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North Dakota St vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-59
0-0 56-26 0-0 39-33
Position#30
Record22-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game70.8
North Dakota St 🏆
USA
vs
UMKC
USA
Position#368
Record4-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game83.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · North Dakota St v UMKC
14 Jan 2027
NORT v UMKC
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
NORT95
UMKC59
16 Jan 2025
NORT71
UMKC64
08 Feb 2024
NORT82
UMKC78
21 Jan 2023
NORT73
UMKC75
19 Feb 2022
NORT71
UMKC85
07 Mar 2021
NORT69
UMKC65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Dakota St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North Dakota StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A10/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H15/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
86-58
86
58
+28
A24/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H06/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H07/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A14/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-44
0-0
46-32
0-0
35-23
0-0
41-42
0-0
34-35
0-0
34-30
0-0
45-37
0-0
37-40
0-0
50-26
0-0
36-32
0-0
39-25
0-0
35-49
0-0
34-40
0-0
37-38
0-0
46-33
0-0
46-51
0-0
31-32
0-0
52-34
0-0
37-34
0-0
37-32
151.8Avg total
79.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.170.8152.0+10.379%
Season at home (13)83.769.0152.7+14.785%
Season away (15)78.972.4151.3+6.573%
Last 10 (10)79.971.9151.8+8.090%
Last 5 (5)81.875.6157.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)70.569.5140.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.173.4153.5+6.776%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H11/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A16/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A17/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H25/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H29/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
64-99
64
99
-35
A01/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
H05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A13/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
64-104
64
104
-40
H15/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
44-37
0-0
35-44
0-0
36-56
0-0
47-43
0-0
32-36
0-0
30-54
0-0
34-44
0-0
26-33
0-0
32-32
0-0
29-37
0-0
25-52
0-0
39-47
0-0
31-23
0-0
33-41
0-0
29-28
0-0
31-41
0-0
29-43
0-0
35-61
0-0
35-37
0-0
35-48
153.3Avg total
67.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.383.5153.8-13.115%
Season at home (12)74.681.2155.8-6.625%
Season away (15)66.985.3152.3-18.47%
Last 10 (10)67.885.5153.3-17.70%
Last 5 (5)66.687.8154.4-21.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.884.5152.2-16.74%
vs Similar (2)60.067.5127.5-7.50%
vs Weaker (1)73.056.0129.0+17.0100%
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -10.9-10.9
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -10.9-10.9
North Dakota StUMKC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
North Dakota StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A10/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H15/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A23/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A24/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A31/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A14/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/02
NCAA
71.2Avg total
38.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.232.771.9+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.633.372.9+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.732.170.9+6.673%-
Last 10 (10)38.332.971.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.870.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)33.537.571.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.432.771.1+5.772%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A16/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H29/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A01/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A13/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
32.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.939.972.9-7.023%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.337.473.7-1.138%-
Last 30 away (17)30.441.972.2-11.512%-
Last 10 (10)32.738.871.5-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.836.666.4-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)32.241.073.2-8.821%-
vs Similar (2)27.035.562.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (1)29.023.052.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
North Dakota St wins
3
UMKC wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26UMKC v North Dakota St73-97
07/02/25UMKC v North Dakota St72-78
17/01/25North Dakota St v UMKC71-64
09/02/24North Dakota St v UMKC82-78 OT
12/01/24UMKC v North Dakota St91-92 OT
17/02/23UMKC v North Dakota St58-69
21/01/23North Dakota St v UMKC73-75
19/02/22North Dakota St v UMKC71-85
21/01/22UMKC v North Dakota St80-77
08/03/21North Dakota St v UMKC69-65
North Dakota Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26ASouth Dakota St.74-66
14/02/26ANorth Dakota83-66
07/02/26HNebraska O.92-84
06/02/26HDenver71-78
31/01/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes89-84 OT
24/01/26AOral Roberts86-58
23/01/26ADenver82-77
17/01/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)68-65
15/01/26HSouth Dakota St.76-65
10/01/26ANebraska O.78-76
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26ANorth Dakota70-85
15/02/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)64-104
13/02/26AOral Roberts60-69
05/02/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes75-82 OT
01/02/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)64-99
29/01/26HDenver61-69
25/01/26HNebraska O.60-77
17/01/26ASouth Dakota St.62-90
16/01/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes83-99
11/01/26HNorth Dakota79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Dakota St
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %79%85%73%
Points / game81.183.778.9
Allowed / game70.869.072.4
Point differential+10.3+14.7+6.5
Avg total152.0152.7151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)75% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %11%8%13%
UMKC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %15%25%7%
Points / game70.374.666.9
Allowed / game83.581.285.3
Point differential-13.1-6.6-18.4
Avg total153.8155.8152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St2822679%81.170.8+10.3
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)2821775%83.972.7+11.2
3 North Dakota30161453%77.477.2+0.2
4 Nebraska O.29151452%77.876.9+0.9
5 South Dakota Coyotes28141450%80.781.5-0.8
6 Denver29141548%83.582.2+1.2
7 South Dakota St.28121643%75.472.6+2.8
8 Oral Roberts2862221%71.778.9-7.1
9 UMKC2742315%70.383.5-13.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
North Dakota St05603995
UMKC02603359
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