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Northern Iowa vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 86-62
0-0 38-29 0-0 48-33
Position#88
Record16-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game61.2
Northern Iowa 🏆
USA
vs
Drake
USA
Position#271
Record12-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game75.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Drake
15 Feb 2026
NORT86
DRAK62
23 Feb 2025
NORT58
DRAK64
24 Feb 2024
NORT91
DRAK77
15 Feb 2023
NORT74
DRAK82
22 Jan 2022
NORT74
DRAK82
17 Feb 2021
NORT69
DRAK77
21 Jan 2021
NORT v DRAK
upcoming
06 Mar 2020
NORT56
DRAK77
08 Feb 2020
NORT83
DRAK73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
89-60
89
60
+29
A10/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A13/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-40
0-0
32-35
0-0
32-29
0-0
29-40
0-0
18-22
0-0
26-32
0-0
16-24
0-0
38-35
0-0
37-38
0-0
44-38
0-0
19-27
0-0
31-38
0-0
41-21
0-0
30-34
0-0
30-23
0-0
31-26
0-0
39-31
0-0
50-29
0-0
45-45
0-0
41-46
131.9Avg total
66.6Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)68.561.2129.6+7.362%
Season at home (14)71.959.9131.7+12.079%
Season away (12)64.562.7127.2+1.842%
Last 10 (10)66.665.3131.9+1.340%
Last 5 (5)71.464.0135.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.063.0122.0-4.00%
vs Similar (12)66.266.4132.7-0.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)70.757.1127.7+13.680%
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H13/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-37
0-0
41-30
0-0
22-34
0-0
45-40
0-0
44-41
0-0
57-49
0-0
26-24
0-0
50-38
0-0
30-36
0-0
52-42
0-0
35-41
0-0
38-46
0-0
43-51
0-0
47-52
0-0
32-47
0-0
44-39
0-0
40-38
0-0
36-43
0-0
38-40
0-0
32-40
160.1Avg total
78.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.375.1152.4+2.144%
Season at home (17)79.073.9152.9+5.141%
Season away (10)74.477.3151.7-2.950%
Last 10 (10)78.781.4160.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)77.087.4164.4-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.680.9154.5-7.30%
vs Similar (14)73.273.4146.6-0.257%
vs Weaker (5)84.464.4148.8+20.0100%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
Northern IowaDrake
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
18-22
18
22
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A10/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/02
NCAA
61.4Avg total
31.4Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.929.962.8+3.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.629.464.1+5.262%-
Last 30 away (14)30.930.461.3+0.629%-
Last 10 (10)31.430.061.4+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.829.464.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.031.058.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (12)32.631.664.2+1.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)34.028.162.1+5.960%-
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A07/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/02
NCAA
72.5Avg total
33.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.935.068.9-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.734.971.6+1.839%-
Last 30 away (12)29.835.164.9-5.342%-
Last 10 (10)33.638.972.5-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.481.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.439.273.6-4.810%-
vs Similar (14)31.434.766.1-3.450%-
vs Weaker (5)38.828.867.6+10.060%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northern Iowa wins
8
Drake wins
DateGameScore
23/02/25Northern Iowa v Drake58-64 OT
30/01/25Drake v Northern Iowa66-52
24/02/24Northern Iowa v Drake91-77
27/01/24Drake v Northern Iowa77-63
16/02/23Northern Iowa v Drake74-82
02/02/23Drake v Northern Iowa88-81 OT
05/02/22Drake v Northern Iowa69-74 OT
22/01/22Northern Iowa v Drake74-82 OT
18/02/21Northern Iowa v Drake69-77
11/02/21Drake v Northern Iowa80-59
Northern Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26ABelmont86-91
10/02/26AMurray State89-60
07/02/26HBradley61-49
31/01/26HEvansville71-55
29/01/26ASouthern Illinois50-65
24/01/26HMurray State81-76
22/01/26AIllinois State54-59
17/01/26AValparaiso44-54
14/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)61-69
10/01/26ABradley69-75
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)70-80
10/02/26HValparaiso76-81
07/02/26AIllinois State76-86
04/02/26ABelmont90-103
31/01/26HBradley73-87
29/01/26HEvansville82-78
24/01/26AIndiana State76-62
22/01/26HMurray State101-90
17/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)67-74
15/01/26ASouthern Illinois76-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLLWWW79%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %62%79%42%
Points / game68.571.964.5
Allowed / game61.259.962.7
Point differential+7.3+12.0+1.8
Avg total129.6131.7127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %8%7%8%
Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWWLLL41%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %44%41%50%
Points / game77.379.074.4
Allowed / game75.173.977.3
Point differential+2.1+5.1-2.9
Avg total152.4152.9151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%24%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)25% (8)100% (2)
Overtime %7%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2823582%82.573.6+8.9
2 Murray State2719870%84.979.2+5.6
3 Bradley2718967%77.172.4+4.7
4 Illinois State2617965%77.267.5+9.7
5 Northern Iowa26161062%68.561.2+7.3
6 Illinois (Chi.)26141254%74.870.3+4.5
7 Valparaiso27141352%71.371.0+0.4
8 Southern Illinois27121544%74.171.1+3.0
9 Drake27121544%77.375.1+2.1
10 Indiana State27101737%75.174.9+0.2
11 Evansville2662023%67.475.0-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Northern Iowa03804886
Drake02903362
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