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Northwestern vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 72-69
34-39 38-30
Position#191
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Position#238
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H15/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
77-65 OT
77
65
+12
A22/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A24/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H05/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A10/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
67-58 OT
67
58
+9
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-36
43-51
25-20
24-33
53-41
37-25
29-33
32-37
19-20
39-38
18-40
40-35
51-15
39-31
32-24
34-47
31-29
52-45
37-27
21-31
138.6Avg total
72.1Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.562.2138.8+14.275%
Season at home (3)80.059.3139.3+20.7100%
Season away (1)66.071.0137.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)72.166.5138.6+5.650%
Last 5 (5)72.864.8137.6+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.686.4165.0-7.840%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.669.2141.8+3.456%
vs Weaker (9)70.859.0129.8+11.878%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#81
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A11/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H13/03
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A14/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
H20/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A10/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#675
W
93-35
93
35
+58
H12/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
53-58
32-32
44-32
25-34
66-48
42-38
32-33
32-38
53-32
42-33
30-39
33-39
34-40
31-46
38-43
60-15
33-20
33-47
45-32
158.3Avg total
81.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.870.5147.2+6.225%
Season at home (1)93.035.0128.0+58.0100%
Season away (3)71.382.3153.7-11.00%
Last 10 (10)81.876.5158.3+5.350%
Last 5 (5)77.674.0151.6+3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.481.3157.7-4.940%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.180.0158.1-1.945%
vs Weaker (9)73.963.1137.0+10.856%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.1+5.1
NorthwesternMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H15/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A22/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
18-40
18
40
-22
A24/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H05/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A10/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H16/11
NCAA
61.7Avg total
33.2Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.030.564.5+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.730.969.7+7.893%-
Last 30 away (15)29.330.059.3-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)33.228.561.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)33.827.060.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.837.064.8-9.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.430.865.1+3.669%-
vs Weaker (9)36.826.363.1+10.489%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#81
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A11/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#675
W
60-15
60
15
+45
H12/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
36.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.870.6+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.231.668.8+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)34.637.672.1-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.371.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.075.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.636.968.5-5.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.235.873.0+1.464%-
vs Weaker (9)38.831.169.9+7.767%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northwestern wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HEastern Illinois67-58 OT
13/11/24HIllinois (Chi.)83-74
10/11/24ADayton66-71
05/11/24HLehigh90-46
24/03/24AUconn58-75
22/03/24AFlorida Atlantic77-65 OT
15/03/24HWisconsin61-70
10/03/24HMinnesota90-66
07/03/24AMichigan State49-53
02/03/24HIowa80-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24ADenver78-79
12/11/24HNorthwest Indian93-35
10/11/24AWichita State69-89
08/11/24AWisconsin67-79
20/03/24HGrambling St.81-88 OT
14/03/24AMontana85-70
13/03/24HSacramento State74-71
11/03/24AWeber State91-82
05/03/24HWeber State76-64
02/03/24AEast. Washington104-108 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game76.580.066.0
Allowed / game62.259.371.0
Point differential+14.2+20.7-5.0
Avg total138.8139.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game76.893.071.3
Allowed / game70.535.082.3
Point differential+6.2+58.0-11.0
Avg total147.2128.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penn State440100%97.261.5+35.8
2 Illinois330100%89.359.7+29.7
3 Indiana330100%85.762.3+23.3
4 Oregon440100%83.063.8+19.2
5 Iowa550100%86.668.4+18.2
6 Wisconsin550100%88.271.2+17.0
7 Rutgers330100%82.766.0+16.7
8 Purdue440100%85.271.2+14.0
9 Maryland54180%86.253.8+32.4
10 Michigan State54180%83.068.2+14.8
11 Minnesota54180%63.255.6+7.6
12 UCLA43175%76.251.8+24.5
13 Michigan43175%85.264.0+21.2
14 Ohio State43175%76.256.8+19.5
15 Northwestern43175%76.562.2+14.2
16 Nebraska43175%77.565.5+12.0
17 USC43175%79.071.5+7.5
18 Washington32167%68.768.3+0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Arizona54180%84.262.0+22.2
2 Portland State32167%102.786.7+16.0
3 Northern Colorado53260%84.670.6+14.0
4 Idaho State52340%68.664.2+4.4
5 Montana52340%74.874.2+0.6
6 Sacramento State41325%71.562.8+8.8
7 Montana State41325%76.870.5+6.2
8 Weber State41325%73.068.0+5.0
9 Idaho41325%76.881.0-4.2
10 East. Washington41325%76.082.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern343872
Montana State393069
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