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North Carolina vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-71
37-32 38-39
Position#19
Record21-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#246
Record15-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · North Carolina v Miami (FL)
01 Mar 2025
NORT92
MIAM73
26 Feb 2024
NORT75
MIAM71
13 Feb 2023
NORT72
MIAM80
08 Feb 2021
NORT v MIAM
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
NORT94
MIAM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A31/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
42-35
33-34
52-30
36-41
39-27
37-37
36-37
45-35
48-49
34-43
42-37
40-41
35-31
42-42
37-44
50-39
46-42
26-16
28-28
150.1Avg total
78.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.870.4152.2+11.478%
Season at home (15)88.972.1161.1+16.887%
Season away (12)72.868.2141.1+4.667%
Last 10 (10)78.271.9150.1+6.370%
Last 5 (5)76.072.6148.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (7)78.173.4151.6+4.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.267.8149.0+13.482%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#291
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A06/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
55-84
55
84
-29
H22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
36-32
40-29
32-39
29-33
39-41
26-35
56-39
17-29
21-31
41-40
31-35
30-31
30-46
41-41
36-44
23-40
32-44
49-45
27-35
141.1Avg total
67.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.673.2149.7+3.452%
Season at home (19)81.172.1153.2+9.168%
Season away (10)67.975.3143.2-7.420%
Last 10 (10)67.373.8141.1-6.530%
Last 5 (5)68.080.2148.2-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.181.0151.1-10.922%
vs Similar (13)75.872.8148.6+2.954%
vs Weaker (8)82.964.8147.6+18.175%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -4.6-4.6
North CarolinaMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A24/02
NCAA
73.6Avg total
37.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.434.072.4+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.534.575.9+7.065%-
Last 30 away (13)34.433.567.8+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.973.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.274.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (7)37.633.471.0+4.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.633.872.4+4.959%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#291
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
17-29
17
29
-12
A06/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/02
NCAA
68.5Avg total
33.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.771.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.733.374.0+7.474%-
Last 30 away (11)31.534.465.8-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)33.335.268.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.476.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.737.971.6-4.222%-
vs Similar (13)35.132.267.3+2.854%-
vs Weaker (8)45.031.476.4+13.6100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
North Carolina wins
2
Miami (FL) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AVirginia54-44
17/02/24HVirginia Tech96-81
14/02/24ASyracuse79-86
10/02/24AMiami (FL)75-72
07/02/24HClemson76-80
03/02/24HDuke93-84
31/01/24AGeorgia Tech73-74
27/01/24AFlorida State75-68
23/01/24HWake Forest85-64
20/01/24ABoston College76-66
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HGeorgia Tech76-80
22/02/24HDuke55-84
17/02/24ABoston College77-85
15/02/24AClemson60-77
10/02/24HNorth Carolina72-75
06/02/24AVirginia38-60
03/02/24HVirginia Tech82-74
31/01/24ANC State68-74
27/01/24HPittsburgh72-68
25/01/24ANotre Dame73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW78%
HomeWWWLW87%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %78%87%67%
Points / game81.888.972.8
Allowed / game70.472.168.2
Point differential+11.4+16.8+4.6
Avg total152.2161.1141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL52%
HomeWWLLL68%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %52%68%20%
Points / game76.681.167.9
Allowed / game73.272.175.3
Point differential+3.4+9.1-7.4
Avg total149.7153.2143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2721678%80.467.7+12.7
2 North Carolina2721678%81.870.4+11.4
3 Virginia2820871%63.458.4+5.0
4 Clemson2719870%78.771.1+7.6
5 SMU Mustangs2819968%77.166.7+10.5
6 Wake Forest2718967%79.669.7+9.9
7 Pittsburgh2718967%75.167.1+8.0
8 Syracuse28181064%76.375.0+1.3
9 NC State27171063%76.071.4+4.6
10 Virginia Tech27151256%74.269.9+4.3
11 Boston College27151256%76.073.5+2.4
12 Florida State27141352%76.074.8+1.2
13 Miami (FL)29151452%76.673.2+3.4
14 California28131546%74.975.8-0.9
15 Stanford27121544%76.976.4+0.4
16 Georgia Tech28121643%70.775.2-4.5
17 Notre Dame27101737%63.165.6-2.5
18 Louisville2781930%72.678.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina373875
Miami (FL)323971
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