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Ohio State vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-56
27-22 34-34
Position#114
Record10-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#234
Record8-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Ohio State v Penn State
17 Jan 2027
OHIO v PENN
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
OHIO84
PENN78
20 Jan 2024
OHIO79
PENN67
23 Feb 2023
OHIO71
PENN75
10 Mar 2022
OHIO68
PENN71
16 Jan 2022
OHIO61
PENN56
27 Jan 2021
OHIO83
PENN79
07 Dec 2019
OHIO106
PENN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#84
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A25/11
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A06/12
NCAA
Towson
#43
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H09/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H11/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
A03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A07/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H09/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
39-41
30-26
38-45
30-43
41-23
41-30
35-34
33-32
52-42
34-29
39-26
34-32
38-40
30-33
21-34
51-39
44-48
27-40
41-38
147.0Avg total
75.3Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.670.4146.0+5.171%
Season at home (7)80.668.6149.1+12.0100%
Season away (7)70.672.3142.9-1.743%
Last 10 (10)75.371.7147.0+3.670%
Last 5 (5)74.873.2148.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.478.1153.6-2.743%
vs Similar (14)74.471.4145.7+3.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.169.9151.0+11.289%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#93
L
63-68 OT
63
68
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H02/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H06/12
NCAA
Wagner
#33
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H09/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A11/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H02/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
29-32
29-17
31-28
23-29
35-34
30-41
34-35
32-27
42-27
29-42
35-38
27-26
34-32
29-34
45-36
30-35
37-39
27-19
39-30
128.8Avg total
65.1Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.265.0132.2+2.257%
Season at home (9)69.362.9132.2+6.467%
Season away (5)63.468.8132.2-5.440%
Last 10 (10)65.163.7128.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)66.466.2132.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.772.6142.3-2.931%
vs Similar (16)69.165.8134.9+3.269%
vs Weaker (1)60.045.0105.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +3.0+3.0
Ohio StatePenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#84
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A22/11
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H01/12
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A06/12
NCAA
Towson
#43
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H09/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H11/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A03/01
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A07/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H09/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A14/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
35.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.170.8+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.034.572.5+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)35.533.769.1+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)35.033.968.9+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.669.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.440.474.9-6.00%-
vs Similar (14)35.632.968.4+2.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.331.171.4+9.2100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#93
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
29-17
29
17
+12
A27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H02/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Wagner
#33
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H09/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H02/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#208
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H11/01
NCAA
58.1Avg total
28.5Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.032.764.8-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.431.764.1+0.850%-
Last 30 away (12)31.434.365.8-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)28.529.658.1-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)28.431.259.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.236.069.2-2.838%-
vs Similar (16)31.331.162.4+0.244%-
vs Weaker (1)29.017.046.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ohio State wins
1
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
06/12/21Penn State v Ohio State64-76
19/02/21Penn State v Ohio State82-92
28/01/21Ohio State v Penn State83-79
18/01/20Penn State v Ohio State90-76
07/12/19Ohio State v Penn State106-74
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/22AWisconsin68-78
09/01/22HNorthwestern95-87
07/01/22AIndiana51-67
03/01/22ANebraska87-79 OT
11/12/21HWisconsin73-55
09/12/21HTowson85-74
06/12/21APenn State76-64
01/12/21HDuke71-66
25/11/21AFlorida68-71
22/11/21ASeton Hall79-76
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/22HRutgers66-49
08/01/22HPurdue67-74
06/01/22ANorthwestern74-70
02/01/22HIndiana61-58
11/12/21AMichigan State64-80
09/12/21HWagner74-54
06/12/21HOhio State64-76
02/12/21HMiami (FL)58-63
27/11/21AOregon State60-45
27/11/21ALSU63-68 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%100%43%
Points / game75.680.670.6
Allowed / game70.468.672.3
Point differential+5.1+12.0-1.7
Avg total146.0149.1142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Penn State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %57%67%40%
Points / game67.269.363.4
Allowed / game65.062.968.8
Point differential+2.2+6.4-5.4
Avg total132.2132.2132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1614288%85.666.5+19.1
2 USC1614288%75.463.5+11.9
3 Wisconsin1614288%72.165.1+6.9
4 UCLA1311285%80.666.8+13.8
5 Michigan State1714382%74.765.6+9.1
6 Illinois1613381%79.764.2+15.4
7 Iowa1612475%86.571.8+14.8
8 Indiana1612475%74.962.2+12.7
9 Ohio State1410471%75.670.4+5.1
10 Minnesota1410471%69.665.3+4.3
11 Oregon1711665%72.867.8+5.1
12 Rutgers1610662%69.065.1+3.9
13 Northwestern159660%77.767.1+10.6
14 Penn State148657%67.265.0+2.2
15 Washington158753%69.771.5-1.8
16 Maryland179853%70.969.0+1.9
17 Michigan147750%71.466.9+4.4
18 Nebraska1861233%73.479.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State273461
Penn State223456
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