PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Northern Iowa vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 65-63
33-30 32-33
Position#248
Record9-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#303
Record8-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Illinois State
12 Jan 2027
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
NORT69
ILLI71
08 Feb 2025
NORT68
ILLI65
02 Mar 2023
NORT75
ILLI62
18 Jan 2023
NORT65
ILLI63
04 Mar 2022
NORT78
ILLI65
29 Jan 2022
NORT79
ILLI64
04 Mar 2021
NORT65
ILLI60
12 Feb 2020
NORT71
ILLI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#318
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/12
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Towson
#94
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A17/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-27
26-25
41-42
28-30
31-33
52-33
28-22
34-30
29-40
38-39
31-25
35-35
41-38
28-29
35-29
34-28
28-27
47-40
31-44
41-32
132.9Avg total
68.1Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.066.2136.2+3.850%
Season at home (10)72.664.2136.8+8.460%
Season away (8)66.868.6135.4-1.938%
Last 10 (10)68.164.8132.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)70.265.4135.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.675.5147.2-3.936%
vs Similar (10)68.566.7135.2+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)70.664.4135.0+6.186%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H10/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A17/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H05/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
76-66 OT
76
66
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-35
46-46
33-34
44-37
34-41
35-42
33-23
33-29
17-33
34-22
25-31
35-35
29-47
38-29
34-31
35-30
30-34
31-27
35-32
22-37
135.9Avg total
67.9Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)66.468.2134.6-1.842%
Season at home (9)72.870.0142.8+2.856%
Season away (10)60.766.6127.3-5.930%
Last 10 (10)67.968.0135.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)65.867.6133.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.272.1139.3-4.825%
vs Similar (12)63.364.9128.2-1.642%
vs Weaker (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
Northern IowaIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#318
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H10/12
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H13/12
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A17/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A14/01
NCAA
64.5Avg total
31.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.668.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.930.865.8+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)34.936.971.8-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)31.832.764.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.665.8+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.538.973.5-4.427%-
vs Similar (10)32.730.963.6+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.030.665.6+4.457%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H10/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
17-33
17
33
-16
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H05/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/01
NCAA
65.2Avg total
31.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.434.264.6-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.334.266.5-1.933%-
Last 30 away (15)28.434.262.6-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)31.134.165.2-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.635.065.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.835.666.4-4.825%-
vs Similar (12)28.632.661.2-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)37.533.070.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Northern Iowa wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23ABelmont72-76
11/01/23HMurray State75-67
07/01/23HSouthern Illinois69-57
05/01/23AValparaiso69-67
31/12/22AIllinois State66-60
29/12/22HMissouri State67-79
22/12/22HSt. Bonaventure62-52
17/12/22ATowson83-66
13/12/22HSouth Florida69-72
10/12/22HMcNeese State49-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23ASouthern Illinois57-69
12/01/23HMissouri State76-66 OT
07/01/23AEvansville69-61
05/01/23HIndiana State67-76
31/12/22HNorthern Iowa60-66
29/12/22AIllinois (Chi.)51-55
20/12/22HChicago State66-52
17/12/22ABall State69-83
10/12/22HSiu Edwardsville77-71
08/12/22HEastern Michigan87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game70.072.666.8
Allowed / game66.264.268.6
Point differential+3.8+8.4-1.9
Avg total136.2136.8135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%56%30%
Points / game66.472.860.7
Allowed / game68.270.066.6
Point differential-1.8+2.8-5.9
Avg total134.6142.8127.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %11%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois2015575%67.460.7+6.7
2 Drake1914574%73.463.6+9.8
3 Belmont2014670%74.670.0+4.6
4 Bradley2013765%70.860.6+10.1
5 Indiana State2013765%78.269.5+8.8
6 Murray State1910953%70.769.5+1.2
7 Northern Iowa189950%70.066.2+3.8
8 Illinois (Chi.)2091145%66.870.2-3.4
9 Illinois State1981142%66.468.2-1.8
10 Valparaiso2081240%68.573.3-4.8
11 Evansville2041620%61.974.2-12.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Iowa333265
Illinois State303363
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.