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Murray State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 63-72
28-25 35-47
Position#296
Record8-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#13
Record15-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Murray State v Indiana State
16 Jan 2027
MURR v INDI
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MURR85
INDI81
25 Feb 2025
MURR85
INDI75
21 Jan 2024
MURR63
INDI72
21 Jan 2023
MURR82
INDI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H16/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A19/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
65-92
65
92
-27
H22/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H03/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
77-53
77
53
+24
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-53
40-32
29-24
26-37
31-40
35-40
41-49
24-43
35-31
40-23
43-43
42-30
31-20
50-39
42-19
35-34
27-25
33-45
33-31
40-27
140.3Avg total
71.8Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.669.6142.1+3.044%
Season at home (10)72.670.5143.1+2.150%
Season away (8)72.568.4140.9+4.138%
Last 10 (10)71.868.5140.3+3.350%
Last 5 (5)75.262.6137.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.581.8150.3-13.215%
vs Similar (13)71.266.1137.3+5.262%
vs Weaker (4)79.560.5140.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
98-54
98
54
+44
H09/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
50-28
52-25
46-29
40-29
43-43
42-38
48-31
34-44
41-43
48-37
39-36
44-27
33-39
43-43
35-46
48-32
46-32
44-30
44-36
156.7Avg total
86.0Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.571.9158.4+14.683%
Season at home (9)89.262.6151.8+26.7100%
Season away (9)83.881.3165.1+2.467%
Last 10 (10)86.070.7156.7+15.380%
Last 5 (5)84.871.6156.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)79.087.8166.8-8.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.568.5155.0+18.088%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +6.2+6.2
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +6.2+6.2
Murray StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H16/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A19/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
42-19
42
19
+23
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
35.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.469.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.034.671.6+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)32.734.266.9-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.568.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.227.662.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.840.074.8-5.223%-
vs Similar (13)34.330.664.9+3.769%-
vs Weaker (4)38.028.566.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H09/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H17/01
NCAA
77.9Avg total
43.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.133.276.2+9.980%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.230.072.2+12.293%-
Last 30 away (15)43.936.380.3+7.667%-
Last 10 (10)43.534.477.9+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.433.879.2+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.242.282.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.831.775.5+12.288%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murray State wins
1
Indiana State wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Indiana State v Murray State99-56
21/01/23Murray State v Indiana State82-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)73-58
14/01/24HNorthern Iowa60-70
11/01/24AMissouri State77-53
06/01/24AEvansville81-59
03/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)85-73
30/12/23HMiddle Tenn. St.75-54
22/12/23HSMU Mustangs65-92
19/12/23AUALR66-80
16/12/23HSE Louisiana55-61
14/12/23AMississippi St.81-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HMissouri State88-66
13/01/24HBelmont94-64
11/01/24ADrake78-89
07/01/24ANorthern Iowa77-66
04/01/24HEvansville87-73
30/12/23AMichigan State75-87
20/12/23HTennessee State90-69
16/12/23HBall State83-72
09/12/23HSouthern Indiana98-54
06/12/23ANorthern Illinois90-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW44%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game72.672.672.5
Allowed / game69.670.568.4
Point differential+3.0+2.1+4.1
Avg total142.1143.1140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game86.589.283.8
Allowed / game71.962.681.3
Point differential+14.6+26.7+2.4
Avg total158.4151.8165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1916384%79.766.7+13.0
2 Indiana State1815383%86.571.9+14.6
3 Bradley1914574%75.566.5+8.9
4 Southern Illinois1912763%72.964.6+8.4
5 Northern Iowa1911858%74.870.8+4.0
6 Evansville1911858%74.774.8-0.1
7 Belmont1911858%77.878.9-1.1
8 Illinois State1991047%66.468.6-2.2
9 Murray State1881044%72.669.6+3.0
10 Illinois (Chi.)1981142%69.466.7+2.7
11 Valparaiso1961332%67.971.7-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State283563
Indiana State254772
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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