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Northern Kentucky vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-82
33-45 36-37
Position#98
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game64.2
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#18
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game82.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#336
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H27/02
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H04/03
NCAA
IPFW
#87
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A08/03
NCAA
Wright State
#123
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
57-79
57
79
-22
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati-Clermont
#637
W
89-49
89
49
+40
H12/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H17/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-31
32-33
43-35
32-26
31-21
46-38
25-19
32-24
39-32
32-40
29-35
28-44
41-28
48-21
36-40
28-11
31-34
30-48
30-30
26-30
130.5Avg total
68.5Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.464.2129.6+1.240%
Season at home (3)70.059.7129.7+10.367%
Season away (2)58.571.0129.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)68.562.0130.5+6.560%
Last 5 (5)65.464.2129.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)57.079.0136.0-22.00%
vs Similar (14)69.166.8135.9+2.471%
vs Weaker (15)70.960.3131.2+10.767%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#109
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
112-90
112
90
+22
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-32
0-0
46-44
0-0
47-28
0-0
49-28
0-0
30-32
0-0
42-39
0-0
28-38
0-0
34-32
0-0
23-34
0-0
32-40
0-0
52-26
0-0
33-44
0-0
39-46
0-0
54-39
0-0
57-37
0-0
55-53
0-0
38-33
0-0
33-50
0-0
33-32
0-0
42-54
157.4Avg total
81.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.282.8170.0+4.460%
Season at home (4)91.282.8174.0+8.575%
Season away (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)81.376.1157.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.282.8170.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.570.4152.9+12.175%
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -0.3-0.3
Northern KentuckyToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#336
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H25/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H04/03
NCAA
IPFW
#87
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A08/03
NCAA
Wright State
#123
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H08/11
NCAA
Cincinnati-Clermont
#637
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H17/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
35.1Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.729.861.6+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.231.967.1+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)27.727.555.2+0.243%-
Last 10 (10)35.130.565.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.466.8+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)29.035.064.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (14)30.632.563.1-1.943%-
vs Weaker (15)32.927.059.9+5.960%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#109
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Dayton
#9
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/11
NCAA
73.1Avg total
39.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.174.7+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.033.572.5+5.561%-
Last 30 away (12)43.035.178.1+7.983%-
Last 10 (10)39.333.873.1+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.834.878.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)39.046.085.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.333.775.0+7.675%-
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northern Kentucky wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22AUT Arlington56-60
22/11/22AFlorida Gulf Coast61-82
17/11/22HCincinnati64-51
12/11/22HCincinnati-Clermont89-49
08/11/22HKent State57-79
09/03/22HWright State71-72
08/03/22AIPFW57-43
04/03/22HDetroit77-59
27/02/22HYoungstown State75-61
25/02/22HRobert Morris78-64
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22HEast Carolina75-86
21/11/22AUMKC71-83
17/11/22HOakland112-90
11/11/22HUAB93-85
08/11/22HValparaiso85-70
16/03/22HDayton55-74
11/03/22HAkron62-70
10/03/22HCentral Michigan72-71
04/03/22HBowling Green96-56
02/03/22ABuffalo92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game65.470.058.5
Allowed / game64.259.771.0
Point differential+1.2+10.3-12.5
Avg total129.6129.7129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game87.291.271.0
Allowed / game82.882.883.0
Point differential+4.4+8.5-12.0
Avg total170.0174.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State64267%81.872.0+9.8
2 Youngstown State64267%83.273.8+9.3
3 IPFW53260%74.861.8+13.0
4 Wisc. Milwaukee42250%80.059.0+21.0
5 Robert Morris42250%74.864.0+10.8
6 Oakland52340%83.681.4+2.2
7 Detroit52340%78.076.6+1.4
8 Northern Kentucky52340%65.464.2+1.2
9 Cleveland State52340%64.267.4-3.2
10 IUPUI41325%51.070.2-19.2
11 Wisc. Green Bay5050%55.477.6-22.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State550100%82.860.8+22.0
2 Akron54180%69.863.8+6.0
3 UMass54180%69.264.0+5.2
4 Ball State43175%84.263.8+20.5
5 Toledo53260%87.282.8+4.4
6 Bowling Green52340%70.876.6-5.8
7 Western Michigan62433%76.574.5+2.0
8 Buffalo62433%71.280.8-9.7
9 Ohio41325%72.574.5-2.0
10 Central Michigan41325%69.073.2-4.2
11 Eastern Michigan51420%75.281.8-6.6
12 Northern Illinois51420%65.275.0-9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Kentucky333669
Toledo453782
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