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Northern Iowa vs Illinois State Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#263
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#301
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Illinois State
12 Jan 2027
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
NORT69
ILLI71
08 Feb 2025
NORT68
ILLI65
02 Mar 2023
NORT75
ILLI62
18 Jan 2023
NORT65
ILLI63
04 Mar 2022
NORT78
ILLI65
29 Jan 2022
NORT79
ILLI64
04 Mar 2021
NORT65
ILLI60
12 Feb 2020
NORT71
ILLI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A08/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A20/03
NCAA
Cornell College
#434
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H04/11
NCAA
Furman
#76
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#25
L
72-106
72
106
-34
A14/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-36
33-23
35-27
39-25
45-32
28-37
48-41
36-28
28-47
25-32
45-42
61-28
31-44
52-54
46-30
43-46
44-59
28-47
42-46
34-34
153.6Avg total
77.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.286.0171.2-0.840%
Season at home (2)97.573.0170.5+24.5100%
Season away (3)77.094.7171.7-17.70%
Last 10 (10)77.875.8153.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)85.286.0171.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.585.8161.2-10.225%
vs Similar (11)68.169.2137.3-1.136%
vs Weaker (14)69.560.4129.9+9.171%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#107
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#406
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
30-50
36-28
42-33
31-43
29-31
28-23
43-46
38-40
43-34
27-35
25-39
39-33
38-44
56-29
44-26
28-36
31-40
31-31
38-38
146.1Avg total
72.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.275.8157.0+5.525%
Season at home (1)100.055.0155.0+45.0100%
Season away (3)75.082.7157.7-7.70%
Last 10 (10)72.373.8146.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)75.475.4150.8+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.586.5168.0-5.00%
vs Similar (15)66.668.1134.7-1.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.669.5153.2+14.169%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -1.8-1.8
Northern IowaIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A08/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A20/03
NCAA
Cornell College
#434
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/11
NCAA
Furman
#76
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#25
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A14/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A14/11
NCAA
80.3Avg total
39.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.167.4+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.231.265.3+3.046%-
Last 30 away (17)34.334.668.9-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.480.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.040.277.2-3.225%-
vs Similar (11)33.733.867.5-0.145%-
vs Weaker (14)33.129.963.0+3.143%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#107
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#406
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A14/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.567.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.329.467.7+8.969%-
Last 30 away (14)31.836.167.9-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.167.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.869.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (15)31.031.862.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.132.772.8+7.462%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Northern Iowa wins
3
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOakland76-80
14/11/26AMichigan State72-106
11/11/26HWisc. Green Bay89-76
07/11/26AFurman83-98
04/11/26HCornell College106-70
20/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)53-79
08/03/26AIllinois (Chi.)84-69
07/03/26ABradley73-69
07/03/26AIllinois State74-52
06/03/26HEvansville68-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Dakota St81-82 OT
10/11/26APurdue59-76
06/11/26HCentral State (OH)100-55
03/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)85-90 OT
07/03/26HNorthern Iowa52-74
01/03/26HBelmont81-74
26/02/26ANorthern Iowa71-69
22/02/26ABradley60-74
19/02/26HMurray State78-61
15/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)56-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game85.297.577.0
Allowed / game86.073.094.7
Point differential-0.8+24.5-17.7
Avg total171.2170.5171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game81.2100.075.0
Allowed / game75.855.082.7
Point differential+5.5+45.0-7.7
Avg total157.0155.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %50%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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