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North Carolina vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-80
34-35 38-45
Position#117
Record16-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#122
Record28-22
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · North Carolina v Miami (FL)
01 Mar 2025
NORT92
MIAM73
26 Feb 2024
NORT75
MIAM71
13 Feb 2023
NORT72
MIAM80
08 Feb 2021
NORT v MIAM
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
NORT94
MIAM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H07/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H18/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-28
40-36
29-27
29-38
37-26
43-33
31-26
41-38
34-33
46-36
38-34
34-34
33-34
31-31
32-33
25-30
25-47
60-45
42-33
49-38
142.0Avg total
74.0Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.472.2150.6+6.364%
Season at home (13)81.168.2149.2+12.992%
Season away (12)75.676.5152.1-0.933%
Last 10 (10)74.068.0142.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)73.871.8145.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.679.1164.7+6.471%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.671.1144.8+2.550%
vs Weaker (7)81.366.0147.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A04/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H07/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-40
31-34
33-28
35-43
45-44
47-39
35-40
43-41
29-33
39-45
35-35
43-39
40-26
41-33
43-40
42-38
30-25
30-41
42-41
51-44
152.1Avg total
77.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)76.472.8149.2+3.756%
Season at home (31)79.572.4151.9+7.068%
Season away (19)71.573.3144.8-1.837%
Last 10 (10)77.274.9152.1+2.350%
Last 5 (5)79.472.4151.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.575.5148.0-3.017%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.777.4154.1-0.750%
vs Weaker (14)77.571.8149.3+5.757%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
North CarolinaMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H18/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H11/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
34.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.368.1+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.930.268.1+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)34.034.168.1-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.232.166.3+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.270.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.033.671.6+4.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.432.766.1+0.756%-
vs Weaker (7)39.130.169.3+9.0100%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H01/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Clemson
#60
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A04/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H07/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H12/02
NCAA
72.2Avg total
37.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.572.2+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.434.572.9+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)34.636.771.4-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.272.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.471.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.037.072.0-2.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.336.470.7-2.140%-
vs Weaker (14)39.034.373.3+4.764%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
North Carolina wins
1
Miami (FL) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HClemson91-71
08/02/23AWake Forest85-92
04/02/23ADuke57-63
02/02/23HPittsburgh64-65
25/01/23ASyracuse72-68
21/01/23HNC State80-69
18/01/23HBoston College72-64
14/01/23ALouisville80-59
11/01/23AVirginia58-65
07/01/23HNotre Dame81-64
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23HLouisville93-85
11/02/23HCentral Michigan60-66
08/02/23HWestern Michigan85-78
07/02/23HDuke81-59
04/02/23AClemson78-74
04/02/23AOhio68-78
01/02/23HToledo78-81
01/02/23HVirginia Tech92-83
28/01/23APittsburgh68-71
28/01/23HEastern Michigan69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%92%33%
Points / game78.481.175.6
Allowed / game72.268.276.5
Point differential+6.3+12.9-0.9
Avg total150.6149.2152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayLWLLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games503119
Win %56%68%37%
Points / game76.479.571.5
Allowed / game72.872.473.3
Point differential+3.7+7.0-1.8
Avg total149.2151.9144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)38% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2319483%70.060.4+9.5
2 NC State2620677%78.969.0+9.9
3 Pittsburgh2518772%74.967.8+7.1
4 Clemson2518772%73.768.0+5.6
5 Duke2517868%71.564.3+7.2
6 Wake Forest2617965%77.773.1+4.6
7 North Carolina2516964%78.472.2+6.3
8 Virginia Tech25151060%74.768.8+5.9
9 Syracuse25151060%74.670.3+4.3
10 Miami (FL)50282256%76.472.8+3.7
11 Boston College26121446%66.370.5-4.2
12 Stanford25111444%69.266.9+2.3
13 Notre Dame25101540%71.072.7-1.7
14 Georgia Tech2591636%67.371.0-3.7
15 SMU Mustangs2691735%70.274.7-4.6
16 Florida State2681831%70.275.6-5.4
17 California2532212%59.268.7-9.5
18 Louisville2532212%64.076.1-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina343872
Miami (FL)354580
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