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Northwestern vs USC Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#128
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game61.8
vs
Position#62
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Northwestern v USC
30 Jan 2027
NORT v USC
upcoming
04 Feb 2025
NORT77
USC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
USC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H03/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#273
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Boston University
#134
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H10/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
34-26
34-25
32-45
29-39
37-28
34-32
42-34
36-37
38-24
21-45
47-36
51-35
35-25
44-30
34-35
39-24
33-31
23-27
24-40
135.0Avg total
69.6Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.861.8132.5+9.075%
Season at home (4)70.861.8132.5+9.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.665.4135.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)70.265.6135.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)65.574.1139.6-8.520%
vs Similar (8)71.868.2140.0+3.550%
vs Weaker (7)80.766.4147.1+14.386%
This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H28/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A05/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
68-89
68
89
-21
H08/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H03/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#102
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A09/11
NCAA
California
#84
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-54
33-47
32-35
38-36
29-38
33-43
36-31
31-51
43-40
29-51
30-45
38-44
40-33
31-38
46-29
49-34
43-45
50-41
39-30
38-35
156.0Avg total
74.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.371.3159.7+17.0100%
Season at home (1)95.063.0158.0+32.0100%
Season away (2)85.075.5160.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)74.881.2156.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)82.477.2159.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.582.2151.8-12.825%
vs Similar (10)76.677.1153.7-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.570.4158.9+18.1100%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -5.0-5.0
NorthwesternUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A12/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#181
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#273
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Boston University
#134
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H10/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H14/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
34.0Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.734.067.7-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.432.568.9+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)29.636.365.9-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.067.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.267.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.735.667.3-3.933%-
vs Similar (8)33.231.664.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker (7)38.633.472.0+5.186%-
This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A05/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H08/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#102
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A09/11
NCAA
California
#84
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A12/11
NCAA
75.0Avg total
37.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.272.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.134.671.7+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.237.773.9-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.075.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.476.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.539.071.5-6.533%-
vs Similar (10)38.435.273.6+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.833.173.9+7.675%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northwestern wins
0
USC wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26USC v Northwestern68-74
05/02/25Northwestern v USC77-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDePaul47-67
10/11/26HBoston University72-55
07/11/26HStony Brook78-65
03/11/26HBinghamton86-60
12/03/26APurdue68-81
11/03/26AIndiana74-61
10/03/26HPenn State76-66
08/03/26AMinnesota66-67
05/03/26HPurdue66-70
28/02/26HOregon63-62
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ACalifornia77-65
09/11/26AWichita State93-86
03/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee95-63
11/03/26AWashington79-83 OT
08/03/26HUCLA68-89
05/03/26AWashington72-91
28/02/26HNebraska67-82
25/02/26AUCLA62-81
21/02/26HOregon70-71
19/02/26HIllinois65-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game70.870.8-
Allowed / game61.861.8-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total132.5132.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
USC
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.395.085.0
Allowed / game71.363.075.5
Point differential+17.0+32.0+9.5
Avg total159.7158.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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