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Virginia vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 60-48
27-18 33-30
Position#43
Record14-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game59.4
vs
Position#105
Record12-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Virginia v North Carolina
24 Jan 2026
VIRG80
NORT85
24 Feb 2024
VIRG44
NORT54
09 Mar 2023
VIRG68
NORT59
10 Jan 2023
VIRG65
NORT58
13 Feb 2021
VIRG60
NORT48
08 Dec 2019
VIRG56
NORT47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#312
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A09/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H13/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
85-50
85
50
+35
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A30/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
36-22
29-26
32-23
37-25
43-43
33-17
52-33
32-36
32-26
35-26
46-32
29-21
22-44
28-24
36-33
30-27
43-39
20-26
37-23
127.1Avg total
68.6Scored
58.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.559.4129.9+11.182%
Season at home (10)75.562.2137.7+13.390%
Season away (7)63.455.4118.9+8.071%
Last 10 (10)68.658.5127.1+10.190%
Last 5 (5)65.259.0124.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.667.6131.2-4.060%
vs Similar ◀ (9)59.455.6115.0+3.978%
vs Weaker (16)69.356.3125.6+13.094%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#84
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
32-43
29-30
37-35
32-30
35-35
40-40
41-35
37-41
38-41
31-33
49-40
43-33
43-43
34-27
41-38
21-33
29-30
41-39
50-48
146.1Avg total
73.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.170.4144.5+3.667%
Season at home (7)76.069.3145.3+6.786%
Season away (11)72.871.2144.0+1.655%
Last 10 (10)73.872.3146.1+1.570%
Last 5 (5)76.472.8149.2+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.479.7153.1-6.320%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.972.2147.2+2.750%
vs Weaker (8)72.865.1137.9+7.6100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
VirginiaNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#312
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H13/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
33-17
33
17
+16
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A30/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A11/02
NCAA
57.4Avg total
30.7Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.125.455.5+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.925.557.4+6.559%-
Last 30 away (13)27.725.353.0+2.469%-
Last 10 (10)30.726.757.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)28.424.853.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.833.061.8-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)27.825.353.1+2.456%-
vs Weaker (16)31.823.154.9+8.881%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#84
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/01
NCAA
NC State
#137
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.335.168.4-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.233.668.8+1.555%-
Last 30 away (19)32.235.968.1-3.837%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.567.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.067.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.336.468.7-4.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.836.571.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker (8)32.231.463.6+0.950%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia wins
0
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
16/02/20North Carolina v Virginia62-64
08/12/19Virginia v North Carolina56-47
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/21AGeorgia Tech57-49
06/02/21HPittsburgh73-66
04/02/21ANC State64-57
30/01/21AVirginia Tech51-65
26/01/21HSyracuse81-58
24/01/21HGeorgia Tech64-62
16/01/21AClemson85-50
13/01/21HNotre Dame80-68
09/01/21ABoston College61-49
07/01/21HWake Forest70-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21ADuke91-87
03/02/21AClemson50-63
27/01/21APittsburgh75-65
23/01/21HNC State86-76
21/01/21HWake Forest80-73
16/01/21AFlorida State75-82
13/01/21HSyracuse81-75
06/01/21AMiami (FL)67-65
02/01/21HNotre Dame66-65
31/12/20AGeorgia Tech67-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %82%90%71%
Points / game70.575.563.4
Allowed / game59.462.255.4
Point differential+11.1+13.3+8.0
Avg total129.9137.7118.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %67%86%55%
Points / game74.176.072.8
Allowed / game70.469.371.2
Point differential+3.6+6.7+1.6
Avg total144.5145.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1714382%70.559.4+11.1
2 Florida State1411379%79.169.5+9.6
3 Virginia Tech1814478%72.565.6+6.9
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%74.366.6+7.7
5 Louisville1511473%69.564.2+5.3
6 Clemson1813572%65.663.1+2.5
7 Syracuse1812667%76.670.4+6.2
8 North Carolina1812667%74.170.4+3.6
9 Pittsburgh159660%72.669.4+3.2
10 Stanford2012860%71.268.4+2.9
11 Georgia Tech179853%74.871.4+3.4
12 Duke168850%75.672.2+3.4
13 NC State178947%73.570.6+2.9
14 Notre Dame1881044%73.072.4+0.6
15 Wake Forest156940%70.370.0+0.3
16 Miami (FL)1871139%66.769.9-3.2
17 California2271532%66.870.5-3.6
18 Boston College1631319%71.477.6-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia273360
North Carolina183048
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