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Okapi Aalst vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 64-82
23-17 4-21 22-25 15-19
Position#13
Record6-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#10
Record8-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game81.9
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v LWD Basket
09 May 2026
OKAP118
LWD 90
14 Dec 2024
OKAP64
LWD 82
06 Apr 2024
OKAP103
LWD 74
15 May 2022
OKAP83
LWD 67
26 Mar 2022
OKAP87
LWD 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 72
A12/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 72
H20/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
93-61
93
61
+32
92avg 72
H26/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
81-72
81
72
+9
75avg 72
A03/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
96-64
96
64
+32
87avg 72
A09/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
87-90
87
90
-3
69avg 72
H16/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
73avg 72
A28/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 72
H01/12
BNXT League
Avanti Brugge
#12
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
A04/12
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 72
A08/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
10-17
23-18
17-14
20-21
24-22
14-20
32-19
25-17
17-11
31-13
20-20
28-22
19-21
17-12
17-17
25-16
24-21
30-8
17-19
20-25
17-17
21-26
29-22
23-22
26-17
11-21
20-20
16-15
18-18
20-23
22-24
26-21
17-19
28-15
15-17
27-21
9-13
18-18
26-22
161.2Avg total
84.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.978.3159.2+2.646%
Season at home (6)81.778.0159.7+3.750%
Season away (7)80.378.6158.9+1.743%
Last 10 (10)84.376.9161.2+7.460%
Last 5 (5)83.282.2165.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.075.8149.8-1.840%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.776.4154.1+1.233%
vs Weaker (12)86.174.0160.1+12.183%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
100-76
100
76
+24
98avg 74
H18/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
91-70
91
70
+21
90avg 74
A20/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 74
H27/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
82-66
82
66
+16
86avg 74
A03/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 74
H09/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
97-81
97
81
+16
100avg 74
H16/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
72-71
72
71
+1
62avg 74
A29/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
88avg 74
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
85-101
85
101
-16
72avg 74
H07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder 2
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
19-25
24-19
29-17
21-29
22-13
24-21
24-7
26-28
22-24
29-20
12-13
26-9
20-23
14-24
22-10
16-27
25-19
20-11
18-16
31-29
26-15
17-22
23-15
13-21
21-20
17-16
21-14
20-11
18-21
22-21
21-28
16-25
21-27
22-27
26-22
23-10
19-19
29-19
10-19
165.3Avg total
86.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.481.9165.3+1.562%
Season at home (8)86.584.5171.0+2.050%
Season away (5)78.477.8156.2+0.680%
Last 10 (10)86.878.5165.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)85.483.0168.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)80.486.4166.9-6.039%
vs Similar ◀ (2)91.582.5174.0+9.050%
vs Weaker (4)78.873.2152.0+5.575%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
Okapi AalstLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#12
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A12/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H20/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H26/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A03/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A09/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A28/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/12
BNXT League
Avanti Brugge
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/12
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A08/12
BNXT League
79.4Avg total
40.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.878.3+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.335.276.5+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.179.8-0.362%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.679.4+2.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.677.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.638.675.2-2.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.137.676.7+1.558%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.580.8+5.867%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H18/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H27/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A03/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H09/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H16/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A29/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder 2
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A11/12
DBL Cup
84.3Avg total
43.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.784.0-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.842.685.4+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)37.345.082.3-7.721%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.084.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.681.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)40.445.786.1-5.326%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.537.077.5+3.5100%-
vs Weaker (4)38.839.578.2-0.850%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.8
50.4%
52.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.9
37.5%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws25.118.9
75.3%
71.9%18.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.4
57.3%
52.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.5
35.9%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.416.6
70.9%
71.9%16.6
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WWLLLWWWWL
LWD Basket
WLLWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#10
+8.4
Net rating
+5.1
111.0
Offensive rating
111.5
102.5
Defensive rating
106.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
55.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.5%
3-point %
35.9%
52.7%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 111.5Defence102.5 · 106.4Shooting52.9% · 55.9%3-point %37.5% · 35.9%Ball care16.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds27.3% · 29.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Okapi Aalst wins
2
LWD Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AQSTA Utd80-74
04/12/24AAvanti Brugge86-72
01/12/24HLimburg76-80
28/11/24AAntwerp Giants87-95 OT
16/11/24HFeyenoord87-90
09/11/24ADen Helder96-64
03/11/24ASpirou Charleroi81-72
26/10/24HDen Bosch93-61
20/10/24HOostende90-82
12/10/24ALeiden67-79
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24ADen Helder 281-67
07/12/24HSpirou Charleroi85-101
01/12/24HLeiden92-95 OT
29/11/24ADonar Groningen72-71
16/11/24HLeuven Bears97-81
09/11/24HBAL Weert79-73
03/11/24ACircus Brussels82-66
27/10/24HMechelen89-85
20/10/24AZwolle91-70
18/10/24HQSTA Utd100-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game80.981.780.3
Allowed / game78.378.078.6
Point differential+2.6+3.7+1.7
Avg total159.2159.7158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %15%0%29%
LWD Basket
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%50%80%
Points / game83.486.578.4
Allowed / game81.984.577.8
Point differential+1.5+2.0+0.6
Avg total165.3171.0156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %15%12%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1311285%89.676.7+12.9
2 Kortrijk1310377%97.881.1+16.8
3 Limburg1310377%83.773.8+9.8
4 Mechelen149564%79.974.9+5.1
5 Antwerp Giants138562%79.677.5+2.1
6 LWD Basket138562%83.481.9+1.5
7 Circus Brussels138562%77.277.4-0.2
8 Spirou Charleroi137654%81.074.6+6.4
9 Belfius Mons147750%79.178.8+0.4
10 Leiden147750%77.481.4-4.0
11 Leuven Bears136746%76.573.0+3.5
12 Okapi Aalst136746%80.978.3+2.6
13 Zwolle136746%83.686.6-3.0
14 Den Bosch125742%80.884.8-4.0
15 Feyenoord125742%81.188.1-7.0
16 Den Helder1551033%71.782.2-10.5
17 Donar Groningen123925%73.980.8-6.8
18 BAL Weert1321115%72.286.7-14.5
19 QSTA Utd1421214%77.988.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst234221564
LWD Basket1721251982
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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