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Notre Dame vs Le Moyne Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#35
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game64.2
vs
Position#219
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Notre Dame v Le Moyne
21 Dec 2026
NOTR v LE M
upcoming
22 Dec 2024
NOTR91
LE M62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Le Moyne win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
56-100
56
100
-44
H25/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Villanova
#96
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A01/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H10/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#135
W
99-59
99
59
+40
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
44-41
20-23
48-50
22-54
34-46
38-44
43-37
37-45
41-41
33-30
36-47
31-35
43-37
38-23
45-33
46-33
48-37
50-28
49-31
156.3Avg total
80.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.564.2151.8+23.2100%
Season at home (3)92.061.7153.7+30.3100%
Season away (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.675.7156.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)83.866.8150.6+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.179.3151.4-7.229%
vs Similar (9)72.973.7146.6-0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.560.8150.2+28.8100%
This opponent (Le Moyne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MoyneUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A20/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H27/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
64-106
64
106
-42
A03/11
NCAA
Creighton
#160
L
55-83
55
83
-28
A06/11
NCAA
Elmira
#533
W
109-39
109
39
+70
H10/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
39-34
34-39
43-39
24-32
44-45
36-33
40-26
31-31
28-35
32-39
39-42
32-58
32-48
17-54
38-29
53-20
56-19
37-26
39-36
145.0Avg total
73.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.072.5148.5+3.550%
Season at home (2)92.550.5143.0+42.0100%
Season away (2)59.594.5154.0-35.00%
Last 10 (10)73.671.4145.0+2.240%
Last 5 (5)75.074.2149.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)57.394.7152.0-37.30%
vs Similar (19)70.873.3144.1-2.437%
vs Weaker (7)79.064.3143.3+14.7100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +4.5+4.5
Notre DameLe Moyne
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H25/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Villanova
#96
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A01/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#317
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H06/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#323
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H10/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#135
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
36.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.835.569.3-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.235.471.6+0.841%-
Last 30 away (13)30.535.666.2-5.123%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.870.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.629.869.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.139.172.1-6.018%-
vs Similar (9)30.732.062.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.828.272.0+15.5100%-
This opponent (Le Moyne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MoyneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A03/11
NCAA
Creighton
#160
L
17-54
17
54
-37
A06/11
NCAA
Elmira
#533
W
53-20
53
20
+33
H10/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
33.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.668.5-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.831.265.9+3.646%-
Last 30 away (17)33.337.270.5-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.169.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.473.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)26.351.077.3-24.70%-
vs Similar (19)32.933.766.6-0.826%-
vs Weaker (7)37.332.069.3+5.357%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Notre Dame wins
0
Le Moyne wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Notre Dame v Le Moyne91-62
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HSouth Carolina St99-59
10/11/26HEastern Illinois94-70
06/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers83-56
01/11/26AVillanova74-72
07/03/26ABoston College69-77
05/03/26HStanford78-86
28/02/26HNC State96-90 OT
25/02/26HDuke56-100
21/02/26APittsburgh68-73
14/02/26HGeorgia Tech89-74
Le Moynelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HManhattan76-62
10/11/26HElmira109-39
06/11/26ACreighton55-83
03/11/26ANebraska64-106
05/03/26HStonehill71-81
28/02/26ANew Haven Chargers59-66
27/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson76-59
21/02/26AStonehill68-77
20/02/26ACentral Connecticut State77-78
14/02/26HChicago State81-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.592.074.0
Allowed / game64.261.772.0
Point differential+23.2+30.3+2.0
Avg total151.8153.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Le Moyne
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.092.559.5
Allowed / game72.550.594.5
Point differential+3.5+42.0-35.0
Avg total148.5143.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
2 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
3 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
4 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
5 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
6 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
7 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
8 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
9 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
10 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
11 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
12 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
13 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
14 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
15 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
16 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
17 Louisville32167%89.775.0+14.7
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State53260%66.876.6-9.8
2 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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