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Illinois State vs Northern Iowa Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 59-54
24-16 35-38
Position#96
Record13-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#88
Record12-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game59.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois State v Northern Iowa
06 Mar 2026
ILLI52
NORT74
21 Jan 2026
ILLI59
NORT54
11 Jan 2025
ILLI84
NORT85
21 Feb 2024
ILLI81
NORT73
31 Dec 2022
ILLI60
NORT66
15 Feb 2022
ILLI70
NORT72
27 Feb 2021
ILLI87
NORT94
26 Feb 2021
ILLI56
NORT70
31 Dec 2019
ILLI76
NORT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
59-63 OT
59
63
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-13
50-40
33-40
45-43
30-35
45-33
42-25
43-40
31-27
42-29
46-28
27-19
23-35
48-42
25-28
26-23
42-51
47-43
44-29
44-33
145.4Avg total
78.6Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.367.1146.3+12.268%
Season at home (11)82.159.7141.8+22.491%
Season away (8)75.477.1152.5-1.838%
Last 10 (10)78.666.8145.4+11.860%
Last 5 (5)76.068.6144.6+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.079.3158.3-0.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.170.9145.0+3.260%
vs Weaker (16)77.967.7145.6+10.269%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A17/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A23/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A04/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
37-33
23-27
37-27
27-28
31-35
22-22
36-26
33-38
42-28
34-18
28-30
32-36
33-42
37-40
32-35
32-29
29-40
18-22
26-32
124.5Avg total
62.7Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.859.7127.5+8.163%
Season at home (11)72.159.8131.9+12.373%
Season away (8)61.959.6121.5+2.250%
Last 10 (10)62.761.8124.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)60.264.8125.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.763.3122.0-4.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.367.2136.5+2.162%
vs Weaker (13)71.056.5127.5+14.585%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
Illinois StateNorthern Iowa
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H17/01
NCAA
67.2Avg total
36.1Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.932.569.5+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.528.669.1+11.981%-
Last 30 away (14)32.937.069.9-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.131.167.2+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.270.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.335.769.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.334.869.1-0.550%-
vs Weaker (16)38.631.269.8+7.369%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A17/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H02/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
34-18
34
18
+16
A04/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
18-22
18
22
-4
A17/01
NCAA
58.6Avg total
29.6Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.864.5+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.630.565.1+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)32.531.263.7+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)29.629.058.6+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)30.629.059.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.030.757.7-3.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.832.866.6+1.146%-
vs Weaker (13)35.228.763.9+6.569%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois State wins
9
Northern Iowa wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HBradley88-62
15/01/26AIndiana State89-94
10/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)59-63 OT
08/01/26AValparaiso71-77
01/01/26HEvansville73-47
30/12/25ADrake73-56
21/12/25HIndiana State85-65
19/12/25ASouthern Illinois75-68
13/12/25AUtah State78-83
07/12/25HChicago State95-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AValparaiso44-54
14/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)61-69
10/01/26ABradley69-75
08/01/26HBelmont65-78
04/01/26AEvansville62-48
02/01/26HIndiana State75-66
30/12/25HValparaiso58-48
23/12/25ASt. Marys (CA)58-63
17/12/25AIllinois (Chi.)60-54
13/12/25HOakland75-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW68%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %68%91%38%
Points / game79.382.175.4
Allowed / game67.159.777.1
Point differential+12.2+22.4-1.8
Avg total146.3141.8152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%82%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Northern Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL63%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %63%73%50%
Points / game67.872.161.9
Allowed / game59.759.859.6
Point differential+8.1+12.3+2.2
Avg total127.5131.9121.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%55%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2117481%81.171.2+9.9
2 Murray State2016480%87.978.5+9.4
3 Illinois State1913668%79.367.1+12.2
4 Bradley2114767%78.072.7+5.3
5 Northern Iowa1912763%67.859.7+8.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)20101050%75.069.9+5.0
7 Drake20101050%77.272.6+4.6
8 Valparaiso20101050%70.869.7+1.1
9 Indiana State2091145%76.275.1+1.1
10 Southern Illinois2081240%75.573.2+2.2
11 Evansville2051525%67.273.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State243559
Northern Iowa163854
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