Nunawading vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Jun 2024

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 74-75

21-18 23-18 20-19 10-20

Position#8

Record9-7

FormLLWWW

Points / game87.7

Allowed / game84.8

Nunawading

Geelong 🏆

Position#11

Record7-9

FormLWLWW

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game85.2

NBL1 South

Other2024

Meetings · Nunawading v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nunawading winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nunawading Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

83-77

A28/04

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

88-91

-3

H04/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

78-96

-18

A10/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

86-87

-1

A18/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

98-77

+21

H19/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

78-84

-6

H25/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

91-104

104

-13

H01/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

92-77

+15

A07/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

102-93

102

A15/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

94-79

+15

A22/06

NBL1 South

25-28

15-20

27-12

16-17

21-18

25-26

23-17

19-30

21-20

24-25

18-24

15-27

20-17

19-16

25-23

22-31

23-18

27-18

29-26

19-15

20-14

18-25

15-26

25-19

27-29

27-26

15-27

22-22

29-22

18-15

26-26

19-14

28-18

17-30

23-26

34-19

22-19

19-22

22-26

31-12

175.5Avg total

89.0Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	87.7	84.8	172.4	+2.9	56%
Season at home (6)	88.2	87.5	175.7	+0.7	33%
Season away (10)	87.4	83.1	170.5	+4.3	70%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	86.5	175.5	+2.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	87.4	178.8	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	82.8	91.4	174.2	-8.6	40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	89.1	88.4	177.6	+0.7	44%
vs Weaker (16)	92.1	84.6	176.8	+7.5	62%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#16

69-83

-14

A05/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

74-85

-11

H11/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

84-81

A12/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

87-86

H18/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

83-115

115

-32

A19/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

81-89

-8

H25/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

84-77

A31/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

70-92

-22

A02/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

72-66

H15/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

87-85

H22/06

NBL1 South

14-28

17-17

23-20

15-18

19-24

18-21

16-23

21-17

20-22

15-23

21-13

28-23

17-20

16-19

23-25

31-22

20-26

20-28

17-31

26-30

22-26

24-19

15-18

20-26

20-19

19-25

20-12

25-21

11-19

22-23

15-36

22-14

19-20

18-21

18-19

17-6

23-25

24-21

17-26

23-13

165.0Avg total

79.1Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.5	85.2	164.8	-5.8	44%
Season at home (8)	78.8	82.0	160.8	-3.2	50%
Season away (8)	80.2	88.5	168.8	-8.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	85.9	165.0	-6.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	81.8	160.6	-3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	81.3	88.0	169.3	-6.7	50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	88.2	86.6	174.8	+1.7	56%
vs Weaker (11)	87.1	84.8	171.9	+2.3	36%

This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NunawadingGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	21.6	45.7	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.5	22.2	47.6	+3.3	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.1	21.2	44.3	+1.9	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.3	43.9	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.4	45.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.6	23.4	48.0	+1.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.6	21.7	45.2	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	24.3	21.0	45.3	+3.3	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.3	42.3	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.3	23.9	45.2	-2.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.6	22.8	44.5	-1.2	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	23.8	45.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	24.2	45.1	-3.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.6	43.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	26.0	44.4	-7.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.3	23.3	45.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.8	23.4	45.2	-1.6	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.7	41.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.6	20.9	42.4	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	55%	-

NunawadingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

40-48

-8

A28/04

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

46-44

H04/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

45-45

A10/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

39-33

A18/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

50-36

+14

H19/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

38-39

-1

H25/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

54-55

-1

H01/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

47-37

+10

A07/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

45-48

-3

A15/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

41-41

A22/06

NBL1 South

87.1Avg total

44.5Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	45.4	91.0	+0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	47.5	45.5	93.0	+1.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.1	45.4	89.4	-1.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	42.6	87.1	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	44.0	89.0	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	43.0	49.4	92.4	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.9	45.0	90.9	+0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	46.1	44.4	90.6	+1.7	50%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#16

31-45

-14

A05/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

37-45

-8

H11/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

35-45

-10

A12/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

33-39

-6

H18/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

40-54

-14

A19/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

46-45

H25/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

39-44

-5

A31/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

33-42

-9

A02/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

37-41

-4

H15/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

47-46

H22/06

NBL1 South

82.4Avg total

37.8Scored

44.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	44.0	85.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	44.7	86.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	43.3	84.7	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	44.6	82.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.6	84.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.2	44.2	82.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.9	44.8	87.7	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.5	43.2	86.7	+0.4	55%	-

This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	21.7	43.4	+0.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	20.6	42.5	+1.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	23.3	45.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	26.2	46.4	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.1	24.1	44.2	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.1	19.6	42.7	+3.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.2	39.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.5	24.1	43.6	-4.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.2	21.9	44.1	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.8	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.3	19.6	42.9	+3.7	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	17.2	43.4	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.1	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.1	44.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.1	19.9	43.0	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.7	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	41.3	85.2	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.2	42.7	84.9	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	45.1	40.2	85.4	+4.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	43.9	88.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	43.4	89.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.8	42.0	81.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.2	43.4	86.7	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	45.5	39.9	85.4	+5.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	41.7	84.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	38.9	82.1	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	44.5	87.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	41.3	82.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.2	76.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.0	42.8	84.8	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.3	41.8	87.1	+3.6	78%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.6	40.5	83.2	+2.1	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nunawading wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
18/05/24	Geelong v Nunawading	87-86
20/05/23	Geelong v Nunawading	90-82
05/08/22	Geelong v Nunawading	89-75
01/08/21	Nunawading v Geelong	85-83
08/05/21	Geelong v Nunawading	66-65
03/08/19	Nunawading v Geelong	82-76
29/03/19	Geelong v Nunawading	70-93
19/08/17	Nunawading v Geelong	107-65
28/07/17	Geelong v Nunawading	96-76
03/06/17	Nunawading v Geelong	73-79

Nunawadinglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/06/24	A	Ballarat	94-79
15/06/24	A	Frankston	102-93
07/06/24	A	Casey Cavaliers	92-77
01/06/24	H	Waverley	91-104
25/05/24	H	Melbourne Tigers	78-84
19/05/24	H	Keilor Thunder	98-77
18/05/24	A	Geelong	86-87
10/05/24	A	Mt Gambier	78-96
04/05/24	H	Diamond Valley	88-91
28/04/24	A	Sandringham Sabres	83-77

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/06/24	H	Hobart Chargers	87-85
15/06/24	H	Melbourne Tigers	72-66
02/06/24	A	Eltham	70-92
31/05/24	A	Mt Gambier	84-77
25/05/24	H	NW Tasmania	81-89
19/05/24	A	Frankston	83-115
18/05/24	H	Nunawading	87-86
12/05/24	A	Ringwood	84-81
11/05/24	H	Sandringham Sabres	74-85
05/05/24	A	Kilsyth	69-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nunawading

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	56%
Home	LLWLL	33%
Away	LLWWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	6	10
Win %	56%	33%	70%
Points / game	87.7	88.2	87.4
Allowed / game	84.8	87.5	83.1
Point differential	+2.9	+0.7	+4.3
Avg total	172.4	175.7	170.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	33%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

Geelong

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	44%
Home	LWLWW	50%
Away	LWLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	44%	50%	38%
Points / game	79.5	78.8	80.2
Allowed / game	85.2	82.0	88.5
Point differential	-5.8	-3.2	-8.2
Avg total	164.8	160.8	168.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sandringham Sabres	17	13	4	76%	94.6	79.9	+14.6
2	Mt Gambier	17	13	4	76%	88.9	80.4	+8.6
3	Ballarat	17	12	5	71%	92.6	85.8	+6.8
4	Dandenong	17	11	6	65%	86.5	84.2	+2.4
5	Keilor Thunder	17	11	6	65%	89.2	90.5	-1.3
6	Waverley	17	10	7	59%	93.2	88.3	+4.9
7	Frankston	16	9	7	56%	91.8	85.8	+6.1
8	Nunawading	16	9	7	56%	87.7	84.8	+2.9
9	Knox	18	10	8	56%	94.2	84.2	+10.0
10	Hobart Chargers	17	9	8	53%	80.6	81.7	-1.1
11	Eltham	16	8	8	50%	89.4	83.1	+6.2
12	Geelong	16	7	9	44%	79.5	85.2	-5.8
13	Melbourne Tigers	17	7	10	41%	75.2	81.7	-6.5
14	NW Tasmania	17	7	10	41%	82.2	91.1	-8.8
15	Bendigo Braves	17	6	11	35%	79.4	87.7	-8.4
16	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	84.9	89.5	-4.6
17	Diamond Valley	16	5	11	31%	85.8	94.4	-8.6
18	Kilsyth	16	4	12	25%	78.7	86.5	-7.8
19	Casey Cavaliers	17	3	14	18%	79.1	89.4	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nunawading	21	23	20	10	74
Geelong	18	18	19	20	75

← all games of the day

Nunawading vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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