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Okapi Aalst vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 72-81
6-26 24-17 18-13 24-25
Position#16
Record9-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#8
Record14-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game76.7
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Mechelen
27 Jan 2027
OKAP v MECH
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
OKAP93
MECH76
01 Mar 2025
OKAP65
MECH79
20 Apr 2024
OKAP72
MECH81
12 Jan 2024
OKAP82
MECH80
04 Dec 2022
OKAP77
MECH81
20 Feb 2022
OKAP87
MECH92
19 Oct 2019
OKAP83
MECH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
68avg 69
A14/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 69
H17/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
77-64
77
64
+13
74avg 69
A06/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 69
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 69
A23/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
54avg 69
A27/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 69
H30/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
103-74
103
74
+29
110avg 69
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 69
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
65avg 69
A13/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
16-18
12-17
16-23
14-19
20-22
20-24
22-21
15-23
16-23
26-10
20-8
25-22
22-19
22-9
11-25
21-17
22-19
15-18
23-15
18-17
16-22
20-18
9-14
16-17
28-15
27-14
16-24
27-10
31-17
23-32
22-15
25-20
19-23
14-15
15-12
21-24
16-22
15-14
19-15
150.8Avg total
77.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.879.9156.8-3.132%
Season at home (13)81.279.7160.9+1.538%
Season away (15)73.080.1153.1-7.127%
Last 10 (10)77.972.9150.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)79.472.0151.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.483.2156.7-9.817%
vs Similar (13)76.779.9156.6-3.223%
vs Weaker (5)82.870.4153.2+12.4100%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 71
A14/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 71
A17/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
70-58
70
58
+12
65avg 71
A03/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
103avg 71
H16/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
71-91
71
91
-20
63avg 71
A24/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
74-80
74
80
-6
56avg 71
H27/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
91-55
91
55
+36
91avg 71
A30/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
87-86
87
86
+1
82avg 71
A05/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
90-76
90
76
+14
88avg 71
H10/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
94-67
94
67
+27
98avg 71
H13/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
11-25
20-18
27-17
14-15
21-26
20-19
19-24
17-17
16-21
15-11
22-9
12-26
23-16
26-27
28-20
20-22
15-27
17-18
19-24
21-20
19-20
17-13
17-27
25-19
20-11
21-20
25-5
15-17
32-23
25-21
15-25
21-12
26-19
19-25
24-20
25-14
23-19
25-19
21-15
159.0Avg total
82.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.976.7154.6+1.250%
Season at home (14)78.073.7151.7+4.364%
Season away (14)77.979.7157.6-1.936%
Last 10 (10)82.176.9159.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.272.8160.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.276.4148.6-4.220%
vs Similar (17)78.177.8155.9+0.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.673.9155.4+7.757%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
Okapi AalstMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H16/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H30/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/04
BNXT League
79.8Avg total
41.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.580.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.180.1+2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)39.441.781.1-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.679.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.480.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.241.078.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (13)41.340.782.0+0.646%-
vs Weaker (5)44.638.683.2+6.080%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A14/02
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A17/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A03/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H16/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A30/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A05/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H10/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H13/04
BNXT League
77.5Avg total
38.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.678.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.237.477.6+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)38.939.678.5-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.677.5+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.434.880.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.640.675.2-6.020%-
vs Similar (17)39.538.277.7+1.459%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.737.979.6+3.943%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.3
51.4%
52.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.37.0
36.3%
33.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.3
69.3%
71.4%13.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.7
57.9%
52.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.9
31.7%
33.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.815.2
69.7%
71.4%15.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LWWWLWWWLL
Mechelen
WWWWLLWWLL
#16
League position
#8
+5.9
Net rating
+6.4
103.8
Offensive rating
108.6
97.9
Defensive rating
102.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
20.0%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.3%
3-point %
31.7%
60.4%
Assist %
58.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 108.6Defence97.9 · 102.2Shooting52.4% · 54.2%3-point %36.3% · 31.7%Ball care20.0% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Okapi Aalst wins
3
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
12/01/24Okapi Aalst v Mechelen82-80
07/10/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst91-84
15/01/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst90-98
04/12/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen77-81
20/02/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen87-92 OT
09/10/21Mechelen v Okapi Aalst71-77
19/10/19Okapi Aalst v Mechelen83-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ACircus Brussels71-75
10/04/24AQSTA Utd73-70
06/04/24HLWD Basket103-74
30/03/24HKortrijk87-70
27/03/24ALeuven Bears63-71
23/03/24ADen Helder81-69
16/03/24HQSTA Utd80-75
06/03/24AFeyenoord77-64
17/02/24HLeuven Bears76-86
14/02/24ASpirou Charleroi68-75
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HQSTA Utd94-67
10/04/24HLeuven Bears90-76
05/04/24AKortrijk87-86
30/03/24ADen Helder91-55
27/03/24HFeyenoord74-80
24/03/24ALWD Basket71-91
16/03/24HBelfius Mons99-95 OT
03/03/24AQSTA Utd70-58
17/02/24ALiege74-84
14/02/24AAntwerp Giants71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL32%
HomeWLWWW38%
AwayWWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %32%38%27%
Points / game76.881.273.0
Allowed / game79.979.780.1
Point differential-3.1+1.5-7.1
Avg total156.8160.9153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%23%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game77.978.077.9
Allowed / game76.773.779.7
Point differential+1.2+4.3-1.9
Avg total154.6151.7157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2624292%82.070.6+11.4
2 Den Bosch2318578%81.372.4+8.8
3 Antwerp Giants2721678%83.171.4+11.8
4 Leiden2316770%76.271.5+4.7
5 Limburg2617965%76.772.5+4.1
6 Spirou Charleroi27161159%74.073.8+0.2
7 Liege27151256%79.878.9+1.0
8 Zwolle22121055%75.270.6+4.6
9 Circus Brussels28141450%78.676.5+2.1
10 Mechelen28141450%77.976.7+1.2
11 Donar Groningen22101245%72.071.9+0.1
12 Leuven Bears29131645%76.777.5-0.8
13 Belfius Mons29131645%78.180.7-2.6
14 BAL Weert2391439%70.776.3-5.7
15 Kortrijk28101836%78.581.0-2.5
16 Okapi Aalst2891932%76.879.9-3.1
17 Feyenoord2581732%74.082.1-8.0
18 LWD Basket2471729%78.084.1-6.2
19 QSTA Utd2461825%72.579.5-7.0
20 Den Helder2552020%66.881.2-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst624182472
Mechelen2617132581
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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