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North Dakota St vs UMKC Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#266
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game83.0
North Dakota St
USA
vs
UMKC
USA
Position#262
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · North Dakota St v UMKC
14 Jan 2027
NORT v UMKC
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
NORT95
UMKC59
16 Jan 2025
NORT71
UMKC64
08 Feb 2024
NORT82
UMKC78
21 Jan 2023
NORT73
UMKC75
19 Feb 2022
NORT71
UMKC85
07 Mar 2021
NORT69
UMKC65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Dakota St win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North Dakota StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
W
96-63
96
63
+33
H28/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
74-50
74
50
+24
H08/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A19/03
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#422
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#106
L
64-105
64
105
-41
A05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#139
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A07/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#54
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-31
52-32
36-26
40-39
40-25
34-25
38-30
32-32
25-45
42-47
38-26
52-33
26-45
38-60
31-45
39-34
32-38
48-53
31-31
38-38
151.6Avg total
76.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.283.0160.2-5.840%
Season at home (2)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)71.391.7163.0-20.30%
Last 10 (10)76.974.7151.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)77.283.0160.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.089.0163.0-15.025%
vs Similar ◀ (4)67.578.8146.2-11.225%
vs Weaker (20)82.370.2152.5+12.290%
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
70-94
70
94
-24
H01/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A05/03
NCAA
Creighton
#160
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A03/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#155
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#63
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
35-48
26-56
33-39
30-36
29-37
30-43
40-51
21-44
41-40
39-33
22-43
55-42
45-51
20-36
41-43
51-21
36-44
33-37
35-39
151.7Avg total
69.7Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.477.8153.2-2.440%
Season at home (1)100.093.0193.0+7.0100%
Season away (4)69.274.0143.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)69.782.0151.7-12.320%
Last 5 (5)75.477.8153.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)67.883.7151.4-15.97%
vs Similar ◀ (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -7.8-7.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -7.8-7.8
North Dakota StUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North Dakota StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H28/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H08/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A19/03
NCAA
MN-Crookston
#422
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#106
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A05/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#139
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A07/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#54
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H14/11
NCAA
68.3Avg total
34.1Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.434.172.5+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.531.170.5+8.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.337.274.5+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.268.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.068.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.039.869.8-9.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)29.842.572.2-12.80%-
vs Weaker (20)40.931.872.7+9.180%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A05/03
NCAA
Creighton
#160
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#155
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#63
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A12/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
34.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.539.472.9-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.637.974.5-1.338%-
Last 30 away (17)31.140.571.6-9.424%-
Last 10 (10)34.038.572.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.873.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)31.740.071.7-8.226%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (North Dakota St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
North Dakota St wins
3
UMKC wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26North Dakota St v UMKC95-59
09/01/26UMKC v North Dakota St73-97
07/02/25UMKC v North Dakota St72-78
17/01/25North Dakota St v UMKC71-64
09/02/24North Dakota St v UMKC82-78 OT
12/01/24UMKC v North Dakota St91-92 OT
17/02/23UMKC v North Dakota St58-69
21/01/23North Dakota St v UMKC73-75
19/02/22North Dakota St v UMKC71-85
21/01/22UMKC v North Dakota St80-77
North Dakota Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllinois State82-81 OT
08/11/26ACSU Bakersfield80-91
07/11/26ASan Francisco70-79
05/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)64-105
03/11/26HMN-Crookston90-59
19/03/26AMichigan State67-92
09/03/26HNorth Dakota70-62
08/03/26HNebraska O.74-50
06/03/26HOral Roberts76-65
28/02/26HNorth Dakota96-63
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AGeorge Mason68-76
11/11/26AFlorida A&M87-65
10/11/26AJacksonville Dolphins61-79
07/11/26HSouthern Illinois100-93
03/11/26ACreighton61-76
05/03/26AOral Roberts62-84
01/03/26HOral Roberts70-94
27/02/26HSouth Dakota St.59-73
21/02/26ANorth Dakota St59-95
20/02/26ANorth Dakota70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Dakota St
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game77.286.071.3
Allowed / game83.070.091.7
Point differential-5.8+16.0-20.3
Avg total160.2156.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%50%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game75.4100.069.2
Allowed / game77.893.074.0
Point differential-2.4+7.0-4.8
Avg total153.2193.0143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.440100%72.857.5+15.2
2 Nebraska O.53260%68.277.0-8.8
3 Oral Roberts42250%75.560.8+14.8
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)52340%82.478.2+4.2
5 UMKC52340%75.477.8-2.4
6 North Dakota St52340%77.283.0-5.8
7 North Dakota41325%72.886.8-14.0
8 South Dakota Coyotes51420%84.482.8+1.6
9 Denver3030%60.371.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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