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Northern Iowa vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-71
27-33 41-38
Position#107
Record9-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#214
Record8-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northern Iowa v Murray State
21 Jan 2027
NORT v MURR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
NORT81
MURR76
08 Jan 2025
NORT68
MURR71
03 Feb 2024
NORT43
MURR71
10 Jan 2023
NORT75
MURR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#36
L
48-68
48
68
-20
H29/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
83-56
83
56
+27
A05/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H07/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H14/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
104-76
104
76
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H29/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-34
27-34
32-38
24-30
46-32
37-24
56-28
45-29
34-23
44-35
48-34
56-42
26-49
42-27
38-34
40-33
39-34
37-36
36-43
37-37
144.1Avg total
76.5Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.567.5145.1+10.060%
Season at home (12)77.866.5144.3+11.367%
Season away (3)76.371.7148.0+4.733%
Last 10 (10)76.567.6144.1+8.960%
Last 5 (5)79.873.8153.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.879.2153.0-5.440%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.868.8138.6+1.057%
vs Weaker (10)77.765.7143.4+12.070%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H08/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H23/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A24/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H25/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-30
35-36
33-25
30-36
33-33
40-20
39-33
28-34
26-41
48-43
14-34
35-32
29-38
42-33
34-36
37-32
25-33
43-41
26-26
40-33
141.5Avg total
70.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.568.7144.2+6.753%
Season at home (9)74.462.6137.0+11.967%
Season away (6)77.078.0155.0-1.033%
Last 10 (10)70.970.6141.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)68.872.2141.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.372.0140.3-3.722%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.269.1137.2-0.944%
vs Weaker (4)78.071.0149.0+7.075%
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +3.8+3.8
Northern IowaMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#36
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H29/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A05/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H07/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H14/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A04/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
37.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.070.1+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.532.468.8+4.160%-
Last 30 away (10)35.337.272.5-1.930%-
Last 10 (10)37.634.972.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.638.275.8-0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.535.169.6-0.636%-
vs Weaker (10)36.831.368.1+5.560%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#277
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H08/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
14-34
14
34
-20
H23/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H03/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A05/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
30.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.633.466.0-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.931.062.9+0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)33.536.670.1-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.963.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)25.633.459.0-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.837.068.8-5.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.432.163.6-0.744%-
vs Weaker (4)33.534.267.8-0.850%-
This opponent (Northern Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northern Iowa wins
1
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AValparaiso73-80
02/01/25HBelmont76-70
29/12/24HSouthern Illinois78-67
21/12/24HWashington State68-76
17/12/24HMontana104-76
14/12/24HNebraska O.78-58
07/12/24HNorthern Illinois101-57
05/12/24AIllinois (Chi.)83-56
30/11/24HSt. Bonaventure56-68
29/11/24HNorth Texas48-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25ADrake66-59
03/01/25HIllinois State68-74
25/12/24HLoyola Chicago71-68
24/12/24ACharlotte90-94 OT
23/12/24HNebraska49-66
19/12/24AIndiana State74-84
14/12/24AWestern Kentucky76-81 OT
08/12/24HSoutheast Missouri State73-53
04/12/24HEvansville63-61
26/11/24HUT Arlington79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Iowa
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %60%67%33%
Points / game77.577.876.3
Allowed / game67.566.571.7
Point differential+10.0+11.3+4.7
Avg total145.1144.3148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%67%33%
Points / game75.574.477.0
Allowed / game68.762.678.0
Point differential+6.7+11.9-1.0
Avg total144.2137.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %13%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bradley1513287%81.668.4+13.2
2 Drake1412286%72.458.2+14.2
3 Illinois (Chi.)1611569%80.773.4+7.3
4 Illinois State1510567%79.170.8+8.3
5 Belmont1510567%81.178.3+2.8
6 Northern Iowa159660%77.567.5+10.0
7 Valparaiso159660%79.572.4+7.1
8 Indiana State159660%83.476.7+6.7
9 Murray State158753%75.568.7+6.7
10 Southern Illinois1551033%71.175.3-4.3
11 Evansville1551033%64.970.1-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Iowa274168
Murray State333871
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