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Northern Iowa vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 43-71
18-35 25-36
Position#150
Record12-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#296
Record8-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Murray State
21 Jan 2027
NORT v MURR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
NORT81
MURR76
08 Jan 2025
NORT68
MURR71
03 Feb 2024
NORT43
MURR71
10 Jan 2023
NORT75
MURR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A22/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A18/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H24/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A27/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-26
33-37
33-29
31-33
27-44
39-33
35-32
32-27
25-27
45-33
39-40
44-32
29-30
32-27
28-31
42-32
38-36
25-41
30-46
39-39
136.4Avg total
68.9Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.871.4145.2+2.455%
Season at home (11)74.566.3140.7+8.273%
Season away (11)73.276.5149.7-3.436%
Last 10 (10)68.967.5136.4+1.470%
Last 5 (5)69.270.8140.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.280.0148.2-11.89%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.368.7140.0+2.564%
vs Weaker (7)77.669.6147.1+8.071%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H03/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
77-53
77
53
+24
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
40-23
43-43
42-30
31-20
50-39
42-19
35-34
27-25
33-45
33-31
40-27
28-25
35-47
34-44
29-27
38-30
20-30
26-24
33-37
132.5Avg total
69.4Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.468.9139.3+1.536%
Season at home (13)69.769.1138.8+0.638%
Season away (9)71.468.7140.1+2.833%
Last 10 (10)69.463.1132.5+6.350%
Last 5 (5)63.264.4127.6-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.178.2145.3-11.28%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.165.3135.4+4.854%
vs Weaker (4)79.560.5140.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +1.8+1.8
Northern IowaMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A22/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H11/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A01/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.569.8+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.733.871.5+3.947%-
Last 30 away (15)32.935.268.1-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.166.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.669.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.338.669.9-7.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.533.268.6+2.345%-
vs Weaker (7)39.732.372.0+7.471%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
42-19
42
19
+23
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H31/01
NCAA
62.9Avg total
33.7Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.467.8+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.232.667.8+2.671%-
Last 30 away (13)33.434.567.9-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)33.729.262.9+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)31.830.862.6+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.238.672.8-4.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.529.863.2+3.769%-
vs Weaker (4)38.028.566.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northern Iowa wins
0
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Murray State v Northern Iowa60-70
11/01/23Northern Iowa v Murray State75-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24ABradley69-85
27/01/24ADrake63-77
24/01/24HEvansville70-63
21/01/24HSouthern Illinois61-57
18/01/24ABelmont83-72
14/01/24AMurray State70-60
11/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)67-59
07/01/24HIndiana State66-77
04/01/24AMissouri State64-62
22/12/23ANorthern Illinois76-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HIllinois State59-61
27/01/24HSouthern Illinois58-60
25/01/24ABradley63-71
21/01/24HIndiana State63-72
18/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)73-58
14/01/24HNorthern Iowa60-70
11/01/24AMissouri State77-53
06/01/24AEvansville81-59
03/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)85-73
30/12/23HMiddle Tenn. St.75-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%73%36%
Points / game73.874.573.2
Allowed / game71.466.376.5
Point differential+2.4+8.2-3.4
Avg total145.2140.7149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game70.469.771.4
Allowed / game68.969.168.7
Point differential+1.5+0.6+2.8
Avg total139.3138.8140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%23%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2219386%86.072.7+13.3
2 Drake2218482%79.767.5+12.2
3 Bradley2216673%76.267.8+8.4
4 Southern Illinois2214864%72.565.0+7.5
5 Evansville2213959%73.573.0+0.5
6 Northern Iowa22121055%73.871.4+2.4
7 Belmont22121055%76.978.1-1.2
8 Illinois State22111150%66.167.6-1.5
9 Murray State2281436%70.468.9+1.5
10 Illinois (Chi.)2281436%69.468.5+0.9
11 Valparaiso2261627%68.172.7-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Iowa182543
Murray State353671
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