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North Carolina vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-73
46-31 46-42
Position#111
Record18-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#344
Record6-22
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game80.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · North Carolina v Miami (FL)
01 Mar 2025
NORT92
MIAM73
26 Feb 2024
NORT75
MIAM71
13 Feb 2023
NORT72
MIAM80
08 Feb 2021
NORT v MIAM
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
NORT94
MIAM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
35-38
46-45
43-44
44-42
21-31
25-47
45-40
35-32
32-34
33-49
32-36
42-34
46-48
54-26
43-47
46-34
35-32
49-43
47-42
157.7Avg total
79.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.476.6158.0+4.862%
Season at home (16)85.575.0160.5+10.575%
Season away (13)76.478.5154.9-2.246%
Last 10 (10)79.778.0157.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)85.478.2163.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.488.2164.6-11.80%
vs Similar (13)79.378.8158.1+0.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.270.4156.7+15.8100%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
51-88
51
88
-37
A23/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
60-97
60
97
-37
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-37
30-51
39-47
40-32
29-40
42-42
25-36
38-21
38-46
40-42
43-37
48-47
30-32
35-42
31-31
35-43
38-38
30-43
32-47
28-50
153.0Avg total
70.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.180.3154.4-6.221%
Season at home (16)77.478.9156.3-1.438%
Season away (12)69.782.2151.9-12.60%
Last 10 (10)70.782.3153.0-11.620%
Last 5 (5)70.082.0152.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.280.7152.9-8.419%
vs Similar (8)75.682.0157.6-6.412%
vs Weaker (1)93.063.0156.0+30.0100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -4.7-4.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -4.7-4.7
North CarolinaMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A25/02
NCAA
78.6Avg total
40.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.075.5+1.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.535.676.1+4.976%-
Last 30 away (13)35.838.974.7-3.254%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.178.6+2.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.282.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.645.076.6-13.40%-
vs Similar (13)38.338.576.8-0.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.532.273.7+9.3100%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A23/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H26/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
32.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.137.871.9-3.727%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.436.172.5+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)31.539.671.1-8.17%-
Last 10 (10)32.639.171.7-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.071.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.938.070.9-5.124%-
vs Similar (8)36.139.575.6-3.425%-
vs Weaker (1)43.019.062.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
North Carolina wins
2
Miami (FL) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/25AFlorida State96-85
22/02/25HVirginia81-66
20/02/25HNC State97-73
15/02/25ASyracuse88-82
11/02/25AClemson65-85
08/02/25HPittsburgh67-66
01/02/25ADuke70-87
29/01/25APittsburgh65-73
25/01/25HBoston College102-96 OT
22/01/25AWake Forest66-67
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HDuke60-97
22/02/25HVirginia Tech68-81
20/02/25AFlorida State66-74
15/02/25APittsburgh65-74
12/02/25HSyracuse91-84
08/02/25ALouisville78-88
02/02/25HNotre Dame63-57
30/01/25HVirginia71-82
26/01/25ACalifornia94-98 OT
23/01/25AStanford51-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %62%75%46%
Points / game81.485.576.4
Allowed / game76.675.078.5
Point differential+4.8+10.5-2.2
Avg total158.0160.5154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLWWLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %21%38%0%
Points / game74.177.469.7
Allowed / game80.378.982.2
Point differential-6.2-1.4-12.6
Avg total154.4156.3151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2825389%82.661.0+21.6
2 Clemson2823582%77.766.5+11.1
3 Louisville2822679%79.569.3+10.2
4 SMU Mustangs2821775%82.171.9+10.2
5 Wake Forest2819968%70.967.9+2.9
6 Stanford28181064%74.471.0+3.4
7 North Carolina29181162%81.476.6+4.8
8 Pittsburgh28161257%76.871.2+5.5
9 Florida State28161257%75.872.3+3.5
10 Georgia Tech28141450%73.873.1+0.7
11 Virginia28141450%65.266.4-1.2
12 Notre Dame28121643%73.172.3+0.8
13 California28121643%74.275.5-1.3
14 Virginia Tech28121643%69.071.7-2.7
15 Syracuse28121643%74.778.0-3.3
16 Boston College28121643%70.574.9-4.3
17 NC State28111739%69.769.9-0.2
18 Miami (FL)2862221%74.180.3-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina464692
Miami (FL)314273
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