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Old Dominion vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-64
38-35 37-29
Position#261
Record10-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#207
Record12-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Old Dominion v Texas State
05 Feb 2025
OLD 75
TEXA64
02 Mar 2023
OLD 36
TEXA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Old Dominion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A10/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
71-63 OT
71
63
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H18/01
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H26/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A29/01
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
30-46
38-38
36-33
32-30
39-30
33-39
30-24
18-29
25-33
22-30
41-37
29-37
31-37
39-18
35-34
33-38
45-39
25-36
29-32
131.9Avg total
64.7Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.771.6139.3-4.043%
Season at home (15)68.768.9137.6-0.140%
Season away (8)65.676.8142.4-11.150%
Last 10 (10)64.767.2131.9-2.550%
Last 5 (5)65.867.6133.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.277.0142.2-11.817%
vs Similar (7)70.471.1141.6-0.757%
vs Weaker (3)75.371.3146.7+4.067%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
A11/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
46-40
30-38
31-34
32-41
42-32
30-45
46-31
46-35
48-45
39-39
38-38
38-33
51-41
34-36
31-44
27-33
34-37
33-39
41-46
154.7Avg total
76.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.772.6149.3+4.052%
Season at home (12)79.168.8147.9+10.267%
Season away (11)74.076.7150.7-2.736%
Last 10 (10)76.278.5154.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)74.878.2153.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.177.1149.3-5.043%
vs Similar (11)71.970.7142.6+1.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.269.0152.2+14.275%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +2.0+2.0
Old DominionTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A10/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
18-29
18
29
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H18/01
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H26/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/01
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A01/02
NCAA
62.5Avg total
29.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.434.865.2-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.132.163.2-1.037%-
Last 30 away (11)29.239.468.5-10.227%-
Last 10 (10)29.832.762.5-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)29.631.861.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)28.836.365.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (7)30.933.063.9-2.143%-
vs Weaker (3)37.037.074.0+0.067%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
33.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.168.9+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.032.969.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)32.535.467.9-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)33.437.671.0-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.070.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.738.068.7-7.314%-
vs Similar (11)33.033.566.5-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.732.571.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Old Dominion wins
2
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Texas State v Old Dominion92-83 OT
02/03/23Old Dominion v Texas State36-65
11/02/23Texas State v Old Dominion68-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AJames Madison54-68
29/01/25AAppalachian State78-77
26/01/25HCoastal Carolina74-52
23/01/25HJames Madison60-74
18/01/25HGeorgia Southern63-67
17/01/25HAppalachian State43-62
11/01/25ASouth Alabama71-63 OT
10/01/25ALouisiana Lafayette71-60
04/01/25HSouthern Miss74-71
03/01/25HArkansas State59-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HArkansas State74-85
31/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette61-70
25/01/25AArkansas State65-80
23/01/25ALouisiana Lafayette89-74
18/01/25HSouthern Miss85-82 OT
16/01/25HGeorgia State94-80
11/01/25ASouthern Miss88-92 OT
10/01/25ATroy74-73
04/01/25AAppalachian State61-72
03/01/25AMarshall71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Old Dominion
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %43%40%50%
Points / game67.768.765.6
Allowed / game71.668.976.8
Point differential-4.0-0.1-11.1
Avg total139.3137.6142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%25%
Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game76.779.174.0
Allowed / game72.668.876.7
Point differential+4.0+10.2-2.7
Avg total149.3147.9150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2318578%78.969.3+9.6
2 Troy2215768%73.965.2+8.7
3 South Alabama2315865%71.662.3+9.3
4 Appalachian State2314961%69.263.3+5.9
5 James Madison2314961%73.168.8+4.3
6 Marshall24141058%75.571.3+4.1
7 Texas State23121152%76.772.6+4.0
8 Georgia Southern23111248%73.977.3-3.4
9 Old Dominion23101343%67.771.6-4.0
10 Southern Miss24101442%72.075.0-3.0
11 Coastal Carolina2381535%67.470.6-3.2
12 Georgia State2381535%73.580.2-6.7
13 Louisiana Lafayette2371630%65.874.3-8.4
14 Louisiana Monroe2461825%68.872.8-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Old Dominion383775
Texas State352964
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