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Northern Iowa vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-71
0-0 23-28 0-0 46-43
Position#88
Record18-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game61.1
Northern Iowa
USA
vs
Illinois State 🏆
USA
Position#96
Record18-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Illinois State
12 Jan 2027
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
NORT69
ILLI71
08 Feb 2025
NORT68
ILLI65
02 Mar 2023
NORT75
ILLI62
18 Jan 2023
NORT65
ILLI63
04 Mar 2022
NORT78
ILLI65
29 Jan 2022
NORT79
ILLI64
04 Mar 2021
NORT65
ILLI60
12 Feb 2020
NORT71
ILLI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
89-60
89
60
+29
A10/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A13/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A19/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
16-24
0-0
38-35
0-0
37-38
0-0
44-38
0-0
19-27
0-0
31-38
0-0
41-21
0-0
30-34
0-0
30-23
0-0
31-26
0-0
39-31
0-0
50-29
0-0
45-45
0-0
41-46
0-0
38-29
0-0
48-33
0-0
36-34
0-0
45-26
0-0
30-33
0-0
27-26
135.2Avg total
71.6Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)69.161.1130.2+8.062%
Season at home (16)71.859.9131.8+11.975%
Season away (13)65.862.5128.2+3.346%
Last 10 (10)71.663.6135.2+8.060%
Last 5 (5)79.866.4146.2+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.063.0122.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)66.567.2133.7-0.740%
vs Weaker (17)71.857.2129.1+14.682%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H07/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
24-16
0-0
35-38
0-0
36-44
0-0
33-36
0-0
35-29
0-0
35-36
0-0
24-22
0-0
26-32
0-0
47-32
0-0
39-44
0-0
32-45
0-0
48-43
0-0
34-34
0-0
52-30
0-0
26-33
0-0
30-50
0-0
36-28
0-0
42-33
0-0
31-43
0-0
29-31
139.3Avg total
69.4Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.968.0143.9+7.862%
Season at home (16)78.960.4139.2+18.588%
Season away (13)72.277.5149.6-5.331%
Last 10 (10)69.469.9139.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)72.074.0146.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)67.366.9134.2+0.454%
vs Weaker (15)81.169.9151.0+11.367%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
Northern IowaIllinois State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
19-27
19
27
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A10/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H21/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
33.1Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.729.261.9+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.328.963.2+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)30.929.660.5+1.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.130.563.6+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.472.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.031.058.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.430.862.2+0.640%-
vs Weaker (17)34.227.862.1+6.465%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
24-16
24
16
+8
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/02
NCAA
65.1Avg total
32.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.267.7+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.327.466.8+11.981%-
Last 30 away (14)31.137.768.9-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)32.532.665.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.836.668.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.532.062.5-1.546%-
vs Weaker (15)39.232.771.9+6.560%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Northern Iowa wins
2
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26Illinois State v Northern Iowa59-54
08/02/25Northern Iowa v Illinois State68-65
12/01/25Illinois State v Northern Iowa84-85
22/02/24Illinois State v Northern Iowa81-73
02/03/23Northern Iowa v Illinois State75-62
19/01/23Northern Iowa v Illinois State65-63
31/12/22Illinois State v Northern Iowa60-66
04/03/22Northern Iowa v Illinois State78-65
16/02/22Illinois State v Northern Iowa70-72
29/01/22Northern Iowa v Illinois State79-64
Northern Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HSouthern Illinois57-59
19/02/26AIndiana State81-60
15/02/26HDrake86-62
13/02/26ABelmont86-91
10/02/26AMurray State89-60
07/02/26HBradley61-49
31/01/26HEvansville71-55
29/01/26ASouthern Illinois50-65
24/01/26HMurray State81-76
22/01/26AIllinois State54-59
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ABradley60-74
19/02/26HMurray State78-61
15/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)56-83
13/02/26HValparaiso86-64
10/02/26AEvansville80-88
07/02/26HDrake86-76
04/02/26HSouthern Illinois50-54
29/01/26AMurray State70-65
24/01/26ABelmont69-80
22/01/26HNorthern Iowa59-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %62%75%46%
Points / game69.171.865.8
Allowed / game61.159.962.5
Point differential+8.0+11.9+3.3
Avg total130.2131.8128.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %62%88%31%
Points / game75.978.972.2
Allowed / game68.060.477.5
Point differential+7.8+18.5-5.3
Avg total143.9139.2149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%75%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont3025583%82.873.4+9.4
2 Murray State30201067%83.779.3+4.4
3 Bradley30191163%77.172.9+4.2
4 Northern Iowa29181162%69.161.1+8.0
5 Illinois State29181162%75.968.0+7.8
6 Illinois (Chi.)30171357%75.769.5+6.2
7 Valparaiso29161355%71.670.9+0.7
8 Southern Illinois29141548%73.370.2+3.1
9 Drake29121741%76.275.2+1.0
10 Indiana State29101934%74.475.6-1.1
11 Evansville2862221%66.975.8-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Northern Iowa02304669
Illinois State02804371
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