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Norway vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-101
21-20 18-31 12-27 17-23
Position#75
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game73.2
Norway
vs
Croatia 🏆
Position#5
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld Cup· Asane Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norway winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorway
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
L
41-79
41
79
-38
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H19/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
A26/07
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
69-91
69
91
-22
no box
A29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H05/08
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#70
W
72-58
72
58
+14
no box
A25/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
62-75
62
75
-13
no box
H21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
W
68-59
68
59
+9
no box
H20/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
A02/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
14-21
10-15
5-19
22-21
27-18
19-8
18-33
15-25
12-24
15-21
24-15
14-20
20-30
17-24
18-17
22-17
19-23
22-18
21-16
24-9
19-23
8-20
21-6
20-26
18-17
12-12
12-20
15-21
15-17
22-8
16-13
22-23
20-18
15-22
14-22
15-25
21-20
17-20
18-24
146.5Avg total
69.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.873.2142.0-4.440%
Season at home (2)65.067.0132.0-2.050%
Season away (3)71.377.3148.7-6.033%
Last 10 (10)69.077.5146.5-8.540%
Last 5 (5)68.873.2142.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.773.2138.9-7.531%
vs Similar (7)77.979.0156.9-1.157%
vs Weaker (4)90.064.8154.8+25.2100%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
W
89-49
89
49
+40
no box
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
98-62
98
62
+36
no box
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
95-61
95
61
+34
no box
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
84avg 85
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
90-110
90
110
-20
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 85
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
104-67
104
67
+37
112avg 85
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-5
32-12
14-16
19-16
31-14
26-20
23-12
18-16
20-12
22-22
21-8
32-19
25-12
25-25
24-18
17-24
14-15
16-20
14-22
17-16
22-8
26-16
22-26
22-13
30-19
20-29
23-12
16-16
21-22
29-28
13-33
27-27
17-20
18-17
16-22
29-24
26-14
22-11
26-18
30-24
161.2Avg total
88.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.972.3161.2+16.670%
Last 5 (5)91.079.8170.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.983.6160.4-6.714%
vs Similar (6)86.089.2175.2-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.968.0151.9+15.982%
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +8.9+8.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +8.9+8.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
NorwayCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorwayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H19/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A26/07
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H05/08
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#70
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H20/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/02
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/08
World Cup
78.8Avg total
36.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.338.474.8-2.142%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.337.375.7+1.050%-
Last 30 away (12)34.339.573.8-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.642.278.8-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.877.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.139.773.8-5.631%-
vs Similar (7)36.040.376.3-4.343%-
vs Weaker (4)44.231.075.2+13.275%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A24/02
EuroBasket
80.7Avg total
46.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.877.3+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.734.777.4+8.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.338.977.2-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)46.634.180.7+12.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.883.0+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.441.677.0-6.114%-
vs Similar (6)42.045.587.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.131.773.8+10.476%-
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norwaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norway: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.8
47.6%
-31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.9
29.5%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
-12.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
-36.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
-15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norway
LLWLWWLLWL
Croatia
WLLWWLWWWW
#75
League position
#5
-8.8
Net rating
+22.7
96.2
Offensive rating
120.4
105.0
Defensive rating
97.6
46.1%
Effective FG%
57.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
40.6%
67.1%
Assist %
74.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Norway   ■ Croatia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Norway wins
0
Croatia wins
No previous meetings.
Norwaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25ADenmark71-89
23/02/25ARomania71-85
20/02/25HLuxembourg68-59
21/11/24HRomania62-75
25/02/24ALuxembourg72-58
05/08/23HAustria84-74
29/07/23ABulgaria69-91
26/07/23AAustria66-85
19/07/23HBulgaria86-80
26/02/23HNorth Macedonia41-79
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25ACyprus104-67
21/02/25HFrance80-83
24/11/24ABosnia & Herzegovina90-110
21/11/24HBosnia & Herzegovina89-76
26/02/24HCyprus92-63
23/02/24AFrance61-73
02/08/23ALuxembourg91-79
29/07/23AIreland95-61
22/07/23HLuxembourg98-62
19/07/23HIreland89-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norway
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game68.865.071.3
Allowed / game73.267.077.3
Point differential-4.4-2.0-6.0
Avg total142.0132.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Denmark110100%89.071.0+18.0
3 Slovakia110100%73.060.0+13.0
4 Netherlands110100%65.064.0+1.0
5 Switzerland76186%77.759.1+18.6
6 Romania54180%79.271.8+7.4
7 Austria53260%93.075.4+17.6
8 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
9 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
10 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
11 Norway52340%68.873.2-4.4
12 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
13 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
14 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
15 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
16 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
17 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
18 North Macedonia1010%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norway2118121768
Croatia20312723101
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