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NW Tasmania vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 103-112
16-31 28-27 27-31 32-23
Position#18
Record5-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Position#14
Record7-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game95.1
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Dandenong
19 Jul 2025
NW T103
DAND112
13 Apr 2024
NW T71
DAND101
02 Jul 2022
NW T92
DAND67
11 May 2019
NW T76
DAND109
20 May 2017
NW T72
DAND79
07 May 2016
NW T85
DAND77
16 May 2015
NW T87
DAND71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
L
87-107
87
107
-20
H24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A30/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
82-102
82
102
-20
A14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
97-85
97
85
+12
A15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H21/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A28/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
74-107
74
107
-33
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
98-100
98
100
-2
A12/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
75-115
75
115
-40
A13/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
23-21
23-28
28-27
25-27
27-23
10-23
23-23
16-26
24-27
18-26
24-23
30-16
19-21
22-22
26-26
20-20
28-12
23-24
26-30
20-25
20-20
16-21
27-32
15-26
19-18
23-24
20-17
21-36
19-24
14-26
20-21
25-32
22-28
19-21
32-19
17-20
16-30
27-27
15-38
183.6Avg total
85.5Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.791.5177.2-5.825%
Season at home (9)85.787.9173.6-2.233%
Season away (11)85.794.4180.1-8.618%
Last 10 (10)85.598.1183.6-12.620%
Last 5 (5)81.4101.0182.4-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)82.194.2176.3-12.114%
vs Similar ◀ (7)90.181.7171.9+8.457%
vs Weaker (2)83.583.0166.5+0.550%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
W
98-96
98
96
+2
A30/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H01/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H14/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
105-112
105
112
-7
H21/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A28/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
104-103
104
103
+1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H05/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
106-84
106
84
+22
H11/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
73-93
73
93
-20
A12/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
99-92
99
92
+7
A18/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-35
27-16
20-27
27-18
19-23
21-23
23-18
21-23
21-28
23-22
26-23
23-24
24-30
27-25
27-22
27-35
22-26
16-15
20-31
19-26
35-27
17-18
18-24
34-34
25-26
18-20
26-23
30-17
21-25
26-28
34-13
25-18
17-33
20-23
18-20
18-17
21-22
21-25
30-21
27-24
188.6Avg total
93.8Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.195.1185.2-5.033%
Season at home (11)94.396.9191.2-2.636%
Season away (10)85.593.1178.6-7.630%
Last 10 (10)93.894.8188.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)96.291.6187.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)88.094.4182.4-6.435%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.990.0174.9-5.133%
vs Weaker (4)86.288.0174.2-1.850%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
NW TasmaniaDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A30/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H21/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A28/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A12/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A13/07
NBL1 South
90.2Avg total
41.9Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.946.488.3-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.044.288.2-0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)40.248.188.4-7.918%-
Last 10 (10)41.948.390.2-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.851.890.6-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)41.148.089.2-6.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.942.387.1+2.657%-
vs Weaker (2)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A30/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H01/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H14/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H21/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H29/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H05/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H11/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A12/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A18/07
NBL1 South
93.5Avg total
44.5Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.646.489.0-3.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.346.892.1-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)39.945.985.8-6.113%-
Last 10 (10)44.549.093.5-4.510%-
Last 5 (5)44.249.493.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.246.488.6-4.124%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.247.389.6-5.133%-
vs Weaker (4)45.044.289.2+0.825%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
NW Tasmania wins
5
Dandenong wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/07/25AEltham75-115
12/07/25ASandringham Sabres98-100
05/07/25HMt Gambier74-107
29/06/25ADiamond Valley77-85
28/06/25AMelbourne Tigers83-98
21/06/25HKnox97-86
15/06/25AGeelong97-85
14/06/25ACasey Cavaliers82-102
30/05/25AHobart Chargers85-96
24/05/25HRingwood87-107
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/25AHobart Chargers99-92
12/07/25ABallarat73-93
11/07/25HGeelong106-84
05/07/25HCasey Cavaliers99-86
29/06/25HFrankston104-103
28/06/25AKilsyth77-98
21/06/25HSandringham Sabres105-112
14/06/25HHobart Chargers93-97
01/06/25HNunawading84-87
30/05/25AMt Gambier98-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %25%33%18%
Points / game85.785.785.7
Allowed / game91.587.994.4
Point differential-5.8-2.2-8.6
Avg total177.2173.6180.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW33%
HomeLLWWW36%
AwayWWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%36%30%
Points / game90.194.385.5
Allowed / game95.196.993.1
Point differential-5.0-2.6-7.6
Avg total185.2191.2178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2117481%91.783.9+7.9
2 Mt Gambier2216673%96.582.4+14.1
3 Eltham2214864%89.985.5+4.4
4 Kilsyth2214864%89.386.0+3.3
5 Melbourne Tigers2113862%87.081.3+5.6
6 Sandringham Sabres2113862%93.790.6+3.1
7 Ballarat2012860%88.089.5-1.6
8 Hobart Chargers2112957%88.786.5+2.1
9 Casey Cavaliers21111052%88.586.7+1.8
10 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
11 Nunawading22111150%87.486.4+1.0
12 Frankston2191243%91.991.0+1.0
13 Waverley2191243%93.496.3-2.9
14 Bendigo Braves2181338%82.094.0-12.0
15 Keilor Thunder2281436%82.488.0-5.7
16 Dandenong2171433%90.195.1-5.0
17 Geelong2271532%81.988.5-6.5
18 NW Tasmania2051525%85.791.5-5.8
19 Diamond Valley2151624%84.294.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NW Tasmania16282732103
Dandenong31273123112
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