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Northern Kentucky vs Wright State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#270
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game93.4
vs
Position#41
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Northern Kentucky v Wright State
17 Jan 2027
NORT v WRIG
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
NORT91
WRIG92
18 Jan 2025
NORT70
WRIG78
04 Feb 2024
NORT78
WRIG85
29 Dec 2022
NORT78
WRIG64
08 Mar 2022
NORT71
WRIG72
25 Jan 2022
NORT73
WRIG63
10 Jan 2022
NORT v WRIG
upcoming
20 Feb 2021
NORT71
WRIG77
19 Feb 2021
NORT81
WRIG75
28 Feb 2020
NORT62
WRIG64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Kentucky win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Wright State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#303
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A26/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H01/03
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A05/03
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
96-76
96
76
+20
A08/03
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A09/03
NCAA
UTEP
#164
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H02/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#333
W
102-94
102
94
+8
A05/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#11
L
67-104
67
104
-37
A07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
63-125
63
125
-62
A11/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#60
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-24
39-46
53-35
38-57
37-31
48-53
36-30
60-46
44-46
46-57
42-38
42-38
52-47
50-47
32-52
35-52
24-56
39-69
26-22
31-46
170.8Avg total
81.6Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.693.4168.0-18.840%
Season at home (2)70.572.0142.5-1.550%
Season away (3)77.3107.7185.0-30.333%
Last 10 (10)81.689.2170.8-7.650%
Last 5 (5)74.693.4168.0-18.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.693.4168.0-18.840%
vs Similar (8)81.985.0166.9-3.125%
vs Weaker (17)81.975.1157.0+6.865%
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H05/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A20/03
NCAA
Air Force
#122
W
102-71
102
71
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
W
97-71
97
71
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Samford
#281
W
90-66
90
66
+24
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-26
43-44
35-53
57-38
37-32
53-29
46-44
57-46
26-29
40-34
43-38
30-44
60-31
42-40
47-28
50-43
36-31
40-37
40-34
50-32
159.6Avg total
86.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.269.0160.2+22.2100%
Season at home (2)99.571.0170.5+28.5100%
Season away (2)83.067.0150.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.373.3159.6+13.090%
Last 5 (5)87.671.6159.2+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.582.5157.0-8.00%
vs Similar (9)81.279.0160.2+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.272.5156.6+11.789%
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -8.3-8.32nd half: +7.5+7.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -8.3-8.32nd half: +7.5+7.5
Northern KentuckyWright State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#303
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A26/02
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H01/03
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A05/03
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A08/03
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/03
NCAA
UTEP
#164
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H02/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#333
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A05/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#11
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
24-56
24
56
-32
A11/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#60
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H14/11
NCAA
76.9Avg total
38.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.075.5+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.933.673.5+6.362%-
Last 30 away (17)37.339.676.9-2.453%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.176.9+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.078.2-7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.243.078.2-7.860%-
vs Similar (8)38.138.876.9-0.638%-
vs Weaker (17)39.534.574.0+5.165%-
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wright StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A01/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H10/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/03
NCAA
Air Force
#122
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Samford
#281
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/11
NCAA
74.7Avg total
40.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.175.1+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.335.776.0+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)39.634.373.9+5.385%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.674.7+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.232.477.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.542.080.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (9)37.838.075.8-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.233.074.2+8.284%-
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCentral Michigan57-68
11/11/26ASt. Louis Billikens63-125
07/11/26ATexas A&M67-104
05/11/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes102-94
02/11/26HUTEP84-76
09/03/26AWright State90-103
08/03/26AWisc. Green Bay96-76
05/03/26AOakland85-84
01/03/26HWright State91-92
26/02/26ACleveland State81-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASamford90-66
11/11/26AToledo76-68
07/11/26HFlorida Atlantic97-71
03/11/26HAir Force102-71
20/03/26AVirginia73-82
10/03/26HDetroit66-63
09/03/26HNorthern Kentucky103-90
05/03/26HCleveland State90-61
01/03/26ANorthern Kentucky92-91
26/02/26AIPFW74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game74.670.577.3
Allowed / game93.472.0107.7
Point differential-18.8-1.5-30.3
Avg total168.0142.5185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wright State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.299.583.0
Allowed / game69.071.067.0
Point differential+22.2+28.5+16.0
Avg total160.2170.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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