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Northern Iowa vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-67
28-27 47-40
Position#248
Record8-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#182
Record9-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Murray State
21 Jan 2027
NORT v MURR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
NORT81
MURR76
08 Jan 2025
NORT68
MURR71
03 Feb 2024
NORT43
MURR71
10 Jan 2023
NORT75
MURR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H03/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H07/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/12
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Towson
#94
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A17/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-20
34-35
31-40
44-43
23-27
26-25
41-42
28-30
31-33
52-33
28-22
34-30
29-40
38-39
31-25
35-35
41-38
28-29
35-29
34-28
132.4Avg total
68.1Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.665.5135.1+4.150%
Season at home (9)72.363.9136.2+8.456%
Season away (7)66.067.6133.6-1.643%
Last 10 (10)68.164.3132.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)66.663.0129.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.675.5147.1-3.940%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.866.7134.4+1.156%
vs Weaker (9)70.863.8134.6+7.089%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
70-67 OT
70
67
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
27-35
29-30
33-32
25-32
33-37
27-42
39-23
27-29
41-31
26-44
41-39
23-26
34-37
41-21
37-40
34-27
33-31
29-44
35-38
135.0Avg total
67.2Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.668.8139.4+1.856%
Season at home (7)69.662.4132.0+7.171%
Season away (9)71.473.8145.2-2.344%
Last 10 (10)67.267.8135.0-0.660%
Last 5 (5)66.669.4136.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.373.7142.0-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (6)67.870.8138.7-3.050%
vs Weaker (18)75.262.6137.8+12.694%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +1.0+1.0
Northern IowaMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H03/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H10/12
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H13/12
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A17/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
32.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.168.2+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.130.965.9+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)35.235.670.9-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)32.831.664.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)32.830.863.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.938.473.3-3.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.231.364.6+1.956%-
vs Weaker (9)34.429.964.3+4.667%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H14/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A22/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A01/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
29.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.364.9+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.829.164.9+6.760%-
Last 30 away (15)31.333.564.8-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)29.632.261.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.463.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.733.263.8-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)29.734.764.3-5.033%-
vs Weaker (18)35.829.665.4+6.350%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northern Iowa wins
0
Murray State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HSouthern Illinois69-57
05/01/23AValparaiso69-67
31/12/22AIllinois State66-60
29/12/22HMissouri State67-79
22/12/22HSt. Bonaventure62-52
17/12/22ATowson83-66
13/12/22HSouth Florida69-72
10/12/22HMcNeese State49-52
07/12/22HToledo75-83
03/12/22HEvansville72-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ADrake64-82
05/01/23HBradley67-58
01/01/23AEvansville78-61
30/12/22HSouthern Illinois57-63
22/12/22AMiddle Tenn. St.67-83
17/12/22HAustin Peay68-60
14/12/22HChicago State66-65
10/12/22ABellarmine58-69
04/12/22AValparaiso77-70 OT
02/12/22HIllinois State70-67 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%56%43%
Points / game69.672.366.0
Allowed / game65.563.967.6
Point differential+4.1+8.4-1.6
Avg total135.1136.2133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL56%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game70.669.671.4
Allowed / game68.862.473.8
Point differential+1.8+7.1-2.3
Avg total139.4132.0145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%14%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1713476%80.869.3+11.5
2 Drake1712571%72.563.4+9.2
3 Southern Illinois1712571%66.660.4+6.2
4 Belmont1812667%74.270.2+4.1
5 Bradley1711665%69.759.6+10.1
6 Murray State169756%70.668.8+1.8
7 Illinois (Chi.)179853%66.768.8-2.1
8 Northern Iowa168850%69.665.5+4.1
9 Illinois State1771041%66.468.3-1.9
10 Valparaiso1861233%67.673.9-6.3
11 Evansville1741324%61.972.9-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Iowa284775
Murray State274067
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