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Duke vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-91
39-41 48-50
Position#154
Record7-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#105
Record11-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Duke v North Carolina
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#21
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H09/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A17/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H30/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
39-40
41-34
34-31
35-43
48-39
37-33
42-35
34-46
33-28
34-43
39-36
33-36
32-34
33-25
42-43
41-22
38-31
35-33
40-44
145.8Avg total
73.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.270.7144.9+3.554%
Season at home (8)76.269.2145.5+7.075%
Season away (5)71.073.0144.0-2.020%
Last 10 (10)73.971.9145.8+2.050%
Last 5 (5)73.469.4142.8+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.068.5140.5+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.568.2139.7+3.350%
vs Weaker (22)80.573.0153.5+7.568%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#137
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-49
34-30
35-29
32-43
29-30
37-35
32-30
35-35
40-40
41-35
37-41
38-41
31-33
49-40
43-33
43-43
34-27
41-38
21-33
29-30
143.8Avg total
72.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.169.5142.5+3.665%
Season at home (7)76.069.3145.3+6.786%
Season away (10)71.069.6140.6+1.450%
Last 10 (10)72.371.5143.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)73.271.8145.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.479.7153.1-6.320%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.570.9144.4+2.545%
vs Weaker (9)72.465.8138.2+6.789%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +0.9+0.9
DukeNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#21
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H09/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A20/01
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H30/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.770.6+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.331.670.9+7.676%-
Last 30 away (13)33.836.470.2-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)35.235.871.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.867.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.034.066.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.734.068.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (22)38.033.671.5+4.459%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#137
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A03/02
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.934.967.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.833.568.2+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)31.735.867.4-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.568.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.466.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.336.468.7-4.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.236.370.5-2.145%-
vs Weaker (9)32.031.463.4+0.644%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Duke wins
0
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
07/03/20Duke v North Carolina89-76
08/02/20North Carolina v Duke96-98 OT
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/21AMiami (FL)75-77
30/01/21HClemson79-53
27/01/21HGeorgia Tech75-68
23/01/21ALouisville65-70
20/01/21APittsburgh73-79
13/01/21AVirginia Tech67-74
09/01/21HWake Forest79-68
07/01/21HBoston College83-82
17/12/20ANotre Dame75-65
09/12/20HIllinois68-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/21AClemson50-63
27/01/21APittsburgh75-65
23/01/21HNC State86-76
21/01/21HWake Forest80-73
16/01/21AFlorida State75-82
13/01/21HSyracuse81-75
06/01/21AMiami (FL)67-65
02/01/21HNotre Dame66-65
31/12/20AGeorgia Tech67-72
23/12/20ANC State76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %54%75%20%
Points / game74.276.271.0
Allowed / game70.769.273.0
Point differential+3.5+7.0-2.0
Avg total144.9145.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %65%86%50%
Points / game73.176.071.0
Allowed / game69.569.369.6
Point differential+3.6+6.7+1.4
Avg total142.5145.3140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1613381%71.460.1+11.3
2 Virginia Tech1814478%72.565.6+6.9
3 Florida State1310377%78.268.3+9.8
4 Louisville1511473%69.564.2+5.3
5 SMU Mustangs1410471%74.567.4+7.1
6 Clemson1712571%65.162.6+2.5
7 North Carolina1711665%73.169.5+3.6
8 Syracuse1610662%76.770.8+5.9
9 Stanford1811761%72.168.3+3.8
10 Pittsburgh159660%72.669.4+3.2
11 Georgia Tech148657%76.371.6+4.6
12 Duke137654%74.270.7+3.5
13 NC State158753%75.270.3+4.9
14 Notre Dame167944%71.370.8+0.6
15 Miami (FL)1871139%66.769.9-3.2
16 Wake Forest135838%69.268.7+0.5
17 California2071335%66.269.9-3.6
18 Boston College1431121%72.178.4-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke394887
North Carolina415091
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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