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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record5-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game106.3
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Detroit Pistons
22 Dec 2026
OKC v DET
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
OKC114
DET110
02 Apr 2025
OKC119
DET103
30 Oct 2023
OKC124
DET112
19 Oct 2023
OKC116
DET118
12 Oct 2023
OKC125
DET128
29 Mar 2023
OKC107
DET106
01 Apr 2022
OKC101
DET110
05 Apr 2021
OKC108
DET132
07 Feb 2020
OKC108
DET101
05 Apr 2019
OKC123
DET110
03 Oct 2018
OKC91
DET97
24 Nov 2017
OKC98
DET99
26 Nov 2016
OKC106
DET88
27 Nov 2015
OKC103
DET87
14 Nov 2014
OKC89
DET96
16 Apr 2014
OKC112
DET111
09 Jul 2013
OKC79
DET75
09 Nov 2012
OKC105
DET94
23 Jan 2012
OKC99
DET79
11 Mar 2011
OKC104
DET94
18 Dec 2009
OKC109
DET98
16 Jan 2009
OKC89
DET79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit Pistons win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Oklahoma City Thunder
4.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.9
108.2▼ 7.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 108.9
104.6▼ 4.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
55%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 25.5
23.2▼ 2.3
🔥 Form · Detroit Pistons
4.6out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 114.5
107.6▼ 6.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 107.1
99.6▼ 7.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
56%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 27.3
26.2▼ 1.1
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
110-116
110
116
-6
H07/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
L
126-128
126
128
-2
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
110-113
110
113
-3
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
89-116
89
116
-27
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
116-104
116
104
+12
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
108-101
108
101
+7
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
125-114
125
114
+11
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
96-120
96
120
-24
A29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
33-24
26-38
17-26
44-35
38-29
20-33
24-31
28-29
21-27
30-23
31-34
25-33
34-28
26-23
15-16
15-33
32-21
22-25
20-37
34-28
31-16
28-36
23-24
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
219.8Avg total
109.0Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)109.0110.8219.8-1.850%
Season at home (6)113.2109.2222.3+4.067%
Season away (4)102.8113.2216.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)109.0110.8219.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)108.2104.6212.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)105.0111.0216.0-6.033%
vs Similar (12)107.2110.2217.4-2.950%
vs Weaker (15)121.9109.9231.8+11.980%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
109-107
109
107
+2
H05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
128-106
128
106
+22
A15/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
129-125
129
125
+4
H16/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H20/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
128-111
128
111
+17
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
L
97-111
97
111
-14
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
110-94
110
94
+16
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
29-33
34-16
25-23
20-40
30-16
28-24
20-18
29-38
36-20
32-24
31-24
33-33
26-19
34-28
36-45
27-28
18-30
37-30
39-25
41-26
24-27
38-27
25-31
34-22
22-22
23-25
27-24
38-25
12-26
13-37
34-23
21-22
23-29
32-19
21-19
21-28
35-21
36-17
18-28
219.6Avg total
113.3Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)113.3106.3219.6+7.080%
Season at home (4)114.0108.5222.5+5.5100%
Season away (6)112.8104.8217.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)113.3106.3219.6+7.080%
Last 5 (5)107.699.6207.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)121.0113.0234.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (3)125.0110.3235.3+14.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)108.8104.7213.5+4.262%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
Oklahoma City ThunderDetroit Pistons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H07/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
112.5Avg total
58.2Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.754.5113.2+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.354.8115.1+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)56.954.2111.1+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)58.254.3112.5+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)55.651.2106.8+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)53.751.3105.0+2.333%-
vs Similar (12)54.154.1108.2+0.033%-
vs Weaker (15)63.555.5118.9+8.073%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A15/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H16/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H20/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A30/10
NBA
108.0Avg total
54.0Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.355.5111.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.053.9108.9+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)57.456.9114.3+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)54.054.0108.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.249.6103.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.058.0103.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (3)64.058.3122.3+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)55.855.1110.9+0.850%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.8
51.3%
54.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.7
36.0%
34.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
76.2%16.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.626.5
53.4%
54.0%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.113.0
35.0%
34.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws28.921.0
72.7%
76.2%21.0
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWLWLLL
Detroit Pistons
WWLWWWWWLW
#18
League position
#3
-0.2
Net rating
+2.8
99.0
Offensive rating
101.9
99.2
Defensive rating
99.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.0%
3-point %
35.0%
61.5%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 101.9Defence99.2 · 99.1Shooting52.3% · 53.1%3-point %36.0% · 35.0%Ball care14.0% · 15.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 27.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Detroit Pistons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
21/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-104
16/10/26AHouston Rockets89-116
14/10/26HIndiana Pacers114-112 OT
12/10/26AAtlanta Hawks110-113
08/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks126-128
07/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans110-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABrooklyn Nets110-94
28/10/26HCharlotte Hornets97-89
28/10/26ANew York Knicks97-111
25/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-93
24/10/26AMiami Heat128-111
20/10/26HBoston Celtics121-113
16/10/26HToronto Raptors129-125
15/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves128-106
10/10/26AWashington Wizards108-114 OT
05/10/26HPhoenix Suns109-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game109.0113.2102.8
Allowed / game110.8109.2113.2
Point differential-1.8+4.0-10.5
Avg total219.8222.3216.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
Detroit Pistons
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game113.3114.0112.8
Allowed / game106.3108.5104.8
Point differential+7.0+5.5+8.0
Avg total219.6222.5217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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