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Minnesota vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 75-70
30-42 45-28
Position#163
Record17-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game71.0
Minnesota 🏆
USA
vs
Penn State
USA
Position#216
Record14-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota v Penn State
06 Jan 2027
MINN v PENN
upcoming
22 Feb 2025
MINN60
PENN69
02 Mar 2024
MINN75
PENN70
18 Feb 2023
MINN69
PENN76
12 Feb 2022
MINN76
PENN70
15 Jan 2020
MINN75
PENN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#117
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
75-66 OT
75
66
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A16/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H23/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
97-105
97
105
-8
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-34
35-27
31-45
52-29
27-27
34-34
27-32
32-24
51-38
34-52
43-35
33-49
37-37
44-33
42-34
46-45
20-28
35-45
45-48
52-57
151.6Avg total
75.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.771.0147.7+5.661%
Season at home (18)78.865.7144.4+13.183%
Season away (10)72.980.7153.6-7.820%
Last 10 (10)75.875.8151.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)79.482.2161.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.682.0154.6-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.071.1144.1+1.957%
vs Weaker (11)81.366.3147.5+15.082%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A17/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-31
29-52
26-24
35-22
37-41
48-30
42-34
47-45
27-29
36-39
31-45
41-35
22-28
27-40
41-48
49-41
40-33
43-41
39-47
42-43
149.5Avg total
74.7Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.874.5150.3+1.348%
Season at home (17)79.471.0150.4+8.471%
Season away (12)70.879.4150.2-8.717%
Last 10 (10)74.774.8149.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)75.080.2155.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.078.0148.0-8.029%
vs Similar ◀ (20)76.573.8150.4+2.750%
vs Weaker (3)81.069.3150.3+11.767%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +0.9+0.9
MinnesotaPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#117
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H03/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
34.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.070.1+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.731.569.2+6.261%-
Last 30 away (12)33.737.771.3-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)34.735.870.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.473.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.636.872.4-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.833.865.6-2.029%-
vs Weaker (11)41.832.974.7+8.973%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A28/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.835.069.8-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.132.670.7+5.565%-
Last 30 away (13)30.538.168.5-7.615%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.071.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.274.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.940.771.6-9.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)35.933.569.4+2.455%-
vs Weaker (3)36.731.368.0+5.333%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Minnesota wins
5
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Penn State v Minnesota74-83
19/02/23Minnesota v Penn State69-76
10/03/22Penn State v Minnesota60-51
17/02/22Penn State v Minnesota67-46
13/02/22Minnesota v Penn State76-70
04/03/21Penn State v Minnesota84-65
08/02/20Penn State v Minnesota83-77
16/01/20Minnesota v Penn State75-69
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24AIllinois97-105
25/02/24ANebraska55-73
23/02/24HOhio State88-79
18/02/24HRutgers81-70
16/02/24APurdue76-84
11/02/24AIowa85-90
07/02/24HMichigan State59-56
03/02/24HNorthwestern75-66 OT
27/01/24APenn State83-74
24/01/24HWisconsin59-61
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24AIowa81-90
24/02/24HIndiana83-74
21/02/24HIllinois90-89
17/02/24ANebraska49-68
14/02/24HMichigan State72-80
11/02/24ANorthwestern63-68
09/02/24HIowa89-79
03/02/24AIndiana85-71
01/02/24ARutgers61-46
27/01/24HMinnesota74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL61%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %61%83%20%
Points / game76.778.872.9
Allowed / game71.065.780.7
Point differential+5.6+13.1-7.8
Avg total147.7144.4153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%61%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %48%71%17%
Points / game75.879.470.8
Allowed / game74.571.079.4
Point differential+1.3+8.4-8.7
Avg total150.3150.4150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%35%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2825389%84.870.1+14.8
2 Illinois2922776%84.873.2+11.6
3 Northwestern2820871%74.269.0+5.2
4 Nebraska2920969%76.869.8+7.1
5 Oregon29191066%76.272.6+3.6
6 Wisconsin29181162%74.469.6+4.8
7 Michigan State28171161%74.466.0+8.4
8 Minnesota28171161%76.771.0+5.6
9 Iowa29171259%83.778.8+4.9
10 Ohio State29171259%74.269.9+4.3
11 Washington29161355%81.277.2+4.1
12 Rutgers28151354%66.765.9+0.8
13 Indiana28151354%72.975.0-2.1
14 Maryland29151452%69.364.4+4.9
15 UCLA28141450%66.265.1+1.1
16 Penn State29141548%75.874.5+1.3
17 USC28111739%74.174.8-0.7
18 Michigan2982128%74.079.1-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Minnesota304575
Penn State422870
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