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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 96-84
24-27 20-21 26-16 26-20
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#17
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
131-108
131
108
+23
128avg 108
A10/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
115-110
115
110
+5
104avg 108
A12/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
115-122 OT
115
122
-7
97avg 108
H19/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
122-113
122
113
+9
116avg 108
H21/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
123-108
123
108
+15
121avg 108
A23/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
82-103
82
103
-21
68avg 108
A25/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
127-114
127
114
+13
121avg 108
H27/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
91-118
91
118
-27
75avg 108
A29/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
103-111
103
111
-8
93avg 108
H31/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
116-104
116
104
+12
105avg 108
A21/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
26-34
33-20
41-29
21-26
28-19
31-39
35-26
27-27
17-24
29-29
28-21
31-31
31-20
34-37
26-25
26-31
32-20
37-33
28-24
19-28
19-22
22-28
22-25
29-27
40-31
32-33
26-23
22-35
31-25
13-32
25-26
25-32
28-24
24-24
26-31
34-28
31-16
28-36
23-24
223.6Avg total
112.5Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)116.0104.0220.0+12.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)116.0104.0220.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)112.5111.1223.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)103.8110.0213.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)116.0104.0220.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)109.7111.8221.5-2.150%
vs Weaker (19)122.9106.8229.8+16.189%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
137-132 OT
137
132
+5
134avg 116
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
136-119
136
119
+17
140avg 116
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
127-107
127
107
+20
124avg 116
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
128-118
128
118
+10
126avg 116
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-105
116
105
+11
112avg 116
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 116
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-113
96
113
-17
75avg 116
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
80avg 116
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
123avg 116
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
90avg 116
A01/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
27-37
29-29
38-24
37-33
31-39
39-22
29-25
34-27
25-24
31-34
37-22
37-34
33-22
31-35
27-27
23-33
39-29
29-17
25-26
39-25
25-39
29-26
21-29
11-25
28-36
29-27
28-25
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
34-29
26-22
37-24
28-38
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
232.1Avg total
117.3Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.3114.8232.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)105.8113.4219.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)124.7121.0245.7+3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (17)116.4115.8232.2+0.659%
vs Weaker (10)129.4118.3247.7+11.190%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A10/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A12/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H19/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H21/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A23/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A25/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H27/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A29/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H31/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A21/10
NBA
107.3Avg total
54.8Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.852.6112.4+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.954.6115.6+6.364%-
Last 30 away (16)58.850.9109.6+7.975%-
Last 10 (10)54.852.5107.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)55.653.6109.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.044.0109.0+21.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)53.652.1105.7+1.560%-
vs Weaker (19)62.753.4116.1+9.474%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A01/05
NBA
118.0Avg total
58.4Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.358.7117.9+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)60.158.4118.6+1.744%-
Last 30 away (12)58.059.0117.0-1.042%-
Last 10 (10)58.459.6118.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.456.6110.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.355.7115.0+3.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.357.9114.2-1.641%-
vs Weaker (10)64.360.8125.1+3.540%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.827.4
50.9%
54.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.1
36.5%
35.0%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.018.4
83.6%
76.3%18.4
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.430.2
55.5%
54.0%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.8
34.7%
35.0%35.4
🏀 Free throws26.121.5
82.4%
76.3%21.5
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWLWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLWWWWW
#9
League position
#17
+1.4
Net rating
+2.4
110.0
Offensive rating
114.0
108.6
Defensive rating
111.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
11.9%
Turnover %
11.8%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.5%
3-point %
34.7%
62.7%
Assist %
65.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 114.0Defence108.6 · 111.5Shooting52.5% · 54.2%3-point %36.5% · 34.7%Ball care11.9% · 11.8%Off. rebounds24.7% · 26.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-104
31/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs103-111
29/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs91-118
27/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs127-114
25/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs82-103
23/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-108
21/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs122-113
19/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs115-122 OT
12/05/26ALos Angeles Lakers115-110
10/05/26ALos Angeles Lakers131-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26AMinnesota Timberwolves98-110
28/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves125-113
26/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-112
24/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-113
21/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves114-119
18/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves116-105
13/04/26ASan Antonio Spurs128-118
11/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder127-107
09/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies136-119
07/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers137-132 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game116.0-116.0
Allowed / game104.0-104.0
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total220.0-220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors110100%135.092.0+43.0
2 Portland Trail Blazers110100%124.083.0+41.0
3 Los Angeles Clippers110100%121.096.0+25.0
4 Minnesota Timberwolves110100%131.0106.0+25.0
5 Los Angeles Lakers110100%127.0105.0+22.0
6 Memphis Grizzlies110100%123.0103.0+20.0
7 Houston Rockets110100%128.0110.0+18.0
8 Oklahoma City Thunder110100%116.0104.0+12.0
9 Washington Wizards110100%128.0116.0+12.0
10 Detroit Pistons110100%121.0113.0+8.0
11 Atlanta Hawks110100%132.0125.0+7.0
12 Charlotte Hornets110100%110.0103.0+7.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers220100%110.0103.0+7.0
14 Indiana Pacers110100%123.0120.0+3.0
15 New Orleans Pelicans1010%120.0123.0-3.0
16 New York Knicks1010%100.0106.0-6.0
17 Brooklyn Nets1010%103.0110.0-7.0
18 Orlando Magic1010%125.0132.0-7.0
19 Boston Celtics1010%113.0121.0-8.0
20 Cleveland Cavaliers1010%106.0114.0-8.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks1010%116.0128.0-12.0
22 San Antonio Spurs1010%104.0116.0-12.0
23 Dallas Mavericks1010%110.0128.0-18.0
24 Utah Jazz1010%103.0123.0-20.0
25 Golden State Warriors1010%105.0127.0-22.0
26 Miami Heat1010%106.0131.0-25.0
27 Sacramento Kings1010%96.0121.0-25.0
28 Phoenix Suns1010%83.0124.0-41.0
29 Chicago Bulls1010%92.0135.0-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2420262696
Denver Nuggets2721162084
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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