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Northern Iowa vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-64
30-28 49-36
Position#110
Record10-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#269
Record10-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Illinois State
12 Jan 2027
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
NORT69
ILLI71
08 Feb 2025
NORT68
ILLI65
02 Mar 2023
NORT75
ILLI62
18 Jan 2023
NORT65
ILLI63
04 Mar 2022
NORT78
ILLI65
29 Jan 2022
NORT79
ILLI64
04 Mar 2021
NORT65
ILLI60
12 Feb 2020
NORT71
ILLI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#71
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H22/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A23/12
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H06/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
H12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A16/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
74-82 OT
74
82
-8
H22/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-39
43-37
27-28
42-43
40-33
43-28
43-22
49-43
33-34
52-50
30-38
42-34
36-26
33-42
39-34
33-38
41-34
29-36
35-27
29-32
149.3Avg total
77.0Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.370.2144.5+4.153%
Season at home (10)73.166.5139.6+6.650%
Season away (9)75.774.3150.0+1.356%
Last 10 (10)77.072.3149.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)73.473.2146.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.877.6146.4-8.820%
vs Similar (19)71.769.9141.6+1.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)73.662.0135.6+11.6100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#237
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H18/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A13/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A20/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
94-56
94
56
+38
H22/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
48-35
39-28
42-36
36-46
49-43
31-39
39-31
42-44
33-42
26-40
48-25
34-44
29-44
44-34
50-22
25-19
28-37
38-37
41-42
151.2Avg total
77.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.776.6155.3+2.148%
Season at home (13)80.573.3153.8+7.269%
Season away (8)75.982.0157.9-6.112%
Last 10 (10)77.473.8151.2+3.640%
Last 5 (5)74.470.8145.2+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.882.2156.9-7.423%
vs Similar (9)68.468.0136.4+0.433%
vs Weaker (6)85.375.0160.3+10.367%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +5.0+5.0
Northern IowaIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#71
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H22/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/12
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H06/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A16/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A27/01
NCAA
67.0Avg total
35.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.465.4+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.131.664.6+1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)32.933.466.4-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)35.531.567.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.231.868.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.435.666.0-5.20%-
vs Similar (19)32.931.964.8+1.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)32.833.266.0-0.440%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#237
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H17/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H22/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A23/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
35.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.868.7-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.434.969.3-0.641%-
Last 30 away (13)33.334.768.0-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.071.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.868.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.039.872.8-6.815%-
vs Similar (9)30.731.862.4-1.133%-
vs Weaker (6)37.831.269.0+6.783%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Northern Iowa wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/22AEvansville64-59
22/01/22HDrake74-82 OT
20/01/22AValparaiso80-83 OT
16/01/22ASouthern Illinois69-68
12/01/22HIndiana State80-74 OT
08/01/22AMissouri State85-84
06/01/22HValparaiso92-65
02/01/22HEvansville83-61
23/12/21AWyoming69-71
22/12/21HLiberty74-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/22HDrake88-89 OT
23/01/22AEvansville53-56
22/01/22HEvansville94-56
20/01/22AMissouri State63-88
17/01/22HBradley74-65
13/01/22ADrake75-86
02/01/22AValparaiso76-81 OT
30/12/21AWisconsin85-89
21/12/21HUTSA Roadrunners81-64
18/12/21HBall State85-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game74.373.175.7
Allowed / game70.266.574.3
Point differential+4.1+6.6+1.3
Avg total144.5139.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %16%20%11%
Illinois State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %48%69%12%
Points / game78.780.575.9
Allowed / game76.673.382.0
Point differential+2.1+7.2-6.1
Avg total155.3153.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %24%23%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2119290%82.363.4+18.9
2 Belmont2116576%81.070.4+10.6
3 Drake2115671%75.366.8+8.5
4 Northern Iowa1910953%74.370.2+4.1
5 Bradley21111052%72.166.5+5.6
6 Southern Illinois21101148%63.060.4+2.6
7 Illinois State21101148%78.776.6+2.1
8 Valparaiso21101148%72.170.2+2.0
9 Indiana State1991047%73.570.5+3.0
10 Illinois (Chi.)1871139%70.272.6-2.4
11 Evansville1951426%59.368.4-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Iowa304979
Illinois State283664
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