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Northwestern vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-75
33-31 44-44
Position#191
Record12-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game69.6
Northwestern 🏆
USA
vs
USC
USA
Position#215
Record13-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northwestern v USC
30 Jan 2027
NORT v USC
upcoming
04 Feb 2025
NORT77
USC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#181
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A26/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H30/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
50-27
34-37
46-47
18-41
43-38
28-47
40-31
38-37
30-31
35-30
30-35
25-31
54-39
21-43
53-40
35-43
37-36
31-25
38-50
150.2Avg total
74.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.969.6143.5+4.255%
Season at home (14)75.365.9141.2+9.479%
Season away (8)71.476.1147.5-4.812%
Last 10 (10)74.076.2150.2-2.230%
Last 5 (5)74.077.4151.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.373.7144.0-3.443%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.670.8143.4+1.844%
vs Weaker (5)77.056.0133.0+21.0100%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#60
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H22/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A09/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
99-89
99
89
+10
H15/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A23/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
50-30
41-27
41-24
38-42
36-43
38-38
31-44
35-38
47-34
48-32
51-57
27-42
42-42
31-33
47-40
37-42
39-40
35-32
35-32
154.0Avg total
78.9Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.772.4149.0+4.362%
Season at home (16)76.471.8148.2+4.662%
Season away (5)77.474.2151.6+3.260%
Last 10 (10)78.975.1154.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)78.478.4156.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.671.6143.2-0.144%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.073.7153.7+6.383%
vs Weaker (2)83.067.0150.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +3.3+3.3
NorthwesternUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#181
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A26/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H30/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H01/02
NCAA
66.7Avg total
30.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.431.663.1-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.731.666.3+3.167%-
Last 30 away (12)26.631.758.2-5.142%-
Last 10 (10)30.036.766.7-6.740%-
Last 5 (5)29.434.463.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)25.634.159.7-8.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)31.732.764.4-0.956%-
vs Weaker (5)38.624.463.0+14.2100%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#60
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A23/01
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/02
NCAA
73.5Avg total
37.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.070.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.333.570.8+3.870%-
Last 30 away (10)35.035.070.0+0.030%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.573.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.271.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.033.366.3-0.356%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.435.876.2+4.658%-
vs Weaker (2)41.528.570.0+13.050%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northwestern wins
0
USC wins
No previous meetings.
Northwesternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HWisconsin69-75
30/01/25HRutgers72-79
26/01/25AIllinois74-83
23/01/25HIndiana79-70
19/01/25AMichigan76-80 OT
17/01/25HMaryland76-74 OT
12/01/25HMichigan State68-78
05/01/25APurdue61-79
03/01/25APenn State80-84
29/12/24HNortheastern85-60
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HMichigan State70-64
28/01/25HUCLA76-82
23/01/25ANebraska78-73
18/01/25HWisconsin69-84
15/01/25HIowa99-89
11/01/25AIllinois82-72
09/01/25AIndiana69-82
05/01/25HMichigan74-85
22/12/24HSouthern Univ.82-51
19/12/24HCS Northridge90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeLWWLL79%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %55%79%12%
Points / game73.975.371.4
Allowed / game69.665.976.1
Point differential+4.2+9.4-4.8
Avg total143.5141.2147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %18%21%12%
USC
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21165
Win %62%62%60%
Points / game76.776.477.4
Allowed / game72.471.874.2
Point differential+4.3+4.6+3.2
Avg total149.0148.2151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%44%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2118386%80.467.3+13.1
2 Purdue2318578%78.268.5+9.7
3 Maryland2217577%83.065.5+17.5
4 Wisconsin2217577%81.570.5+11.0
5 Michigan2116576%82.370.3+12.0
6 UCLA2216673%76.064.5+11.5
7 Oregon2216673%76.471.0+5.5
8 Illinois2215768%85.370.4+14.9
9 Nebraska2214864%75.671.1+4.5
10 Indiana2214864%77.173.5+3.6
11 USC2113862%76.772.4+4.3
12 Ohio State2213959%80.071.4+8.5
13 Iowa2213959%85.579.0+6.5
14 Penn State23131057%81.472.5+8.9
15 Northwestern22121055%73.969.6+4.2
16 Minnesota23121152%68.868.7+0.2
17 Rutgers22111150%76.074.6+1.3
18 Washington20101050%71.472.1-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern334477
USC314475
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