555%-
Last 30 away (19)32.235.968.1-3.837%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.567.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.067.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.336.468.7-4.130%-
vs Similar (12)34.836.571.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)32.231.463.6+0.950%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#105
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H06/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H24/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A27/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A30/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H02/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H06/02
NCAA
61.0Avg total
28.0Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.262.9-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.428.960.3+2.650%-
Last 30 away (12)29.637.266.8-7.717%-
Last 10 (10)28.033.061.0-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)26.033.059.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.933.061.9-4.125%-
vs Similar (9)33.931.465.3+2.456%-
vs Weaker (1)38.023.061.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
North Carolina wins
0
Miami (FL) wins
DateGameScore
06/01/21Miami (FL) v North Carolina65-67
25/01/20North Carolina v Miami (FL)94-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21ADuke91-87
03/02/21AClemson50-63
27/01/21APittsburgh75-65
23/01/21HNC State86-76
21/01/21HWake Forest80-73
16/01/21AFlorida State75-82
13/01/21HSyracuse81-75
06/01/21AMiami (FL)67-65
02/01/21HNotre Dame66-65
31/12/20AGeorgia Tech67-72
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21HVirginia Tech76-80 OT
02/02/21HDuke77-75
30/01/21AWake Forest54-66
27/01/21AFlorida State59-81
24/01/21HNotre Dame59-73
20/01/21ASyracuse57-83
17/01/21HLouisville78-72
13/01/21ABoston College62-84
09/01/21ANC State64-59
06/01/21HNorth Carolina65-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %67%86%55%
Points / game74.176.072.8
Allowed / game70.469.371.2
Point differential+3.6+6.7+1.6
Avg total144.5145.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %39%50%17%
Points / game66.768.962.3
Allowed / game69.967.275.5
Point differential-3.2+1.8-13.2
Avg total136.7136.1137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1613381%71.460.1+11.3
2 Virginia Tech1814478%72.565.6+6.9
3 Florida State1310377%78.268.3+9.8
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%74.366.6+7.7
5 Louisville1511473%69.564.2+5.3
6 Clemson1712571%65.162.6+2.5
7 North Carolina1812667%74.170.4+3.6
8 Stanford1912763%72.368.4+3.9
9 Syracuse1610662%76.770.8+5.9
10 Georgia Tech159660%76.772.2+4.5
11 Pittsburgh159660%72.669.4+3.2
12 NC State158753%75.270.3+4.9
13 Duke147750%75.172.1+3.0
14 Notre Dame1771041%71.871.4+0.4
15 Miami (FL)1871139%66.769.9-3.2
16 Wake Forest135838%69.268.7+0.5
17 California2171433%66.470.2-3.8
18 Boston College1431121%72.178.4-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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