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Ohio State vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-78
50-32 34-46
Position#104
Record13-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#298
Record9-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game77.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ohio State v Penn State
17 Jan 2027
OHIO v PENN
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
OHIO84
PENN78
20 Jan 2024
OHIO79
PENN67
23 Feb 2023
OHIO71
PENN75
10 Mar 2022
OHIO68
PENN71
16 Jan 2022
OHIO61
PENN56
27 Jan 2021
OHIO83
PENN79
07 Dec 2019
OHIO106
PENN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
H14/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H23/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A09/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A11/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
82-74 OT
82
74
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
41-31
31-34
39-37
39-24
50-39
37-41
43-32
31-38
38-34
34-29
38-33
38-36
36-45
42-36
44-38
31-28
36-39
30-33
32-41
150.5Avg total
77.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.172.3154.4+9.868%
Season at home (13)86.271.8158.0+14.377%
Season away (6)73.373.2146.5+0.250%
Last 10 (10)77.373.2150.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)75.273.0148.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.076.0147.0-5.025%
vs Similar (14)76.478.4154.8-1.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.370.1157.4+17.292%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
L
72-113
72
113
-41
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
46-80
46
80
-34
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A10/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
71-98
71
98
-27
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-58
46-55
39-36
33-40
20-40
26-40
36-33
54-34
26-40
39-33
31-40
41-34
44-45
41-48
23-29
37-42
26-56
47-40
22-50
49-48
154.7Avg total
70.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.577.4153.9-0.947%
Season at home (15)75.875.1150.9+0.753%
Season away (4)79.286.2165.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)70.684.1154.7-13.510%
Last 5 (5)72.286.4158.6-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.876.9151.7-2.141%
vs Similar (9)76.677.7154.2-1.144%
vs Weaker (4)67.574.0141.5-6.525%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -13.4-13.42nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -0.1-0.1
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -13.4-13.42nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -0.1-0.1
Ohio StatePenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H23/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A09/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
34.0Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.772.4+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.234.874.0+4.353%-
Last 30 away (11)35.434.469.7+1.055%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.667.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.467.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.840.073.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (14)35.634.369.9+1.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.633.374.9+8.267%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A10/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
22-50
22
50
-28
H23/01
NCAA
72.0Avg total
29.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.271.0-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.334.269.5+1.055%-
Last 30 away (10)33.640.273.8-6.630%-
Last 10 (10)29.342.772.0-13.420%-
Last 5 (5)29.244.073.2-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.936.671.5-1.741%-
vs Similar (9)36.338.274.6-1.944%-
vs Weaker (4)30.530.260.8+0.275%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ohio State wins
4
Penn State wins
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AMichigan62-74
20/01/26HMinnesota82-74 OT
17/01/26HUCLA86-74
11/01/26AWashington74-81
09/01/26AOregon72-62
05/01/26HNebraska69-72
03/01/26ARutgers80-73
23/12/25HGrambling St.89-63
20/12/25HNorth Carolina70-71
14/12/25HWest Virginia89-88 OT
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HWisconsin71-98
18/01/26AMaryland73-96
15/01/26HUCLA60-71
10/01/26APurdue85-93
07/01/26HMichigan72-74
04/01/26HIllinois65-73
29/12/25HN. Carolina Central90-67
21/12/25HPittsburgh46-80
13/12/25HMichigan State72-76
10/12/25AIndiana72-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeLWLWW77%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %68%77%50%
Points / game82.186.273.3
Allowed / game72.371.873.2
Point differential+9.8+14.3+0.2
Avg total154.4158.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %11%15%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeWLLLL53%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19154
Win %47%53%25%
Points / game76.575.879.2
Allowed / game77.475.186.2
Point differential-0.9+0.7-7.0
Avg total153.9150.9165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska20200100%80.965.0+15.9
2 Michigan1918195%91.768.6+23.1
3 Michigan State2018290%79.162.8+16.4
4 Illinois2017385%85.568.3+17.1
5 Purdue2017385%84.069.1+14.9
6 USC2015575%82.175.5+6.7
7 Iowa1914574%77.962.4+15.5
8 Wisconsin2014670%83.675.3+8.3
9 UCLA2014670%77.369.1+8.2
10 Ohio State1913668%82.172.3+9.8
11 Indiana2013765%81.269.4+11.8
12 Washington2011955%79.073.2+5.8
13 Minnesota20101050%72.068.5+3.5
14 Penn State1991047%76.577.4-0.9
15 Northwestern2091145%76.571.7+4.8
16 Rutgers2091145%69.774.5-4.8
17 Oregon2081240%73.174.2-1.1
18 Maryland2081240%73.079.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State503484
Penn State324678
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