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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 126-128
44-35 38-29 20-33 24-31
Position#10
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#30
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
OKC126
MIL128
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
125-107
125
107
+18
118avg 110
H08/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
131-108
131
108
+23
128avg 110
A10/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
115-110
115
110
+5
104avg 110
A12/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
115-122 OT
115
122
-7
97avg 110
H19/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
122-113
122
113
+9
116avg 110
H21/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
123-108
123
108
+15
121avg 110
A23/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
82-103
82
103
-21
68avg 110
A25/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
127-114
127
114
+13
121avg 110
H27/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
91-118
91
118
-27
75avg 110
A29/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
103-111
103
111
-8
93avg 110
H31/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
30-35
36-22
32-27
31-25
26-34
33-20
41-29
21-26
28-19
31-39
35-26
27-27
17-24
29-29
28-21
31-31
31-20
34-37
26-25
26-31
32-20
37-33
28-24
19-28
19-22
22-28
22-25
29-27
40-31
32-33
26-23
22-35
31-25
13-32
25-26
25-32
28-24
24-24
26-31
224.8Avg total
113.4Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)113.4111.4224.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)105.2110.8216.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)109.7111.8221.5-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)122.6106.7229.2+15.990%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-127
95
127
-32
83avg 103
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
113-127
113
127
-14
104avg 103
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
123-99
123
99
+24
120avg 103
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
113-119
113
119
-6
103avg 103
A02/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
101-133
101
133
-32
88avg 103
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-115
131
115
+16
130avg 103
H05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
90-96
90
96
-6
86avg 103
A07/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
111-137
111
137
-26
92avg 103
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
125-108
125
108
+17
132avg 103
H11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
106-126
106
126
-20
89avg 103
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-37
21-30
34-35
16-25
25-29
21-28
28-39
39-31
38-31
27-20
25-19
33-29
20-27
24-27
34-31
35-34
26-43
29-32
21-30
25-28
34-25
28-31
30-31
39-28
29-30
14-19
19-21
28-26
28-34
29-41
29-37
25-25
38-24
28-30
33-30
26-24
26-29
36-29
16-38
28-30
229.5Avg total
110.8Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.8118.7229.5-7.930%
Last 5 (5)112.6116.4229.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)105.2122.0227.2-16.919%
vs Similar (9)116.4111.8228.2+4.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H08/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A10/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A12/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H19/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H21/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A23/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A25/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H27/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A29/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H31/05
NBA
107.9Avg total
54.0Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.252.9112.1+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.054.5114.5+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)58.351.3109.7+7.073%-
Last 10 (10)54.053.9107.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)54.255.0109.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)53.652.1105.7+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)62.053.4115.3+8.670%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A02/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A07/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A12/04
NBA
114.1Avg total
54.5Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.260.7116.9-4.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.560.9118.4-3.547%-
Last 30 away (13)54.660.3114.9-5.738%-
Last 10 (10)54.559.6114.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)58.058.4116.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)55.162.9118.0-7.833%-
vs Similar (9)58.955.4114.3+3.467%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.927.6
53.2%
54.0%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.1
36.0%
35.1%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.618.9
83.6%
77.1%18.9
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.1 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.4
56.6%
54.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.317.7
39.1%
35.1%53.1
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
77.1%12.9
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWLWWLWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLWLLWLL
#10
League position
#30
+2.0
Net rating
-7.6
112.5
Offensive rating
106.6
110.5
Defensive rating
114.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
57.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
12.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.0%
3-point %
39.1%
62.9%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 106.6Defence110.5 · 114.2Shooting53.5% · 57.7%3-point %36.0% · 39.1%Ball care12.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds23.3% · 18.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs103-111
29/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs91-118
27/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs127-114
25/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs82-103
23/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-108
21/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs122-113
19/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs115-122 OT
12/05/26ALos Angeles Lakers115-110
10/05/26ALos Angeles Lakers131-108
08/05/26HLos Angeles Lakers125-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-126
11/04/26HBrooklyn Nets125-108
08/04/26ADetroit Pistons111-137
07/04/26ABrooklyn Nets90-96
05/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies131-115
04/04/26HBoston Celtics101-133
02/04/26AHouston Rockets113-119
01/04/26HDallas Mavericks123-99
29/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers113-127
28/03/26HSan Antonio Spurs95-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder44382024126
Milwaukee Bucks35293331128
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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