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North Carolina vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-83 (OT)
34-32 34-36 13-15
Position#19
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#174
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game61.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H12/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H18/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
19-27
44-32
42-26
29-37
43-25
34-41
31-33
26-29
43-29
42-32
24-25
35-43
46-41
40-29
43-34
47-34
37-26
40-26
35-41
56-28
139.4Avg total
75.6Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.064.8150.8+21.2100%
Season at home (4)86.064.8150.8+21.2100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.663.8139.4+11.880%
Last 5 (5)80.665.4146.0+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)72.473.4145.8-0.935%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.763.5144.2+17.2100%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#175
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
80-48
80
48
+32
H09/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A10/03
NCAA
Liberty
#11
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A15/03
NIT
American University
#203
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H07/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A14/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-37
0-0
42-35
0-0
24-32
0-0
35-39
0-0
41-20
0-0
39-28
0-0
23-32
0-0
51-55
0-0
25-32
0-0
32-30
0-0
41-31
0-0
49-32
0-0
48-34
0-0
35-23
0-0
30-32
0-0
42-44
0-0
39-15
0-0
18-25
0-0
41-33
0-0
44-36
137.8Avg total
73.3Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.461.0138.4+16.480%
Season at home (4)78.857.2136.0+21.5100%
Season away (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)73.364.5137.8+8.860%
Last 5 (5)77.461.0138.4+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.273.8142.0-5.618%
vs Similar (8)70.658.5129.1+12.1100%
vs Weaker (10)74.864.2139.0+10.670%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +4.0+4.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +4.0+4.0
North CarolinaVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#302
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H04/03
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H18/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H22/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
36.3Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.568.1+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.632.471.0+6.371%-
Last 30 away (13)31.532.864.2-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)36.330.767.0+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.470.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)33.334.167.4-0.835%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.530.568.9+8.085%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#175
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H09/03
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Liberty
#11
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A15/03
NIT
American University
#203
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A14/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
39-15
39
15
+24
H18/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
64.4Avg total
34.6Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.364.7+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.928.964.8+7.187%-
Last 30 away (15)30.933.764.5-2.820%-
Last 10 (10)34.629.864.4+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.829.068.8+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.533.164.5-1.636%-
vs Similar (8)35.529.164.6+6.462%-
vs Weaker (10)34.730.965.6+3.870%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
Villanova wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HNorthern Iowa91-69
18/11/23HUC Riverside77-52
12/11/23HLehigh90-68
07/11/23HRadford86-70
10/03/23AVirginia59-68
09/03/23HBoston College85-61
04/03/23HDuke57-62
28/02/23AFlorida State77-66
25/02/23HVirginia71-63
23/02/23ANotre Dame63-59
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HTexas Tech85-69
18/11/23HMaryland57-40
14/11/23APenn72-76
10/11/23HLe Moyne83-57
07/11/23HAmerican University90-63
15/03/23ALiberty57-62
10/03/23ACreighton74-87
09/03/23HGeorgetown80-48
05/03/23HUconn59-71
01/03/23ASeton Hall76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game64.864.8-
Point differential+21.2+21.2-
Avg total150.8150.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Villanova
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game77.478.872.0
Allowed / game61.057.276.0
Point differential+16.4+21.5-4.0
Avg total138.4136.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State330100%81.058.7+22.3
2 North Carolina440100%86.064.8+21.2
3 Clemson440100%77.066.2+10.8
4 Miami (FL)65183%84.872.5+12.3
5 Virginia65183%65.353.8+11.5
6 Pittsburgh54180%90.665.6+25.0
7 Duke54180%84.864.6+20.2
8 Florida State54180%83.273.8+9.4
9 Virginia Tech43175%83.863.5+20.2
10 SMU Mustangs64267%74.564.8+9.7
11 Syracuse64267%78.271.5+6.7
12 Boston College64267%74.570.5+4.0
13 Stanford53260%85.077.6+7.4
14 Notre Dame53260%66.267.2-1.0
15 Georgia Tech42250%74.277.5-3.2
16 Wake Forest52340%79.876.4+3.4
17 Louisville52340%74.474.0+0.4
18 California62433%74.373.0+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn550100%89.460.0+29.4
2 Creighton550100%91.262.6+28.6
3 Seton Hall440100%80.859.0+21.8
4 Marquette65183%79.567.5+12.0
5 Villanova54180%77.461.0+16.4
6 Providence54180%74.064.8+9.2
7 Butler43175%80.058.0+22.0
8 Georgetown53260%78.470.2+8.2
9 St. John's (N.Y.)53260%77.677.0+0.6
10 Xavier73443%67.367.3+0.0
11 DePaul51420%68.272.4-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
North Carolina34341381
Villanova32361583
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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