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Leiden vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-67
30-17 17-10 18-23 14-17
Position#12
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.0
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v Okapi Aalst
17 Oct 2026
LEI92
OKAP77
25 Apr 2026
LEI85
OKAP97
12 Oct 2024
LEI79
OKAP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
W
83-65
83
65
+18
84avg 69
H30/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
63avg 69
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
87avg 69
H04/06
DBL
Oostende
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
50avg 69
A10/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 69
H12/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
87-58
87
58
+29
no box
H11/09
Supercup
Kortrijk
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
84avg 69
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
66avg 69
A21/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
72avg 69
H28/09
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
46avg 69
H05/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
23-13
19-12
21-20
9-10
16-23
23-15
17-31
26-16
22-29
22-17
22-19
21-27
11-13
15-28
11-17
18-27
15-20
18-15
15-17
22-10
29-6
14-25
22-17
19-29
18-15
22-19
25-23
13-18
8-20
24-7
16-16
13-19
29-16
16-18
20-24
23-24
16-19
14-23
13-20
153.4Avg total
75.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.082.0159.0-5.050%
Season at home (3)76.083.0159.0-7.033%
Season away (1)80.079.0159.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.977.5153.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)79.077.2156.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.383.4151.6-15.118%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.672.3149.9+5.380%
vs Weaker (8)78.670.4149.0+8.288%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 70
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
65avg 70
A13/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 70
H20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
103-75
103
75
+28
103avg 70
H26/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
66-67
66
67
-1
61avg 70
A30/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 70
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
51-64
51
64
-13
38avg 70
H14/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 70
A22/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
69-76 OT
69
76
-7
56avg 70
A28/09
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
93-91
93
91
+2
91avg 70
H05/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
19-23
14-15
15-12
21-24
16-22
15-14
19-15
6-26
24-17
18-13
24-25
30-12
25-20
21-19
27-24
16-23
24-21
10-10
16-13
22-15
19-14
27-23
26-23
16-15
12-16
8-15
15-18
17-22
25-18
16-21
24-29
14-11
15-20
22-21
14-13
19-17
19-22
30-24
25-28
153.8Avg total
77.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.880.2154.0-6.525%
Season at home (2)72.077.5149.5-5.550%
Season away (2)75.583.0158.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)77.476.4153.8+1.040%
Last 5 (5)77.879.2157.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.481.4151.9-11.011%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.877.5152.2-2.825%
vs Weaker (9)85.673.3158.9+12.289%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
LeidenOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H30/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H04/06
DBL
Oostende
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A10/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H11/09
Supercup
Kortrijk
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/09
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/10
BNXT League
74.5Avg total
37.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.775.4+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.136.676.6+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)34.739.273.8-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.474.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.273.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.942.579.5-5.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.735.172.8+2.660%-
vs Weaker (8)37.237.074.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H26/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A30/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H14/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A28/09
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/10
BNXT League
76.2Avg total
38.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.477.8+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.776.7+3.447%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.178.8-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.876.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.069.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.240.375.6-5.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.037.676.6+1.450%-
vs Weaker (9)44.137.481.6+6.767%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.8
47.7%
52.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.1
34.3%
34.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws13.910.5
75.5%
71.9%10.5
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.221.0
47.5%
52.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.5
31.7%
34.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
71.9%15.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWLWLLWLW
Okapi Aalst
WLLLWLWLLW
#12
League position
#13
-5.7
Net rating
+1.9
103.0
Offensive rating
101.6
108.6
Defensive rating
99.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
47.5%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.3%
3-point %
31.7%
69.5%
Assist %
58.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 101.6Defence108.6 · 99.8Shooting49.1% · 47.5%3-point %34.3% · 31.7%Ball care17.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Leiden   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leiden wins
0
Okapi Aalst wins
No previous meetings.
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HLimburg66-86
28/09/24HLeuven Bears78-77
21/09/24ADen Helder80-79 OT
14/09/24HKortrijk84-86
11/09/24HDen Bosch87-58
12/06/24HOostende66-79
10/06/24AOostende58-85
04/06/24HDen Bosch92-81
01/06/24ADen Bosch65-79
30/05/24HDen Bosch83-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HDonar Groningen93-91
28/09/24ABelfius Mons69-76 OT
22/09/24AZwolle82-90
14/09/24HLeuven Bears51-64
03/05/24HDen Helder94-75
30/04/24ALWD Basket66-67
26/04/24HFeyenoord103-75
20/04/24HMechelen72-81
13/04/24ACircus Brussels71-75
10/04/24AQSTA Utd73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game77.076.080.0
Allowed / game82.083.079.0
Point differential-5.0-7.0+1.0
Avg total159.0159.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game73.872.075.5
Allowed / game80.277.583.0
Point differential-6.5-5.5-7.5
Avg total154.0149.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk550100%99.078.8+20.2
2 Limburg440100%81.863.2+18.5
3 Oostende54180%86.873.8+13.0
4 Belfius Mons43175%82.575.5+7.0
5 Zwolle43175%83.083.8-0.8
6 Leuven Bears32167%74.769.0+5.7
7 Circus Brussels53260%78.876.0+2.8
8 Mechelen42250%80.281.5-1.2
9 Leiden42250%77.082.0-5.0
10 Donar Groningen52340%77.082.0-5.0
11 BAL Weert52340%77.285.6-8.4
12 Spirou Charleroi31233%85.077.3+7.7
13 LWD Basket31233%83.087.3-4.3
14 QSTA Utd31233%71.386.7-15.3
15 Antwerp Giants41325%72.275.2-3.0
16 Okapi Aalst41325%73.880.2-6.5
17 Den Helder51420%69.080.2-11.2
18 Den Bosch3030%84.389.0-4.7
19 Feyenoord3030%69.089.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden3017181479
Okapi Aalst1710231767
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